[JolyB]

Of course that's true. But many trainers and owners, especially with stakes horses, tend to play the percentages and may be more interested in not getting beaten rather than pulling off upsets. They are looking at future breeding value where such things seem to matter. This trend seems to be increasing. I miss the attitude of a Wayne Lukas who was never afraid to take a shot no matter how unrealistic his chances might have been. And he pulled off some memorable upsets in the process.