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-   -   War Pass --DB ? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=20804)

sumitas 03-16-2008 01:22 PM

KRIM
"The owner said that War Pass was sick. Based on how he ran yesterday, I'm sure he wasn't 100% and they knew it. It wasn't so much that they ran him when he was not 100%. It was more of the fact that they ran a GI horse in a GIII race that really doesn't matter that much when the horse wasn't 100% when the KD should be the goal and is only two months away. If it would have been an important GI, and the horse wasn't 100%, and they raced him anyway, my views would be different."

I have no clue what you are blathering about.


You're about as decisive as Hillary is on illegal immigrants. No comprende.

The Indomitable DrugS 03-16-2008 01:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Georgie Boy. His pedigree is the most questionable as well. I don't know if he will take to the dirt.

Unlike the dam's of Colonel John and El Gato Malo, who ran their best race on turf, the dam of Georgie Boy hated the turf.

If people are looking for horses to "move up" going from synthetic to dirt based on pedigree - they should look for horses who were out of dams who didn't care for the turf - and by sires who are low percentage turf and synthetic sires.

kentuckyrosesinmay 03-16-2008 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Unlike the dam's of Colonel John and El Gato Malo, who ran their best race on turf, the dam of Georgie Boy hated the turf.

If people are looking for horses to "move up" going from synthetic to dirt based on pedigree - they should look for horses who were out of dams who didn't care for the turf - and by sires who are low percentage turf and synthetic sires.

These horses don't need to move up on the dirt. If Colonel John didn't improve at all from synthetic to dirt and stayed the same, I would still be happy with him at this point. Might change my opinion though. Still quite a few weeks until the derby.

Cajungator26 03-16-2008 01:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
The owner said that War Pass was sick. Based on how he ran yesterday, I'm sure he wasn't 100% and they knew it. It wasn't so much that they ran him when he was not 100%. It was more of the fact that they ran a GI horse in a GIII race that really doesn't matter that much when the horse wasn't 100% when the KD should be the goal and is only two months away. If it would have been an important GI, and the horse wasn't 100%, and they raced him anyway, my views would be different.

I'm just confused as to how you can have different views on whether or not a horse that is less than 100% (whether it be lameness or illness) should be run. I don't give a crap whether it's a Grade 1 or a Grade 3, a horse that is sick shouldn't be run. If the Grade 1 race is as important as you say, then they shouldn't run a sick animal knowing that their chances could possibly be compromised.

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Maybe the horse was done, they knew it, and were trying to get one more race out of him. Who knows?

WTF? If they were going to get one more race out of him, I highly doubt that they would have chosen the Tampa Bay Derby.

Danzig 03-16-2008 01:28 PM

i can't believe someone thinks they would run a horse the likes of war pass one more time because he was 'done'. what kind of logic is that? oh, he's done...le's take a shot in the tampa bay derby. oh please.
i think it was more a case of he seems fine, so let's continue with our plans. zito is a successful trainer, he knows what he's doing, and he knows the horse. he thought war pass was fine, and really no way of knowing what would happen til it did. this sunday morning training is pretty dammed laughable.

sumitas 03-16-2008 01:28 PM

Unless we all know the condition of the horses all you are doing is speculating on an unknown.

I guess horse racing fans don't mind being kept in the dark about the athletes.

Danzig 03-16-2008 01:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I'm just confused as to how you can have different views on whether or not a horse that is less than 100% (whether it be lameness or illness) should be run. I don't give a crap whether it's a Grade 1 or a Grade 3, a horse that is sick shouldn't be run. If the Grade 1 race is as important as you say, then they shouldn't run a sick animal knowing that their chances could possibly be compromised.



WTF? If they were going to get one more race out of him, I highly doubt that they would have chosen the Tampa Bay Derby.

oh, sure...beat me to the punch.

btw, lapenta says they are unsure now about going to the wood.

Cajungator26 03-16-2008 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
oh, sure...beat me to the punch.

btw, lapenta says they are unsure now about going to the wood.

I just hope he's OK. It would suck not having War Pass in the Derby...

kentuckyrosesinmay 03-16-2008 01:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sumitas
KRIM
"The owner said that War Pass was sick. Based on how he ran yesterday, I'm sure he wasn't 100% and they knew it. It wasn't so much that they ran him when he was not 100%. It was more of the fact that they ran a GI horse in a GIII race that really doesn't matter that much when the horse wasn't 100% when the KD should be the goal and is only two months away. If it would have been an important GI, and the horse wasn't 100%, and they raced him anyway, my views would be different."

I have no clue what you are blathering about.


You're about as decisive as Hillary is on illegal immigrants. No comprende.

The owner said that War Pass was sick. Based on how he ran yesterday, I'm sure he wasn't 100% and they [War Pass's connections; Zito, owner, etc.] knew it [that he wasn't 100%]. [My current views of Zito] It wasn't so much that they [the connections] ran him [War Pass] when he was not 100%. [My views about Zito] It was more of the fact that they ran a GI horse [War Pass] in a GIII race that really doesn't matter that much when the horse wasn't 100%. The KD should be the goal for this horse, and is only two months away. If the Tampa Bay Derby would have been an important GI or the goal for this horse, and they raced War Pass when he wasn't 100% anyway [in a GI race], then my views [about Zito] would be different.

Zito and the connections probably have some deeper motive for racing War Pass yesterday if he wasn't 100% though. I said those statements earlier prematurely out of frustration. I will give him the benefit of the doubt, but I have seen him make moves before that were questionable. Every trainer does though. Maybe the horse was done, they knew it, and were trying to get one more race out of him. Maybe a breathing problem did surface. Maybe he just hated TBD and the trip. Who knows right now? I guess we'll find out. Hope the horse is ok.

Cajungator26 03-16-2008 01:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
The owner said that War Pass was sick. Based on how he ran yesterday, I'm sure he wasn't 100% and they [War Pass's connections; Zito, owner, etc.] knew it [that he wasn't 100%]. [My current views of Zito] It wasn't so much that they [the connections] ran him [War Pass] when he was not 100%. [My views about Zito] It was more of the fact that they ran a GI horse [War Pass] in a GIII race that really doesn't matter that much when the horse wasn't 100%. The KD should be the goal for this horse, and is only two months away. If the Tampa Bay Derby would have been an important GI or the goal for this horse, and they raced War Pass when he wasn't 100% then my views [about Zito] would be different.

Zito and the connections probably have some deeper motive for racing War Pass yesterday if he wasn't 100% though. Maybe the horse was done, they knew it, and were trying to get one more race out of him. Who knows? I guess we'll find out.

How in God's green earth would your views be different? So you're OK with running sick horses as long as they're running in Grade 1's? This is hogwash.

kentuckyrosesinmay 03-16-2008 01:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
How in God's green earth would your views be different? So you're OK with running sick horses as long as they're running in Grade 1's? This is hogwash.

I edited the post above.

Trainers do it all the time...run the horses when they are not 100%. It's just that the best trainers pick their spots very carefully when their best animals are not feeling well or 100%, or they don't race them at all. I would prefer the latter, but that is not realistic in horse racing. I cannot tell you the number of times that I have seen trainers run horses, and knew that the horses running weren't 100% before they went into the race. It happens every day. If trainers didn't race their horses when they weren't 100%, there would be alot fewer horses in races.

Danzig 03-16-2008 01:53 PM

war pass didn't lose due to a fever. or due to shipping. or due to not liking the track, the bad break, the pinching back, the rankness, the change in racing style....
but all those things combined...

he's 5 and 1 in 6 starts. i'm not ready to stick a fork in him. but, the old 'what have you done for me lately' syndrome is alive and well.

SCUDSBROTHER 03-16-2008 02:03 PM

[quote=Danzig] zito is a successful trainer, he knows what he's doing /QUOTE]

You can sell it,but after the 2005 Derby,I can't blame anyone for not buying it.He is "o.k." He is a successful trainer,but I wouldn't say he always knows what he is doing.He pretty much just threw everything against the wall that year,and none of it stuck.Didn't he think Noble Causeway was "just fine" when Bailey refused to ride him.

Cannon Shell 03-16-2008 02:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
I edited the post above.

Trainers do it all the time...run the horses when they are not 100%. It's just that the best trainers pick their spots very carefully when their best animals are not feeling well or 100%, or they don't race them at all. I would prefer the latter, but that is not realistic in horse racing. I cannot tell you the number of times that I have seen trainers run horses, and knew that the horses running weren't 100% before they went into the race. It happens every day. If trainers didn't race their horses when they weren't 100%, there would be alot fewer horses in races.

Have you ever actually been to the track? If you have this ability to determine a horses health to a certain degree before the race you are wasting your time in college. You could make millions betting against less than 100% favs.

The Indomitable DrugS 03-16-2008 02:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

You can sell it,but after the 2005 Derby,I can't blame anyone for not buying it.He is "o.k." He is a successful trainer,but I wouldn't say he always knows what he is doing.He pretty much just threw everything against the wall that year,and none of it stuck.

Let me get this straight....

One race, the 2005 Kentucky Derby proves Zito doesn't always know what he's doing?

Zito got five horses to earn their way into the starting gate that year.

* Bellamy Road (Wood Memorial win)

* High Fly (Florida Derby win & Fountain of Youth win)

* Sun King (Tampa Derby win)

* Noble Causeway (Florida Derby 2nd place)

* Andromedia's Hero (Sam Davis win, Ark Derby 3rd place)

And because none of them hit the board "he doesn't know what he is doing" ?

SCUDSBROTHER 03-16-2008 02:16 PM

[quote=DaHoss9698]
Quote:

Originally Posted by SCUDSBROTHER

Think about this sentence for a minute. How is he so successful if he doesn't always know what he is doing? Dumb luck?

Because people like you think he shits golden eggs.How can he not be successful when he gets what he gets? The guy is a good person,and has a great personality,and that will get you a long way.Lasorda was one of the worst strategic managers ever,but he could get people to go to war for a cause.

SCUDSBROTHER 03-16-2008 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
Let me get this straight....

One race, the 2005 Kentucky Derby proves Zito doesn't always know what he's doing?

Zito got five horses to earn their way into the starting gate that year.

* Bellamy Road (Wood Memorial win)

* High Fly (Florida Derby win & Fountain of Youth win)

* Sun King (Tampa Derby win)

* Noble Causeway (Florida Derby 2nd place)

* Andromedia's Hero (Sam Davis win, Ark Derby 3rd place)

And because none of them hit the board "he doesn't know what he is doing" ?

Let me get this straight.This trainer doesn't hit the board with 5 horses entered in the 2005 Kentucky Derby,but he knew what he was doing? Bailey refused to ride Noble Causeway,but Zito knew what he was doing? I CAN'T ARGUE WITH SOMEBODY WHO THINKS THIS PERSON KNEW WHAT HE WAS DOING.We will just have to agree to disagree.He is an "o.k." trainer.


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