Derby Trail Forums

Derby Trail Forums (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/index.php)
-   Triple Crown Topics/Archive.. (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=9)
-   -   Denis sparkles in drill under Borel (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21795)

Kasept 04-21-2008 08:10 AM

Denis sparkles in drill under Borel
 
Denis of Cork just posted what will likely be the day's most talked about work at the Downs ripping 5f in 1:00.0 and galloping out the final quarter in a shade over :22.0.
Under Calvin Borel, the David Carroll trainee went easily for a half mile (48.0) without urging before being asked for the sharp finish. Borel had difficulty pulling the colt up.

Coach Pants 04-21-2008 08:13 AM

Ohhhhhhh!!!!!!

Googily googily goo!! Look out world!!!

ShadowRoll 04-21-2008 08:26 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Denis of Cork just posted what will likely be the day's most talked about work at the Downs ripping 5f in 1:00.0 and galloping out the final quarter in a shade over :22.0.

Under Calvin Borel, the David Carroll trainee went easily for a half mile (48.0) without urging before being asked for the sharp finish. Borel had difficulty pulling the colt up.

Thanks for this. The final works at Churchill have become a crucial part of my Derby handicapping.

Did you see it, Steve?

Thunder Gulch 04-21-2008 08:33 AM

Galloped out the extra two panels in .22.0???Wow

Kasept 04-21-2008 08:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ShadowRoll
Thanks for this. The final works at Churchill have become a crucial part of my Derby handicapping.

Did you see it, Steve?

Yes. Was at the barn before and after and on the frontside for the spin. Silly me thought that many would be interested in hearing about it firsthand minutes after it was completed... But yet another DTer with a bizarre hard-on for a trainer seems to indicate there isn't interest and I needn't bother to report anything from here.

Kasept 04-21-2008 08:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch
Galloped out the extra two panels in .22.0???Wow

Wrote that wrong.. Final quarter on the gallop out. There may be a fraction on that too. I didn't hear the clocker clearly except for the '22' part.

2 Dollar Bill 04-21-2008 08:46 AM

Steve,
Any other (possible) derby horses working /on the grounds @ C.D. ?
Thanks for the report.

Scav 04-21-2008 08:48 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Yes. Was at the barn before and after and on the frontside for the spin. Silly me thought that many would be interested in hearing about it firsthand minutes after it was completed... But yet another DTer with a bizarre hard-on for a trainer seems to indicate there isn't interest and I needn't bother to report anything from here.

You need to report this stuff here, at least the smart players will be recognizing the information as noteworthy....

Scav 04-21-2008 08:54 AM

Steve, real quick, and let me start this comment with I know little about works, except for the ones I used to see on TVG when they have The Works

Was Borel really after him in the stretch, like with the whip or did he just shove him / show him the whip and he took off?

Scav 04-21-2008 08:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
You need to report this stuff here, at least the smart players will be recognizing the information as noteworthy....

And Coach, this isn't calling you dumb or not a smart player....

Kasept 04-21-2008 09:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Steve, real quick, and let me start this comment with I know little about works, except for the ones I used to see on TVG when they have The Works

Was Borel really after him in the stretch, like with the whip or did he just shove him / show him the whip and he took off?

Whip was in his back pocket.
I was at the finish line and only heard Calvin smooching at him.

HaloWishingwell 04-21-2008 09:14 AM

maybe I'm wrong but I think he wasn't knocking the workout report but the chances of DENIS OF CORK.

IrishofNDMan 04-21-2008 09:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Denis of Cork just posted what will likely be the day's most talked about work at the Downs ripping 5f in 1:00.0 and galloping out the final quarter in a shade over :22.0.
Under Calvin Borel, the David Carroll trainee went easily for a half mile (48.0) without urging before being asked for the sharp finish. Borel had difficulty pulling the colt up.

Awesome update, keep em coming!

Coach Pants 04-21-2008 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
And Coach, this isn't calling you dumb or not a smart player....

I really don't care if it is. I'll call anyone who wagers on this horse derby day an idiot.

Coach Pants 04-21-2008 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HaloWishingwell
maybe I'm wrong but I think he wasn't knocking the workout report but the chances of DENIS OF CORK.

I was also getting under Steve's skin over his man crush of Carroll.

Coach Pants 04-21-2008 10:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
:rolleyes:

:D

IrishofNDMan 04-21-2008 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
I really don't care if it is. I'll call anyone who wagers on this horse derby day an idiot.

Idiot #1 right here

Scav 04-21-2008 10:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
I really don't care if it is. I'll call anyone who wagers on this horse derby day an idiot.

I'll admit that I am including him in my tri and exactas.

I am keying Colonel John in all three spots with 9 other horses, total cost of $216. Right now my five horses for the $10 exacta box I play are.

Colonel John
Denis of Cork
Pyro
Z Fortune
Have no idea on the fifth

TheSpyder 04-21-2008 10:22 AM

Really like your 5th choice..that's mine right now too.

Steve, love the works info and as someone else said, key to Derby pick.

Spyder
Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
I'll admit that I am including him in my tri and exactas.

I am keying Colonel John in all three spots with 9 other horses, total cost of $216. Right now my five horses for the $10 exacta box I play are.

Colonel John
Denis of Cork
Pyro
Z Fortune
Have no idea on the fifth


horseofcourse 04-21-2008 10:30 AM

Any insight on the overly fast "stretch her legs out" Eight Belles work at Keeneland yesterday?? And if I am reading under the lines correctly, the plan is to enter her in both races, and they will scratch from one or the other depending on the KY Derby post potentially keeping someone out of the Derby?? Is that what's going on here?

Coach Pants 04-21-2008 10:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
I'll admit that I am including him in my tri and exactas.

I am keying Colonel John in all three spots with 9 other horses, total cost of $216. Right now my five horses for the $10 exacta box I play are.

Colonel John
Denis of Cork
Pyro
Z Fortune
Have no idea on the fifth

Tale of Ekati.

slotdirt 04-21-2008 11:05 AM

Steve, the Denis report is great, but since you were there, do you have anything for the masses on Z Fortune? He also worked this morning at the Downs...

Scav 04-21-2008 11:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt
Steve, the Denis report is great, but since you were there, do you have anything for the masses on Z Fortune? He also worked this morning at the Downs...

Nice pull Slot, suprised Steve didn't mention it.

50.1 work, slow, but probably what was asked of him given assmussen usually doesn't work very fast

CSC 04-21-2008 11:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Denis of Cork just posted what will likely be the day's most talked about work at the Downs ripping 5f in 1:00.0 and galloping out the final quarter in a shade over :22.0.
Under Calvin Borel, the David Carroll trainee went easily for a half mile (48.0) without urging before being asked for the sharp finish. Borel had difficulty pulling the colt up.

Great info, I like horses that start slow and finish fast rather than start fast and finish slow...thus final times on works never tell the entire story esp in longer races that require stamina. This was useful.

tiggerv 04-21-2008 11:29 AM

How much stock are you guys really putting into these workouts? I understand wanting to see a workout for a first time starter to determine if the horse has any talent or to check the fitness of a horse off a long layoff. What I don't get is the importance of 1 workout for a Derby horse that has proven race form. I mean even Hacker Craft apparently can put in a good workout. It doesn't mean I am going to bet him or claim him (sorry Chuck). Am I supposed to jump on the Court Vision bandwagon because he can work a 46 even though his proven race form says otherwise? Even a horse like Colonel John who has never run on dirt...how much is a 3F breeze going to tell you? I guarantee that there will be a lot of jockey and trainer speak about how much he loved the surface no matter what he does. I have never heard a trainer say a horse has been working like crap before a race.

Someone school me on how you are interpreting this data because I won't even look at it.

sumitas 04-21-2008 11:32 AM

To answer your question, none.

Coach Pants 04-21-2008 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiggerv
How much stock are you guys really putting into these workouts? I understand wanting to see a workout for a first time starter to determine if the horse has any talent or to check the fitness of a horse off a long layoff. What I don't get is the importance of 1 workout for a Derby horse that has proven race form. I mean even Hacker Craft apparently can put in a good workout. It doesn't mean I am going to bet him or claim him (sorry Chuck). Am I supposed to jump on the Court Vision bandwagon because he can work a 46 even though his proven race form says otherwise? Even a horse like Colonel John who has never run on dirt...how much is a 3F breeze going to tell you? I guarantee that there will be a lot of jockey and trainer speak about how much he loved the surface no matter what he does. I have never heard a trainer say a horse has been working like crap before a race.

Someone school me on how you are interpreting this data because I won't even look at it.

Uh sir...

This isn't the time, nor place for making sense.

Move along now.

slotdirt 04-21-2008 11:39 AM

I would suggest with all the whacky synthetic tracks out there, how a horse works over Churchill's strip is more important than ever in terms of how a given entrant might perform in next weekend's big race. I know I'm paying attention to these works more so than I have in the past.

Kasept 04-21-2008 11:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Nice pull Slot, suprised Steve didn't mention it.

50.1 work, slow, but probably what was asked of him given assmussen usually doesn't work very fast

Recall that Z Fortune ran a week ago Saturday... He was stretching his legs.

This was Denis of Cork's last serious effort before the Derby start, if there is going to be a Derby start, and since he didn't get a lot out of the Hawthorne visit, it was an important drill.

ShadowRoll 04-21-2008 11:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiggerv
How much stock are you guys really putting into these workouts? I understand wanting to see a workout for a first time starter to determine if the horse has any talent or to check the fitness of a horse off a long layoff. What I don't get is the importance of 1 workout for a Derby horse that has proven race form. I mean even Hacker Craft apparently can put in a good workout. It doesn't mean I am going to bet him or claim him (sorry Chuck). Am I supposed to jump on the Court Vision bandwagon because he can work a 46 even though his proven race form says otherwise? Even a horse like Colonel John who has never run on dirt...how much is a 3F breeze going to tell you? I guarantee that there will be a lot of jockey and trainer speak about how much he loved the surface no matter what he does. I have never heard a trainer say a horse has been working like crap before a race.

Someone school me on how you are interpreting this data because I won't even look at it.

A good clocker's report is worth it's weight in gold. It's not so much the raw times, but how the horse looked -- whether he's eager, how he carries himself, how he runs the different portions of the work, who's on him, who works with him, if there's any interaction with other horses, how he finished up, whether he was blowing when he got done and how he cooled off.

I've said this several times before, but I got burnt at Barbaro's Derby when I didn't use Bluegrass Cat on my tickets because his last prep race was a clunker, despite the fact that I liked him earlier in the year. I remember very clearly listening to ATR while I was driving from PA to Kentucky, and someone on the show (probably Steve) reporting just how good Blugrass Cat looked during his works at Churchill.

Kasept 04-21-2008 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiggerv
How much stock are you guys really putting into these workouts? I understand wanting to see a workout for a first time starter to determine if the horse has any talent or to check the fitness of a horse off a long layoff. What I don't get is the importance of 1 workout for a Derby horse that has proven race form. I mean even Hacker Craft apparently can put in a good workout. It doesn't mean I am going to bet him or claim him (sorry Chuck). Am I supposed to jump on the Court Vision bandwagon because he can work a 46 even though his proven race form says otherwise? Even a horse like Colonel John who has never run on dirt...how much is a 3F breeze going to tell you? I guarantee that there will be a lot of jockey and trainer speak about how much he loved the surface no matter what he does. I have never heard a trainer say a horse has been working like crap before a race.

Someone school me on how you are interpreting this data because I won't even look at it.

The workouts and physical appearance of Derby starters on THIS track should be of great interest. In the last couple of years they pointed out impending big efforts from Street Sense, Barbaro and Bluegrass Cat, as well as poor efforts from any number of runners. Read Mike Welsch's and Steve Haskin's workout reports for some clues as to how the runners are getting over the track and looking generally. I also expect to have several top dawn patrol types on ATR next week.

I can tell you specifically that Bluegrass Cat, whom I hated, blossomed as Derby Week progressed two years ago, his coat going from dull and lifeless the weekend before to glistening by Thursday. I ignored it, though Haskin kept telling me he was coming in right, and it cost me the all the exotics as I had included Barbaro, Jazil and Steppenwolfer but excluded BluCat.

You're looking for horses that are showing signs of being at the peak of fitness... and that is something that needs to be observed. Since many can't view it, relying on people like Gary Young, Welsch and Haskin as your eyes certainly doesn't hurt.

whodey17 04-21-2008 12:06 PM

I was at the work as well this morning. It was pretty amazing. I like to really look over the horse after a work to see how he handled it. DofC was awesome after the work. He acted as if he wanted to go out there again and work. I remember Sweetnorthernsaint working extremely fast and when he got back to the barn he was spent. But not DofC---I was very very impressed with his actions after the work.

To answer about Z Fortune - he was out there for a little jog. Nothing special.

SniperSB23 04-21-2008 12:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tiggerv
How much stock are you guys really putting into these workouts? I understand wanting to see a workout for a first time starter to determine if the horse has any talent or to check the fitness of a horse off a long layoff. What I don't get is the importance of 1 workout for a Derby horse that has proven race form. I mean even Hacker Craft apparently can put in a good workout. It doesn't mean I am going to bet him or claim him (sorry Chuck). Am I supposed to jump on the Court Vision bandwagon because he can work a 46 even though his proven race form says otherwise? Even a horse like Colonel John who has never run on dirt...how much is a 3F breeze going to tell you? I guarantee that there will be a lot of jockey and trainer speak about how much he loved the surface no matter what he does. I have never heard a trainer say a horse has been working like crap before a race.

Someone school me on how you are interpreting this data because I won't even look at it.

I used to feel the same way but the past few years the reports on the works for the Derby and BC have beed dead on as the horses looking good have run well and the few that actually drew negative attention ran poorly. I, of course, ignored that info and left horses like Bluegrass Cat off my ticket and only played Barbaro underneath. I'm going to be paying a lot more attention this year especially in the case of a Colonel John who's never run on dirt. Never listen to what the trainers have to say, they are of course going to tell you that everything went perfect. But there are a lot of people out there who do know exactly what to look for and getting their input can be important. It's only a piece of the puzzle but it is one that shouldn't be completely ignored.

CSC 04-21-2008 12:17 PM

I agree with most that see workouts at CD as a vital source of information. With the advent of Poly as suspect prep or indicators of upcoming performances. I am more willing to rely on a good eye from trackside as a valuable handicapping tool. I know Steve Haskin glows about almost every horse but he does give clues almost every year.

ShadowRoll 04-21-2008 12:21 PM

http://tcm.bloodhorse.com/viewstory.asp?id=44710

Rileyoriley 04-21-2008 09:11 PM

I would appreciate it Steve if you would continue to post your observations. Thanks.:)

Scav 04-21-2008 09:22 PM

All of this will be for not since Porter is yapping that he is cross entering Eight Belles and post will determine where he is going, heres to him getting pinned to the rail in both races.

horseofcourse 04-21-2008 09:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
All of this will be for not since Porter is yapping that he is cross entering Eight Belles and post will determine where he is going, heres to him getting pinned to the rail in both races.

I like the horse but his clowning makes it tough.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 10:25 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.6.8
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.