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Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
The offspring of 'second- and third-tier' stallions and horses from the regional breeding programs. And South America. It's already happening. Invasor and Lava Dude winning most of the top races for older horses last year. Brass Hat trashing the blood-blues every chance he got. Thor's Echo and Bordonaro. Kona Gold. Evening Attire. Say Florida Sandy. They have the kind of breeding that will keep the 'cheap' races going, when the expensive hot-house flowers wilt.
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The second and third tier stallions really aren't much better. Most of them are well bred racetrack failures. And the South American stallions that have stood in the US lately have not been very successful (Gentleman, Siphon) hence the cool reception for Candy Ride. All those horses you spoke about are really flukes of suspect breeding that only campaigned long enough for us to recognize their talent because of their obscure bloodlines or the fact that they were gelded.
I am seeing it more and more in the claiming ranks. It is almost impossible to fill a higher priced claimer for fillies despite the huge purses in some jurisdictions. You have seen the big league tracks like Gulfstream and NYRA run more and more cheap races because the 'middle class' races just dont fill.