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Old 12-22-2006, 10:57 AM
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philcski philcski is offline
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Join Date: Jun 2006
Location: Mission Viejo, CA
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bellsbendboy
JJP Indeed thanks for the correction, the median would be a much better measurement. The state breds in Louisiana and Arkansas are delicious, in Illinois a nightmare.

Rupert The average $1.00 pick 4 for the Fairgrounds this meet is $2458 (sample size of 30) but the median would probably be two thirds of that.

Philski Can you explain "You will never hit a $3000 pick 4 on a ticket structured (4 x 3 x 2 x3) or any other structure for that matter. I of course read Christ's book but he did not coin the logic, rather his contribution was in the "A" selections "B" selections etc. which I did not go into, but certainly use.

Oracle You are exactly correct, there are no easy winners and if you are a vanilla player its a hard game. Incidentally your pick six analysis a week or so ago at Aqueduct was very good. I am certain a reasonably competent handicapper ( not named Matt Carrothers) could hit ten percent of their plays with a $48 ticket, as for getting the $3,000 go back to Christ and the "A" "B" etc. BBB
Because you cannot possibly pick up enough "prices" going 2, 3, or even 4 deep to attain a $3,000 pick 4. Good luck in your fantasy world, I hope to join you there someday. I hear money grows on trees and beer flows from the showerheads!

That reminds me... Christ was born 3 days from today. Merry Christmas!
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