Additionally...
a completely randomly selected ticket in the example you give, 48 of 4096 selections is just over ONE percent, not TEN percent. If you go with the assumption that the top two choices win 50% of all races (pretty close to accurate), your 4X3X2X2 will hit approximately 10% of the time... but for nowhere near $3,000 for $1.
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please use generalizations and non-truths when arguing your side, thank you
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