BTWind, I'm interested in your take on the Summer Doldrums re-figuring. I like Beyer and I use his figs, but this one is still bugging me. Summer Doldrum's race before the Gotham (Whirlaway?) wasn't 1st time starters, so there was at least some kind of historic baseline to work from. It's been pointed out that there was evidence that the variant changed on that day. But aren't you at least a little concerned about Beyer using next-race performance as a way to (re-)measure previous performance?
What I'd like to hear is that Beyer had re-figured Summer Doldrum's fig BEFORE the Gotham, but somehow the news didn't get out in time! I simply don't like the idea of back-fitting the data.
Maybe Beyer should consider adding an asterisk to figs they know from the get-go are particularly difficult.
--Dunbar
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Curlin and Hard Spun finish 1,2 in the 2007 BC Classic, demonstrating how competing in all three Triple Crown races ruins a horse for the rest of the year...see avatar
photo from REUTERS/Lucas Jackson
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