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Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 44,669
Default 4/16: Keeneland (5th-9th)

KEENELAND


POST-SCRATCHES


5th: ALW/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T (P5, $3 Turf P3, DD)

What to make of Just a Touch trying turf? Aptitude will need to come from Justify (11% first time turf), because damside has meager grass success..

Best Value: #9 Judge Davis 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Just a Touch 8-5 WON ($4.78)
Exotics Use: #1 Maycocks Bay 9-2 3rd
Super Add: #10 California Burrito 12-1 7th


$3 Turf P3 Grid:

5: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
7: 8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 3x2x3 = 18 x $3 = $54


6th: ALW/N1X, F&M-4+, 8.5F (P4, P3, DD)

This is some mundane group to be running for $120,000..

Best Value: #1 Union Mist 6-1 WON ($13.30)
Next Best: #3 Ivory and Ebony 7-2 4th
Exotics Use: #7 Clarita 4-5 2nd
Super Add: #4 Metfardeh 9-2 3rd


7th: ALW/N2X, 4+, 12f-T ($3 Late P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Chapman's Peak 9-5: Tough to fault given edge as controlling speed.. WON ($4.38)
Best Value: #10 Mutaawid 10-1 5th
Next Best: #6 Coiled 7-2 8th
Exotics Use: #7 Faber 8-1 6th


$3 Late P3 Grid:

7: 8 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 3-4-5/SCR-8 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

All A's: 1x4x3 = 12 x $3 = $36


8th: S/ALW, 4+, 8.5f (DD)

Best Value: #4 American Law 6-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Clooney Gate SCR
Exotics Use: #8 Awesome Ruta 7-2 WON ($4.24)
Super Add: #3 Liar's Poker 10-1 7th


9th: ALW/N3X, 4+, 8.5f-T (Hi-5)

Best Value: #2 Smokey Mandate 10-1 3rd
Next Best: #5 Anglophile 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 Tonka Warrior 10-1 6th
Super Add: #8 Noises Off 12-1 7th


P5 Grid:

5: 1-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
6: 1-3 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
7: 8 (A), 10 (B), - (C)
8: 4-5/SCR (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
9: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x2x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A's: 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup (AAACA): 3x2x1x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18 (3-8 in 8th)


P4 Grid:

6: 1-3 (A), 4-7 (B), - (C)
7: 8-10 (A), - (B), - (C)
8: 4-5/SCR (A), - (B), 3-8 (C)
9: 2-5-9 (A), - (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x2x3 = 48 x .50 = $24
All A's: 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup (AACA): 2x2x2x3 = 24 x .50 = $12 (3-8 in 8th)


Let's get lucky!
Steve
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Last edited by Kasept : Today at 05:44 PM.
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