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Originally Posted by pgardn
Both of these 6 f winners stretched out and showed great promise in their wins. I think even though Curlin looked very impressive having a wider trip and winning by a larger margin, I will say Cobalt Blue looked more impressive even with an easier trip against what I think was a weaker field.
ONeill is a very wise man it appears. This horse looks like he already knows exactly what he is supposed to do. I think he responded very well to the riders instructions and he looks like he knows exactly where the finish line is. A very precocious showing imo. Very controlled. I would shoot for the Preakness but Merv clearly wants the big show, and Jeannie Jackle's body.
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The
only problem I have with Cobalt Blue is that his race yesterday reminded me very much of Brother Derek's runs leading to the Derby. I think he's a hugely talented horse, but I don't see how we can extrapolate anything from his performance yesterday. Not sure about the difference in the variants between the two days, because the 1 1/16 distance there hasn't been run a whole lot recently, but a stakes horse loping through fractions slower then 32K-28K claimers two days earlier doesn't set me on fire. He got it all his way the entire way, much like Brother Derek did all last Spring. We've seen how coasting on a soft lead in five horse fields leading up to the Derby helps a horse -- that is to say, not very much.
I think he's a good horse, don't get me wrong. But I just don't think yesterday told me anything at all about whether or not he can handle real racehorses in a normally run race.