Derby Trail Prep Probables
 

4/30 (CD): G1 Kentucky Oaks

1 Blind Luck
2 Quiet Temper
3 Beautician
4 Devil May Care
5 Amen Hallelujah
6 Evening Jewel
7 Crisp
8 Sassy Image
9 Joanie's Catch
10 Bella Diamante
11 Jody Slew
12 It's Tea Time
13 Tidal Pool
14 Ailalea
----------------------------------
Champagne D'Oro
Switch
C C's Pal
Mambo Fever
Age of Humor
Seeking the Title
Sheer Beauty
Tap Tap Taping
Harissa



5/1 (CD): G1 Kentucky Derby ($2MM)

1 Lookin At Lucky $1,480,000
2 Noble's Promise $738,000
3 Rule $645,000
4 Sidney's Candy $630,000
T-5 Eskendereya $600,000
T-5 Line of David $600,000
7 Mission Impazible $473,434
8 Ice Box $457,500
9 Stately Victor $450,000
10 Endorsement $400,000

11 Conveyance $386,000
12 American Lion $378,000
13 Dublin $373,208
14 Super Saver $363,832
15 Discreetly Mine $355,000
16 Dean’s Kitten $326,475
17 Interactif $292,950
18 Awesome Act $285,000
19 Paddy O'Prado $250,950
20 Homeboykris (g) $250,500

Thank you for this.

My pleasure... It's a Derby Trail Spring tradition. Kinda like the banning of PG85.

:tro: I went looking for something like this last night but ran out of steam and went to bed.

Thanks again....

Is the Miner's horse of Zito's being pointed anywhere

According to the DRF, Alexis Barba has changed plans with her two prospects. Alphie's Bet will point to the Santa Anita Derby while Make Music For Me will wheel back in the Lane's End. Not sure if that means the latter will go for the Blue Grass afterwards.

Apparently an ALW race..

Am I correct in reading that Rule will end up with only one prep on his schedule?

NO.
He has already won the Sam Davis, he will run again before the derby.

Sorry, mistyped, meant two preps. I knew he won the Sam Davis. Toss.

Make Music For Me pointing to Lane's End (Turfway, 3/27)

Am I getting close?

yes imo

I know it's fillies, but does anybody know where Always a Princess is being pointed to?

LOL... No. A few others moved past you on the backstretch.

Good question. She's working steadily, so she's healthy. Will check with Baffert and see what's up.

Thanks for this, always helpful this time of year.

I liked her a lot in BC.... Ughh.

Now Make Music For Me is pointing for the Blue Grass, not the Lane's End.

I think I read that the Derby isn't on Zito's radar for Miner's reward. As Steve said, he'll probably go in an allowance, and assuming all goes well, will prep for the Preakness in the Cliff's Edge Derby Trial.

That shouldn't surprise because the CEDT is sponsored for the first time this year by LaPenta in order to promote his stallion, The Cliff's Edge. It should be expected that he would want to have a promising up-and-comer run in that race. Miner's Reserve makes perfect sense, I would think, because he's promising, he's an up-and-comer, and he's really just a little bit too far behind the 8-ball, experience and earnings-wise, for the Derby to be a realistic target here in mid-March.

I like him a lot. I hope they do well with him.

I laughed.

Tiz Chrome?

Injured.

Actually he's OK. Baffert told Haskin and I Monday that they cannot find a thing wrong with him and he's back in gear.

Worked 6f yesterday in 1:11.1 on the heels of a 7f jaunt in 1:25.2 last week. There's no timetable or defined target, but he's fine.

Thanks Steve,I thought I read somewhere that he was hurt.

Might get on a plane to FL this week...might.

Per Bloodhorse,

Walden said Drosselmeyer will run next in the $750,000 Louisiana Derby (gr. II) March 27 if they decide to enter Rule in the $750,000 Florida Derby (gr. I), which is the way they are leaning right now. If Rule goes to the Louisiana Derby instead, which is a possibility, they then would race Drosselmeyer in either the $800,000 Sunland Derby (gr. III) March 28 or the $500,000 Illinois Derby (gr. II) April 3.

http://www.bloodhorse.com/horse-raci...r-drosselmeyer

Article does not mention Rule running in the Wood Memorial. I believe I read in a David Grening DRF column that Super Saver may go in the Wood after running in the Tampa Bay Derby

Per Jeremy Plonk's ESPN.com column,

Also in the Lane's End: NORTHERN GIANT, VOW TO WAGER, QUIET ALL AMERICAN, CODOY, IN THE PAINT.
Also in the Louisiana Derby: The Program
Also in the Sunland Derby: Nextdoorneighbor
Illinois Derby (April 3, Haw): I'VE GOT THE FEVER.

http://sports.espn.go.com/sports/hor...emy&id=4987825

Doubles Partner in Lane's End.

For the Louisiana Derby, add A Little Warm and Mister Mardi Gras per Marcus Hersh DRF article.

What Derby is I've Got the Fever prepping for.....the Claiming Derby?

Claiming Crown Jewel.

Fla. Derby Post expected around 6:20 PM ET

I'll be able to sleep well tonight. Thanks.

McPeek will keep Noble's Promise and Beautician at OP for the Arky Derby and Fantasy respectively...

Steve: thanks for continuing to update this thread.

I wonder if we will get a Noble's Promise/Lookin at Lucky rematch in the AR Derby.

The Fantasy is shaping up to be a nice Grade 2 and nice Kentucky Oaks prep with Beautician, Blind Luck, All Due Respect, Decelerator, and No Such Word (Honeybee winner) most likely pointed there. Unfortunately, the race is on a Friday -- I will have to take off work early to watch this key Kentucky Oaks prep. The Apple Blossom will also impact my work schedule the following Friday.

I am really looking forward to Saturday's Bonnie Miss if both Christine Daae (who had a nice workout today) and Amen Hallelujah both go.

I know Matz was saying they didn't want to ruin Lentenor for one race (the KY Derby obviously), but is he going to try a Derby prep with the idea of considering, say, the Belmont down the road?

We've got our first Illinois Derby contender!!

Schoolyard Dreams.

I think you can pencil Dean's Kitten in for the Lane's End.

geez
 

per drf.com....three month layoff into the Derby???????

Homeboykris training up to Kentucky Derby

Dutrow said his other top 3-year-old, Homeboykris, will train up to the Kentucky Derby. Winner of the Champagne Stakes last fall and third-place finisher in the Remsen, Homeboykris's only race this year was a second-place finish to Radiohead in a Feb. 27 allowance race.

"I'm not going to run him back until then because I'm afraid he'll blow his race," Dutrow said. "The first time we run him it was off a three-month break, and he ran huge."

This is hilarious. If this actually happens, what would his odds be on Derby day? He would have to be the longest shot in the field. 90-1 at least.
Dutrow can't actually think this horse wants a mile and a quarter, especially running off a 3-month layoff in a 20 horse field.

Dutrow could start a goat in the Derby and it would probably be less than 90/1.

Heck, if IEAH buys the goat - and Borel rides the goat - and Dutrow tells reporters "This is the best goat I've ever trained..I might go all in, babe" .. I think you're looking at about only a 12/1 shot.

A few columnists might even pick it to win the race ... but a lack of dapples and a very weak 5th generation pedigree is sure to keep it from replacing Interactif and Awesome Act from the respective 3rd and 4th spots they currently hold in the 'Haskin's Derby Dozen' top 12 list.

anyone konw where Tiz the One is headed ?