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kentuckyrosesinmay 10-17-2006 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
see bottom for NYB showcase day probables:
http://www.drf.com/news/article/79679.html

Wow, that looks like some good racing. The Empire Classic looks really nice:D Naughty New Yorker, Funny Cide, West Virginia, Spite the Devil...

I'm also looking forward to Sharp Humor's return, and I want to see how Bad Boy Rising does in the Sleepy Hollow. I hope all probables run!

Thanks for putting that up:)

blackthroatedwind 10-17-2006 09:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
see bottom for NYB showcase day probables:
http://www.drf.com/news/article/79679.html


Ya gotta love the Muskrat Rumble.

philcski 10-17-2006 09:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Ya gotta love the Muskrat Rumble.

Oh, I love it!!

It's the "boat" racing's big day... YACHT RACING!!!

Actually I'm most interested in the return of Sharp Humor. Interesting (but good) spot.

SniperSB23 10-17-2006 10:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
I was alerted by two posters that you plaigerized my post on the stats of the juvy on another board. I'm not happy with you.

I know what post you are talking about and I'm pretty sure if he was going to plagiarize it on another board that he wouldn't have posted the exact same thing in this thread. I think they were just coincidentally similar.

King Glorious 10-17-2006 10:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
I know what post you are talking about and I'm pretty sure if he was going to plagiarize it on another board that he wouldn't have posted the exact same thing in this thread. I think they were just coincidentally similar.

Can u clue me in?

SniperSB23 10-17-2006 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
Can u clue me in?

Someone brought up the BC Juvenile curse on a thread on here a week or so back and Oracle replied with a post that included the list of all the horses that ran in the Juvy and went on to win Triple Crown races.

King Glorious 10-17-2006 10:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SniperSB23
Someone brought up the BC Juvenile curse on a thread on here a week or so back and Oracle replied with a post that included the list of all the horses that ran in the Juvy and went on to win Triple Crown races.

Ok, I get it. Thanks. Oracle, I can guarantee u that I didn't see your post.

ateamstupid 10-17-2006 11:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Linny
While I was impressed with NoBiz' move into contention I really disliked the way he leaned into Pegasus Wind when they turned for home.

This is not at all what I saw. I saw Pegasus Wind drift slightly into Nobiz and that's when Nobiz started acting green and looking at the grandstand.

jpops757 10-18-2006 07:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cunningham Racing
No doubt he is talented, but Mike cannot say that he was the best horse...that would be asonine....I haven't seen a two-year-old train in the mornings like Scat Daddy does since Afleet Alex....he's no fluke and very much deserves more credit than people give him....

NLS didn't lose that race...Scat Daddy won it

Can it be as simple is dont give up on this horse, Somemore experience and a better trip and a win is there. Why do you think a defense of one horse is a knock on the other. Just my opinion is a bomb will take the Juvi. Dont ask me which one because I have no idea. Someone will come in and throw an alltime best and beat the Pletcher bunch . Maybe even Pletchers 3rd stringer. These are 2yr olds and much improvement can occure early.

Danzig 10-18-2006 07:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
I disagree with this completely. Since the BC series was started in 1984, runners out of the BCJ have had MUCH more success in the TC races than those from the Remsen. Consider this information:

Runners that ran 1-2-3 in the races and then won a Classic

Juvenile
Tank's Prospect
Spend a Buck
Alysheba (2)
Easy Goer
Tabasco Cat (2)
Timber Country
Editor's Note
Point Given (2)
Afleet Alex (2)

Remsen
Pine Bluff (also ran in the BC)
Go for Gin
Thunder Gulch (2)
Empire Maker

That's 9-4 in number of horses and 13-5 in number of Classic races won. This doesn't even include horses that ran in the BC that didn't hit the board but still won a Classic the following year. U could add Danzig Connection, Bet Twice, Go and Go, Pine Bluff, Sea Hero, Lemon Drop Kid. It also doesn't include a horse like Cat Thief, who went on the win the BC Classic the next year. It also doesn't include horses like Blumin Affair and Tejano Run who also finished on the board in the Derby. And if u look and see how many horses from both races went on to win grade ones the next year, the clear advantage is even more lopsided in favor of the BC Juvenile.

The point here is that for all this talk about a silly jinx (and it's hard to dispute the fact that no horse has won both yet), the BC Juvenile is a much better place to look for a 2yo that will go on to have success as a 3yo. Running in the BC does NOT mess up a 2yo for his 3yo season. If u've got a talented horse, run him. Skipping the BC because u think that's a better way to get to the Derby, a race six months down the line, is stupid. So much can and often does happen between now and then.

i remember when zito passed on the bcj a few years ago when he seemed loaded to the gills with talent. he had eurosilver among others...and said he was skipping to 'save' his horses for the derby. i said he was making a HUGE mistake, that if any of his juvies would be a viable contender, that he should run them in the bc. of course i was given ample harrassment, people telling me that 'zito knows what he's doing', he's the hall of famer, who was i to question..yadda yadda....at any rate, we all know how that turned out for nick.

if you have a good two year old, who you feel belongs in the bcj, and he's good to go--run him. there's no telling what will happen in the months to come. if you have a precocious youngster, race him.
now, i'm not saying this particular horse needs to run, it's entirely up to his connections...the spacing may not be right.
but everyone knows, or should know, that a horse who's good now may not be in the future...

a bird in the hand and all that.

as for any jinx, i think that's ridiculous.

kentuckyrosesinmay 10-18-2006 07:44 AM

Tell that to Tagg. It worked for FC, and Nick had bad luck with his horse...

There's no telling what can happen in the months to come, but there's also no telling what might happen in the BCJ. I probably would have done the same thing if I had some fragile two year olds who had a ton of potential. Who's to say that Eurosilver would have won or even done well in the BCJ anyway? That's why I think that cases of horses like Eurosilver aren't legitimate. Heck, FC might have won the BCJ and the Derby...who knows, but I would have rather won the Derby than the BCJ, and the decision paid off for Tagg. But it's not just the Derby. It's saving the horses from preventable injuries so they may race to their peak the following year. I'll leave the training job to the trainers because, most of the time, they make good decisions based upon each individual animal and each individual circumstance. Nick may not have made the wrong decision with his horses. It's an unknown factor because you don't know how his horses would have done in the BCJ, and whether or not they would have gotten injured in the BCJ that kept them from racing the following year anyway.

King Glorious 10-18-2006 08:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Tell that to Tagg. It worked for FC, and Nick had bad luck with his horse...

There's no telling what can happen in the months to come, but there's also no telling what might happen in the BCJ. I probably would have done the same thing if I had some fragile two year olds who had a ton of potential. Who's to say that Eurosilver would have won or even done well in the BCJ anyway? That's why I think that cases of horses like Eurosilver aren't legitimate. Heck, FC might have won the BCJ and the Derby...who knows, but I would have rather won the Derby than the BCJ, and the decision paid off for Tagg. But it's not just the Derby. It's saving the horses from preventable injuries so they may race to their peak the following year. I'll leave the training job to the trainers because, most of the time, they make good decisions based upon each individual animal and each individual circumstance. Nick may not have made the wrong decision with his horses. It's an unknown factor because you don't know how his horses would have done in the BCJ, and whether or not they would have gotten injured in the BCJ that kept them from racing the following year anyway.

Or how about we tell it to John Servis who skipped the BC with Rockport Harbor and ran in the Remsen. How did that whole thing work out? I asked u about Ruler's Court earlier. The truth is that there is no guarantee by going in any race and skipping one now because u are scared of getting hurt is silly. U can get hurt in any race at any time. And the past record has shown us that quite a few really good 2yo's have run in the BC and come back to be really good 3yo's. I can give u more examples of horses that ran in the BC and did well as 3yo's than u can give me of horses that were purposely held out of the BC due to concern about injuries or whatever and went on to 3yo success.

Question. If u had your choice, would u just abolish the BC Juvenile? I mean, u seem to be saying that it's the right choice for any trainer with a 2yo that has any hopes of staying healthy and prospering as a 3yo to skip the race.

kentuckyrosesinmay 10-18-2006 08:27 AM

Yes, your horse can get hurt in any race at any time. But, the BCJ is harder on the two year olds than any other two year old race in the country. It is a simple fact that I don't see why anyone would argue because the figures are there.

No, I wouldn't abolish the BCJ (I actually like the race), but if I had a really, really promising two year old who looked like there was a ton of room for improvement and could get the classic distances, I would be damned if I would run my horse in that race because I know what it does to a lot of them.

And I can give you a ton of examples of horses that were injured in the race, retired, had problems throughout the rest of their careers because of that race, or were just never good again because of both mental and physical reasons specifically from running in that race. It is the two year old equivalent to the Derby, although the Derby carries much, much more weight. Both races ruin a ton of horses.

I believe that Tagg is the best trainer in the country with the quality of stock that he gets into his stable, and I believe that he makes very good decisions with his horses. I'll trust his judgment again.

ArlJim78 10-18-2006 08:31 AM

Could it be as simple as the trainer doesn't think his horse is ready for the BCJ so is passing it up? Isn't that part of what a good trainer is supposed to do, not run his horse unless the horse is ready?

I don't think this decision involves any consideration of jinxes or the Kentucky Derby. Just sound horsemanship imo.

kentuckyrosesinmay 10-18-2006 09:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter
It gets worse on here every day. These statements are far worse than calling some poster a "swine".

:mad:

I think that he is one of the best. Each trainer has their strenghts and their weaknesses. For example, I think that Todd Pletcher is excellent at spotting his horses.

Why don't you like Tagg?

oracle80 10-18-2006 09:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dixie Porter
I have neve spoken to, or with TP. To me he is simply in another stratosphere. I've never seen anything like it before.

As far as Tagg/Smullen, No comment...............

He speaks like one of the most professional people you will meet in any walk of life or any field of business that you ever spoke to.

Seattleallstar 10-18-2006 09:54 AM

Originally Posted by oracle80
"I was alerted by two posters that you plaigerized my post on the stats of the juvy on another board. I'm not happy with you."




get over yourself you big baby, besides you big dummy stats are factual information that can be accessed by anyone with half a brain, the mere fact you used the word plagarized to describe your displeasure speaks on how big your ego is and is a testament to how much of an ******* you can be.

Quit yer whinin!

oracle80 10-18-2006 10:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar
Originally Posted by oracle80
"I was alerted by two posters that you plaigerized my post on the stats of the juvy on another board. I'm not happy with you."




get over yourself you big baby, besides you big dummy stats are factual information that can be accessed by anyone with half a brain, the mere fact you used the word plagarized to describe your displeasure speaks on how big your ego is and is a testament to how much of an ******* you can be.

Quit yer whinin!

This from a guy who doesn't have a drivers liscense and uses a BMW symbol as his avatar.
You'll pardon me if I take everything you say with a huge grain of salt won't you?

Revolution 10-18-2006 10:14 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Yes, your horse can get hurt in any race at any time. But, the BCJ is harder on the two year olds than any other two year old race in the country. It is a simple fact that I don't see why anyone would argue because the figures are there.

No, I wouldn't abolish the BCJ (I actually like the race), but if I had a really, really promising two year old who looked like there was a ton of room for improvement and could get the classic distances, I would be damned if I would run my horse in that race because I know what it does to a lot of them.

And I can give you a ton of examples of horses that were injured in the race, retired, had problems throughout the rest of their careers because of that race, or were just never good again because of both mental and physical reasons specifically from running in that race. It is the two year old equivalent to the Derby, although the Derby carries much, much more weight. Both races ruin a ton of horses.

I believe that Tagg is the best trainer in the country with the quality of stock that he gets into his stable, and I believe that he makes very good decisions with his horses. I'll trust his judgment again.

The guys that know Tagg say he is great at buying horses and great with turf horses, but he can be a little shaky on placing his horses and the timing of some of his works with his horses.

It sounds like Showing Up is definitely not going to the Breeders Cup. The owners did not have a preference and left it to Tagg.

Seattleallstar 10-18-2006 10:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by oracle80
This from a guy who doesn't have a drivers liscense and uses a BMW symbol as his avatar.
You'll pardon me if I take everything you say with a huge grain of salt won't you?


I like riding in the BMW, its nice. Much better than the Mercedes


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