Quote:
Originally Posted by JolyB
A win by Ashcroft would be a feel good story and a fitting farewell tribute to Mr. Lukas, but I feel that even the 30-1 odds on the ML are overly kind to his connections. There are too many other faster and classier horses in the race for him to have any chance of even hitting the board.
I did a very cursory look at the entries to consider whether an ROI play of the Derby City 6 would be feasible. I didn't feel that coverage in the Foster with fewer than 5 picks would be adequate - it looks that competitive to me at first blush. Even if I could justify a single of Anna in the Fleur De Lis (and I'm not sure that makes any sense), that leaves the coverage of the other 4 stakes races as just too thin. It'd be fun to try but not practical (when has that stopped me?  ) |
I'm probably wrong, but I'm not crazy about Sierra Lione in the Foster. He has the best fig of all runners with his win in the BC Classic, but the pace in that was blazing for a mile and a quarter. It should be moderately fast in this race, but I don't think suicidal. Lots of variables to consider which usually means I'll be wrong about the race.
It's a real Rubik's Cube of a race. That said, it would be foolish to leave him out entirely. As for practical, I am probably the least practical of all players considering my tendency to play SH5s.