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The chart does a good job of describing his performance... "make a good long run along the inside down the backside." If they time that move better, he'll win some races. |
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and you sent bill mott a pm?? |
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I'll take a mediocre horse thats earned just shy of 3 million dollars and runs his eyeballs out everytime out, over all the supposedly faster horses who never seem to show up when facing him. It is complete lunacy to call this horse a mediocrity, what than is Dunkirk? I Want Revenge, Fresian Fire and everyone else finishing BEHIND him? |
I see that Haskin wrote this on Thursday...
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? again....you guys are taking this race, over that track, as a true accounting of these horses abilities. good luck with that. you going to bet mine that bird in the preakness? |
I sure as he'll won't feel like an idiot or delusional to bet on POTN again , as I see it he's as good as any 3 year old colt in the country, FAR from a mediocrity, as for MTB , it's likely this performance is like Dust Commanders win , he has a lot more to prove than POTN, but on the day he ran the best race, that doesn't mean there are not a lot of nice colts in that field still maturing and physically developing and weren't ready to run the race of their life on this day and time, on a gooey thick track in crowd. There's several steady consistent colts in here and it's ludicrous to assume they've all reached their peak, Forego was an also ran in his Derby. I hate this glass half-empty mentality after every race, if we fans can't appreciate our horses, how can we get upset about the lack of outside interest?
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http://www.mcclatchydc.com/251/story/67394.html Son of a b*tch. Well, at least I can still love Calvin. (Darn you, Sightseek, and your excellent people instincts!) ;) |
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did jazil ship to dubai and back? i don't think he did. hamdan seems the savvier of the two. |
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As for people talking about sending horses to/from Dubai...no one seems think that getting there is a major hassle considering Well Armed, Curlin, Invasor, Pleasantly Perfect, Cigar, etc etc had no problems shipping THOUSANDS of miles and winning some big prizes. People want to keep living their own myths about some Dubai "curse" or whatever...go on if you must, but it's not there. Godolphin horses have tried seven times in the Derby over five different races and have no wins. The same could be said for...say...sending your horses to Todd Pletcher... |
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he was talking about a book written about dubai millenium. as for horses going to dubai and back, more often then not you see people talking about how long it takes them to return to form, and how it knocks them out for a few months sometimes. the sheik had a horse he shipped over here who ended up dying from what they call shipping fever. another horse shipped from here to there came back, came down with colic and died. it's harder on the horses then you seem to think. the thing most criticize the sheik about is not that he ships from dubai to here. but that he ships these horses back and forth several times before attempting the derby. it is draining. he's had some good horses-some of whom that many feel would make a greater impact if they didn't have to repeatedly go thru quarantine and shipping. |
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I've been thinking about the Derby and think I now understand how it happened. Consider the following scenario:
A horse who had previously won races running on/near the front end misses the break, stumbles, or is squeezed back, drops several lengths back behind the next-last horse and you think "well, he's toast." Yet lo and behold, same horse finds a new dimension, and comes roaring down the stretch to win, or just miss. No one knew he had it in him, least of all the rider and trainer. Doesn't happen every day, or every month, but we have all seen it happen. So yesterday it happened in the Kentucky Derby. Not going to happen again in our lifetime, most likely. Especially not without a patented Calvin Bo-Rail unimpeded passage on the best part of the track. The races that Mine That Bird won to be named champion 2yo in Canada were won by being forwardly placed, within a few lengths of the leader. Nobody could have logically predicted that he was capable of that kind of finishing kick from the next county. And although his pedigree hinted that he would move up on mud, he hadn't had the opportunity to display it. A sort of perfect storm of circumstances. |
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I wasn't being clear about Borel- I meant that he's one of those people in the game it's easy to root for. (Though clearly I don't let silly sentiments like that factor into my wagers as my win bet was on Desert Party and see how well that worked out!) |
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Someone else posted smartly elsewhere around here that Calvin may not have felt as comfortable to be as personally creative had he been riding a more expensive or favored horse for "more established" connections. I essentially concur. Taking Mine That Bird back so far would have left lots of room for 2nd guessing on a favored horse had he not been successful. Regardless, now that 30 hours or so have passed I am confident that Borel's ride in the 2009 Kentucky Derby will be one I'll enjoy watching and thinking about in years to come. |
Watch last year's Derby if you don't think Borel would have done that on a more expensive or favored horse for "more established" connections.
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so sick of doing other peoples' jobs at work. |
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Hungarian? Pfft. That's (Ga)bor-ing. ;) |
Just thought it was worth mentioning that Mine that Bird further destroyed two of the supposed myths about the Derby:
-can't win with only two preps. -can't win if your last start was more than four weeks out. |
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NT |
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