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-   -   2/26 (GP): Fountain of Youth S., Mac Diamida S. (G2's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=45722)

Kasept 02-23-2012 03:28 PM

2/26 (GP): Fountain of Youth S., Mac Diamida S. (G2's)
 
10th (4:45) Mac Diarmida S. (G2)

1 3/8 Miles (Turf) | Open | 4 Year Olds And Up Stakes | Purse: $150,000

1 Eagle Poise Maragh R 121 L
2 Musketier (GER) Velazquez J R 123 L
3 Newsdad Leparoux J R 117 L
4 Minister Colin Trujillo E 117 L
5 Simmard Castellano J J 117 L
6 Mambo Meister Cruz M R 117 L
7 Dixie Emperor Solis A 123 FTL
8 Center Divider Lezcano J 117 L
9 Middie Bravo J 117 L
10 Crimson China Rose J 117 L



11th (5:13) Fasig-Tipton Fountain of Youth S. (G2)

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $400,000

1 Neck 'n Neck Lezcano J 116 Blk-On L
2 Algorithms Castellano J J 120 L
3 Fort Loudon Maragh R 120 L
4 Casual Trick Nakatani C S 116 L
5 Discreet Dancer Velazquez J R 116 L
6 News Pending Desormeaux K J 116 L
7 Union Rags Leparoux J R 122 L
8 Csaba Lopez P 116 L

my miss storm cat 02-23-2012 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 840572)
10th (4:45) Mac Diarmida S. (G2)

2 Musketier (GER) Velazquez J R 123

One of my favorites...

Hope he wins. :)

Travis Stone 02-26-2012 08:47 AM

Algorithms popped a splint and is now scratched from the FOY.

dino 02-26-2012 09:05 AM

Algorithms
 
Algorithms got injured. Won't run today

RockHardTen1985 02-26-2012 10:53 AM

Javier is tearing that meet up, but I wonder how he feels now?

Kasept 02-26-2012 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 841281)
Javier is tearing that meet up, but I wonder how he feels now?

Saw similar blather on twitter and facebook. Here's an FYI for that insipidness and the rest of the inanity spouting 'karmic forces'. Matt Muzikar and Castellano will have spent about 8 seconds bemoaning the loss of the mount today and then go about their business. They're averaging $15,000,000/year in earnings the last 2 years. You think Castellano is going to have trouble rounding up quality mounts in the Derby Trail stakes with Algorithms out? Good grief. As Jack Wolf said, 'It's horse racing and it's a tough game and you deal with it."

Kasept 02-26-2012 12:23 PM

And further, when Michael Matz gives Castellano & Muzikar as many potential successful mounts as the Pletcher barn, let me know.

Indian Charlie 02-26-2012 12:49 PM

I don't think Algoreithms is going to miss much time anyways.

Mike 02-26-2012 12:54 PM

The early comments were that Pletcher ...didn't feel comfortable running him today...

I'm hoping it's more a sign of confidence in Discreet Dancer's chances today. Had Algorithms already shipped in?

It's nothing serious, but Todd just doesn't fell comfortable running him today

3kings 02-26-2012 01:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 841319)
And further, when Michael Matz gives Castellano & Muzikar as many potential successful mounts as the Pletcher barn, let me know.

Can we add a slap down emoticon? Lol

Indian Charlie 02-26-2012 01:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 3kings (Post 841335)
Can we add a slap down emoticon? Lol

Why? Byk already wasted enough effort on him.

RockHardTen1985 02-26-2012 01:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 841315)
Saw similar blather on twitter and facebook. Here's an FYI for that insipidness and the rest of the inanity spouting 'karmic forces'. Matt Muzikar and Castellano will have spent about 8 seconds bemoaning the loss of the mount today and then go about their business. They're averaging $15,000,000/year in earnings the last 2 years. You think Castellano is going to have trouble rounding up quality mounts in the Derby Trail stakes with Algorithms out? Good grief. As Jack Wolf said, 'It's horse racing and it's a tough game and you deal with it."

I was one of the first ones to say it was a great move by Castellano to choose Algo. Pletcher business is great for ones career. Its an at the moment thing, and you know its gotta sting a little. Im highly against Union Rags today anyway..... But if he wins, Im sure they wont feel great about the decision

RolloTomasi 02-26-2012 02:30 PM

I guess this means that Algorithms is no longer the choice to be this year's Derby favorite scratched within 48 hrs of the race.

He peaked too soon. I would have thought he'd at least make it out of Florida before falling by the wayside.

helicopter11 02-26-2012 02:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 841315)
Saw similar blather on twitter and facebook. Here's an FYI for that insipidness and the rest of the inanity spouting 'karmic forces'. Matt Muzikar and Castellano will have spent about 8 seconds bemoaning the loss of the mount today and then go about their business. They're averaging $15,000,000/year in earnings the last 2 years. You think Castellano is going to have trouble rounding up quality mounts in the Derby Trail stakes with Algorithms out? Good grief. As Jack Wolf said, 'It's horse racing and it's a tough game and you deal with it."

:tro:

ateamstupid 02-26-2012 04:38 PM

Whoa.

RockHardTen1985 02-26-2012 04:38 PM

Ok so I have been a Union Rags hater, I lost money trying to beat him today and I just have not really believed in him. All I can say is WOW. Push button around the turn with that burst. If he moves forward off this Im not sure whos beating him.

my miss storm cat 02-26-2012 04:43 PM

Very very impressive!

Congrats too to the Simmard connections. He doesn't win much and I didn't have him in the top spot but always nice to see such a hard-tryer get it right. :)

ateamstupid 02-26-2012 04:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by my miss storm cat (Post 841421)
Very very impressive!

Congrats too to the Simmard connections. He doesn't win much and I didn't have him in the top spot but always nice to see such a hard-tryer get it right. :)

Simmard was game as they come. Newsdad had several chances to pass him and Simmard kept holding.

Indian Charlie 02-26-2012 04:59 PM

I thought the Flower Alley horse from the rail ran a nice race in the FOY.

That horse gets no respect at the windows.

Kasept 02-26-2012 05:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 841428)
I thought the Flower Alley horse from the rail ran a nice race in the FOY.

That horse gets no respect at the windows.

I like him too. Had plenty of early trouble to recover from. Was eager inside & with the blinks. Anxious to hear what Wilkes says.

Kasept 02-26-2012 05:19 PM

At first glance, it looks like Union Rags finished up in :30.1..

El Padrino 02-26-2012 05:19 PM

Video
 
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ye6ux...layer_embedded

citycat 02-26-2012 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 841429)
I like him too. Had plenty of early trouble to recover from. Was eager inside & with the blinks. Anxious to hear what Wilkes says.

He was actually my pick for the race but when he got pinched on the first turn its usually over with this caliber of horses. I thoght he recovered nicely. Do you think a Flower Alley can get the Derby distance?

RolloTomasi 02-26-2012 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 841415)
Ok so I have been a Union Rags hater, I lost money trying to beat him today and I just have not really believed in him. All I can say is WOW. Push button around the turn with that burst. If he moves forward off this Im not sure whos beating him.

Indicative of how times have change:

Union Rags has nearly achieved world-beater status for his romp in the Fountain Of Youth today.

Twenty years ago, 2yo champion Fly So Free was being downgraded for his performance in the same race, despite winning the Fountain Of Youth by 6 lengths. Never mind, he had also easily won the Hutcheson in his 3yo debut previously. In the FOY, Jose Santos had to resort to using the whip aggressively to get the horse in gear, and this was taken as a sign of decline.

Ironically, Fly So Free subsequently won the Florida Derby...and his reputation suffered even more. Winning in a paltry 1:50+ for the 9f, the naysayers pointed to the final time as further proof that he wasn't winning the Kentucky Derby. As ridiculous as that sounds for a champion colt that had won every major stakes at Gulfstream, they were justified in their conviction (Fly So Free ran a modest 5th in the Derby at over 3-1).

It was a tougher crowd back then, probably because there were better horses running...and lots of them.

Kasept 02-26-2012 07:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by citycat (Post 841448)
He was actually my pick for the race but when he got pinched on the first turn its usually over with this caliber of horses. I thoght he recovered nicely. Do you think a Flower Alley can get the Derby distance?

First, my own leanings say sires deliver speed, dams stamina. But Flower Alley himself won a Travers, so 10f was within his own grasp. Neck 'n Neck is out of Mr. Miles' own homebred Storm Boot mare Bootery who was a $100k earning miler that Wilkes trained. Her dam was by Runaway Groom and further back the female family is loaded with stamina influences including Broad Brush, Roberto and Sea Bird. If Flower Alley has any disposition to get classic distance route-goers, this family should have what he needs to bring it out.

Kasept 02-26-2012 07:21 PM

Union Rags 95

Arm Force 79
Politicallycorrect 83

RolloTomasi 02-26-2012 08:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus (Post 841472)
The game was so much different then -- as you know -- that Fly So Free ran in the Colin Stakes at 9F on Belmont Stakes Day. (He won, and might have rolled, if memory serves.)

It was actually the 7f Riva Ridge, but he did win easily. However, he was never consistent afterwards, either sprinting or routing. He flopped in the Dwyer in his next start.

Hansel started the year getting crushed in the FOY (5th by 11) and the Florida Derby (3rd by 5). Imagine such performances nowadays...he'd be written off completely.

Danzig 02-26-2012 09:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus (Post 841473)
Who, or what, is the source of your leanings?

i've read that thought for years, i thought it was just something that had been a part of breeding beliefs for some time?

speed on top, stamina on the bottom.

Travis Stone 02-26-2012 10:10 PM

I read a few times where it it's supposed to be distance/surface on top, and quality/class on bottom.

Calzone Lord 02-26-2012 11:21 PM

There's a whole lot of nonsense associated with pedigree -- and it has been exactly that way in American racing for at least 100 years...I know this because I've read several lengthy columns from 'Salvator' and Vosburgh where they would have fun mocking the theorists of the day.

There is big money in breeding horses. There is also big money in yearling sales...and few things to go on outside of looks, confirmation, and pedigree.

When analyzing pedigree - there are three and a half things I study.

The Sire's offspring, the Dam's racing record, the dam's produce and racing record of her produce, and the up-close tail female family (in that order)

Those are the angles to study and look for preferences and clues.

cmorioles 02-27-2012 12:19 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Travis Stone (Post 841486)
I read a few times where it it's supposed to be distance/surface on top, and quality/class on bottom.

All of this stuff about males giving some traits and females others seems pretty ridiculous to me.

Indian Charlie 02-27-2012 12:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles (Post 841491)
All of this stuff about males giving some traits and females others seems pretty ridiculous to me.

Remember this though..

Behind every crazy man is a mother.

Kasept 02-27-2012 04:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus (Post 841473)
Who, or what, is the source of your leanings?

The usual breeding practice/pedigree sources as Doug mentions like Hervey ("Salvator"), W.H.P. Robertson, Col. Wall, Shipman and Hatton in the American Racing Manuals, more recent writings like Ed Bowen's Matriarchs/Dynasties/Legacies, Edwin Anthony's new The American Thoroughbred, etc..

Travis Stone 02-27-2012 07:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cmorioles (Post 841491)
All of this stuff about males giving some traits and females others seems pretty ridiculous to me.

No doubt.

VOL JACK 02-27-2012 09:27 AM

I have always thought the top sires like Storm Cat and Smart Strike provide the class, while the dam side provides surface and distance preference.

I remember JCGC day at Belmont in 2007.
Smart Strike's off spring won the 3 biggest races that day.

Vosbugh 6f on dirt: Fabulous Strike (Lost Code mare)

Joe Hirsch 10f on turf: English Channel (Theatrical mare)

Jockey Club GC 10f on Dirt: Curlin (Deputy Minister mare)

GenuineRisk 02-27-2012 12:21 PM

I believe the thinking now is that terrific horses than can get a distance have larger than average hearts, and that, it's believed, is a genetic trait that is carried on the X chromosome, so male horses can only inherit the larger heart via their mothers. Ergo looking to the dam's side, rather than the sire's for distance indications.

Of course, lots of things go into whether a horse can run a distance, but a large heart is a good advantage to have, and it can only be passed via the X chromosome.

I remember reading somewhere that in female horses, both X chromosomes must carry the gene for the larger heart for the filly to be born with one, so while Lady's Secret likely received the gene from her dad, her mother must also have carried it.

Calzone Lord 02-27-2012 12:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by VOL JACK (Post 841543)
I have always thought the top sires like Storm Cat and Smart Strike provide the class, while the dam side provides surface and distance preference.

Not to be a pain in the ass...

But...there are a lot of sires who provide surface and distance preferences to their offspring.

The "class" is provided by the horse itself. You could breed the same sire to the same dam and get one top horse, one useful horse, one ok horse, one cheap and slow horse, and one horse who can't outrun a goat.

However, at all realms of ability...the offspring are likely to have leanings and preferences in regard to surface, distance, and development.

VOL JACK 02-27-2012 01:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Calzone Lord (Post 841579)
Not to be a pain in the ass...

But...there are a lot of sires who provide surface and distance preferences to their offspring.

The "class" is provided by the horse itself. You could breed the same sire to the same dam and get one top horse, one useful horse, one ok horse, one cheap and slow horse, and one horse who can't outrun a goat.

However, at all realms of ability...the offspring are likely to have leanings and preferences in regard to surface, distance, and development.

The Sire is important for surface, for sure.

I was just providing an example of a versatile Sire that throws high class horses but, because of their Dam side were different types of horses.


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