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Originally Posted by randallscott35
This is nuts. The whole basic problem with your strategy is that you assume the favorite will win if your longshot runs second. Huh, you are betting a lonshot b/c you think the favorite is vulnerable. So your favorite runs off the board, boosting the place price and you get nothing to show for it b/c that's the only horse you used on top. That is not how to use an exacta as a hedge.
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Don't assume... you know what they say about assume "it makes an ass out of U and ME."
There's no whole basic problem with my strategy. Possibly go back and read what I wrote to ELA.
I am believing the chalk will outrun the longshot, as that is usually the result, day in, day out. That is why I put my longshot choice under the chalk on a straight exacta bet.
I've not said anything about the favorite being vulnerable. Not a word. And to box, as I stated as an option, that is not suitable to betting them straight, for $100.
The discussion was about place betting, and regarding longshot play.