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-   -   TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL: Probables/Possibles (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=63955)

RHT2004 05-13-2018 09:57 PM

Bolt D`Old to Met Mile. If Army Mule and Backyard Heaven and a few other's show up, he should compete for 6th.

Alabama Stakes 05-13-2018 11:43 PM

On a fast track he will whistle. No Justify in the Met Mile. Didn't like the mud.

raininthrees 05-14-2018 12:49 AM

I’ve secured a NO triple crown position at the price of -180.
has anybody else made a futures investment to date?

Mike 05-14-2018 06:33 PM

I think Diamond King underneath in the trifecta is the best value. Justify/ Good Magic, Quip and Diamond King or delete Quip from the tri and key Justify over Diamond King and Good Magic

cakes44 05-14-2018 06:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1109542)
Bolt D`Old to Met Mile. If Army Mule and Backyard Heaven and a few other's show up, he should compete for 6th.

Possibly, but I love that they are thinking outside the box. There have been 3-year-olds fairly recently that would have fit just fine in the MM and have no business at the 1 3/16 or 1 1/2 of the Preakness or Belmont. Pretty sure Practical Joke was in good enough form to finish 3rd last year. And Army Mule and Backyard Heaven are fast and fast risers, but not exactly known commodities.

RHT2004 05-14-2018 07:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1109575)
Possibly, but I love that they are thinking outside the box. There have been 3-year-olds fairly recently that would have fit just fine in the MM and have no business at the 1 3/16 or 1 1/2 of the Preakness or Belmont. Pretty sure Practical Joke was in good enough form to finish 3rd last year. And Army Mule and Backyard Heaven are fast and fast risers, but not exactly known commodities.

I don't dislike the placement. Just think it will prove to ambitious.

blackthroatedwind 05-14-2018 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1109542)
Bolt D`Old to Met Mile. If Army Mule and Backyard Heaven and a few other's show up, he should compete for 6th.

Army Mule might be the biggest "if" in the history of horse racing. Has he worked since the Carter?

I think it's the right move for Bolt D'Oro.

RHT2004 05-15-2018 06:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1109580)
Army Mule might be the biggest "if" in the history of horse racing. Has he worked since the Carter?

I think it's the right move for Bolt D'Oro.

Army Mule is half god, half horse.

RHT2004 05-15-2018 06:45 AM

I do hope he runs. He has a big following and i feel he would be way overbet. Especially if Justify is going for the triple crown and you see that recent 2nd in the pps. I would be totally against him if the expected players show up.

Hickory Hill Hoff 05-15-2018 07:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1109581)
Army Mule is half god, half horse.

:zz:

pweizer 05-15-2018 03:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1109581)
Army Mule is half god, half horse.

And now officially out of the Met Mile.

Paul

moses 05-16-2018 11:02 PM

I’ve watched the derby several times now and I’ve been focusing on Bravazo vs. Lone Sailor. If anyone sees it differently, please correct me — but Lone Sailor got to ride the rail the bulk of the race and Bravazo was out side the bulk of the race, including getting bumped early and possibly having to pull up on the horse to swing outside in the early going.

Despite a clearer path, Lone Sailor still finished a length behind Bravazo. So it seems like Bravazo might actually be a decent bet to pull off an Oxbow-like performance. Maybe he doesn’t win it but he’s almost sure to get an easier trip than what he faced in the Derby.

I’m thinking it may be a necessity to use Bravazo heavily in exotic wagers. His number will be high but his derby performance was better than what the finish indicates.

Alabama Stakes 05-17-2018 12:54 AM

Moses, I thought that lone sailor had no place to go for much of the race . He had to fight through openings to pass those he passed. I was more impressed with his run.

moses 05-17-2018 07:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1109622)
Moses, I thought that lone sailor had no place to go for much of the race . He had to fight through openings to pass those he passed. I was more impressed with his run.

Thanks. I’ve been back and forth on these two for a week now. I’ll watch it a few more times. It seems to me that Lone Sailor didn’t accelerate well when he finally did have an opening so it’s got me wondering if he had nowhere to go or if he just doesn’t have a strong move in him. My initial thought was that he was blocked in, but like I said, I’ve been back and forth.

tector 05-17-2018 11:29 AM

There are a lot better betting races this Saturday, all over the US. I will just watch the Preakness.

Seattleallstar 05-19-2018 12:13 PM

any free PP's for preakness, thanks

casp0555 05-19-2018 12:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Seattleallstar (Post 1109789)
any free PP's for preakness, thanks

http://www.horse-races.net/library/l...rformances.htm

saratogadew 05-21-2018 01:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1109397)
If Quip finishes second, it means absolutely nobody showed up.

:tro:

I took Medelssohn in the Derby (last)
Quip in the Preakness (last)

I'd be homeless very quickly counting on my racing plays to survive!

blackthroatedwind 05-21-2018 01:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by saratogadew (Post 1109937)
:tro:

I took Medelssohn in the Derby (last)
Quip in the Preakness (last)

I'd be homeless very quickly counting on my racing plays to survive!

You bet Quip even after the Board Idiot endorsed him?

Alabama Stakes 05-21-2018 06:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1109938)
You bet Quip even after the Board Idiot endorsed him?

Says the Bored Idiot....
You’ve been sitting on that dunce cap after hours I see.


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