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-   -   Awesome Act (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35736)

SilverRP 04-26-2010 07:35 PM

Awesome Act
 
Ok, since the Eskendereya scratch I've been looking for a key horse. Looking over it today, I kept coming back to AA. His Gotham was terrific, lost a shoe in the Wood, should have a strong pace to run at, should love 1 1/4, and has Leparoux riding. Should be every bit of 12/1. What's not to like? Sure seems to be flying under the radar. What am I missing?

hockey2315 04-26-2010 07:38 PM

I like him too, but don't think he'll be 12-1.

lemoncrush 04-26-2010 08:07 PM

I'm not a fan. I think the Gotham field was awful, and Leparoux isn't giving me much confidence the way he's been riding on the derby trail.
He's probably eligible to finish in the top 10, but I think he may indeed be a wise guy horse, which will put his odds way to low for me.
As of now, he won't be on any of my tickets.

dalakhani 04-26-2010 08:08 PM

I watched the replays from both New York races. He just doesn't look like he wants to go that far. Even in the Gotham, he sits the perfect trip and they looked like they were catching up to him getting to the wire.

I know his breeding says 10f but he looks like a miler to me. Good luck though.

philcski 04-26-2010 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315 (Post 640120)
I like him too, but don't think he'll be 12-1.

He'll be at least 12-1.

randallscott35 04-26-2010 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 640144)
He'll be at least 12-1.

10-1 offshore right now.

SilverRP 04-26-2010 08:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dalakhani (Post 640141)
I watched the replays from both New York races. He just doesn't look like he wants to go that far. Even in the Gotham, he sits the perfect trip and they looked like they were catching up to him getting to the wire.
I know his breeding says 10f but he looks like a miler to me. Good luck though.

Defiantly saw that as well. But at the same time, his Gotham was 1st back from 4 months off. I'd like to think that was the cause. His pedigree is just too good for him not to like a 1 1/4.

Don't know, defiantly not sold on him by any means, just seems like a real dangerous horse. So many people get off a horse due to one bad race, especially his final prep, but seems like he had a decent excuse.

Thunder Gulch 04-26-2010 09:05 PM

I go back and forth on this one, but only as a minor player. Agree he beat nothing in the Gotham, impressive though it was. Leparoux didn't give him a good ride in the Wood, not that it would have mattered. I think he can run late, however, he has been rank in almost every race so I'm leaning toward believing he will be a little too hyped up with all the surroundings. If he is headstrong and wants to pull, forget it.

hockey2315 04-26-2010 09:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 640144)
He'll be at least 12-1.

I'll be pleasantly shocked.

philcski 04-26-2010 09:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 640171)
Mike is making him 8-1 third choice. EVERY SINGLE PERSON I HAVE TALKED TO, LOVES HIM. I cant see him being over 10-1, I would say 10-1 max.

You guys might be right. Really depends on how much support L@L gets, if he's 3-1 then he has to be 12-1 by default. But if he drifts up to 4-1 AA could easily be down to 8-1. The TG guys don't like him which is why I think he might go the higher of the two.

I love Awesome Again as a sire, and was considering a future wager on him, but decided against it at the pool 3 odds.

Rootdog1 04-26-2010 09:28 PM

Even his connections are wondering if he is a one turn miler.....doesnt get me to confident if they say that publicly

miraja2 04-27-2010 08:22 PM

I think he is a must-include in all deep vertical and horizontal wagers.
Given how this race figures to develop from a pace perspective, his Gotham is just impressive enough to make him too scary for me to toss. His Wood was just plain unimpressive, and perhaps he just sucks that much, but the possibility that the business with the shoe is what robbed him of a late effort there is probable enough for me to give him a second chance to run better here. I think he has a very realistic chance to at least hit the board.

Cajungator26 04-27-2010 08:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SilverRP (Post 640115)
Ok, since the Eskendereya scratch I've been looking for a key horse. Looking over it today, I kept coming back to AA. His Gotham was terrific, lost a shoe in the Wood, should have a strong pace to run at, should love 1 1/4, and has Leparoux riding. Should be every bit of 12/1. What's not to like? Sure seems to be flying under the radar. What am I missing?

R.A.N curse. LMAO :D

Port Conway Lane 04-27-2010 09:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26 (Post 640600)
R.A.N curse. LMAO :D

Actually that's been a plus lately.;)

Cajungator26 04-27-2010 09:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane (Post 640611)
Actually that's been a plus lately.;)

Nope, it's only every 3 years. LOL ... :D

Barbaro in 2006 and Mine That Bird in 2009. So ... let's talk in 2012. Haha!

slotdirt 04-28-2010 10:05 AM

There was an article earlier this week in the London Evening Standard on Awesome Act:

http://www.thisislondon.co.uk/standa...ct-together.do

I like this quote from Noseda particularly:

"It is a shame the favourite is out because it detracts from the spectacle but my worry is the trip," said Noseda. "I wish the distance could be reduced because he didn't look like he got home [over 1m 1f] in the Wood Memorial, although maybe I'm reading too much into his defeat. "

Thunder Gulch 04-28-2010 10:13 AM

Jeez. Can't like the trainer questioning the distance...toss

randallscott35 04-28-2010 11:46 AM

There sure seems to be a fascination with this horse. I don't see it but to each his own.


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