couple thoughts
1. The most important part of the race is the start, especially in sprints and turf races started on the straight..
2. While track bias is always important, I feel how a horse runs against it's OWN bias is critically important. A couple examples... 1, Speed-type sprinters breaking a bit poor from the inside will often dramatically improve with a middle or outside post; 2. Not all 2-turn turf races are the same, especially on a 7 furlong turf course. Races started on the straight usually produce a faster pace, especially early. Speed/Stalker types with outside posts are severely compromised in these races, often caught wide on the clubhouse turn and will generally do far better with an inside post at a longer distance out of the chute. When this situation arises for today's race, it's important to view replays not only of the horse's compromised races but also of a recent effort from an advantagous post.
3. Take trip notes on every horse. After a couple weeks, it takes only a few minutes per race.
4. If you try to play more than one or two circuits seriously, good luck! It's tough to be an expert on more than one track IMO.
5. Investing in a replay service is really cheap, if you do not have access to replays through your on-line account. I like racereplays.com.
good luck!
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