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-   -   TRIPLE CROWN TRAIL: Probables/Possibles (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=63955)

Seattleallstar 05-08-2018 02:34 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1109317)
I’d be really surprised to see Good Magic. If he ends up in there, it would have to be because he’s doing unbelievable.
Everything I have read said Chad does not want to run back at all probably until the Haskell, if he runs it would be on the ownership

Seattleallstar 05-08-2018 02:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1109315)
5/19/18 ~ Preakness Stakes (1 3/16M) Pimlico

Justify (Baffert)
Bravazo (Lukas)
Sporting Chance (Lukas)
Diamond King (Jo. Servis)
Tenfold (Asmussen)
Quip (Brisset)

Lone Sailor (Amoss)
Good Magic (Brown)
what horrible field, Justify wins this with Mike Smith on the brakes the whole time. But this only enhances the Belmont as Justify goes for the Triple Crown. This will be a just enjoy the race Preakness instead of trying to win money Preakness.

Kasept 05-08-2018 04:24 PM
Add Givemeaminit (Stewart) to the Preakness.. Lone Sailor (Amoss) from possible to probable..

richard burch 05-08-2018 10:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seattleallstar (Post 1109332)
what horrible field, Justify wins this with Mike Smith on the brakes the whole time. But this only enhances the Belmont as Justify goes for the Triple Crown. This will be a just enjoy the race Preakness instead of trying to win money Preakness.
Has to be a way to make money on this. He will be 1/5 but hopefully a long price underneath. If this is the field its easy.

1.) Justify (Baffert)

over...

Bravazo (Lukas)
Sporting Chance (Lukas)
Diamond King (Jo. Servis)
Tenfold (Asmussen)
Quip (Brisset)
Lone Sailor (Amoss)
Good Magic (Brown)

over...

Bravazo (Lukas)
Sporting Chance (Lukas)
Diamond King (Jo. Servis)
Tenfold (Asmussen)
Quip (Brisset)
Lone Sailor (Amoss)
Good Magic (Brown)

cakes44 05-09-2018 06:51 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 1109342)
Has to be a way to make money on this. He will be 1/5 but hopefully a long price underneath. If this is the field its easy.

1.) Justify (Baffert)

over...

Bravazo (Lukas)
Sporting Chance (Lukas)
Diamond King (Jo. Servis)
Tenfold (Asmussen)
Quip (Brisset)
Lone Sailor (Amoss)
Good Magic (Brown)

over...

Bravazo (Lukas)
Sporting Chance (Lukas)
Diamond King (Jo. Servis)
Tenfold (Asmussen)
Quip (Brisset)
Lone Sailor (Amoss)
Good Magic (Brown)
Perfect. And when Good Magic finishes 2nd, it will pay $17.

RHT2004 05-09-2018 09:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 1109349)
Perfect. And when Good Magic finishes 2nd, it will pay $17.
The only way to make money is keying Justify in a pick 4 or 5. Catching a price or 2 or hitting it multiple times. This is not a horse I am trying to beat

saratogadew 05-09-2018 04:08 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1109351)
The only way to make money is keying Justify in a pick 4 or 5. Catching a price or 2 or hitting it multiple times. This is not a horse I am trying to beat
Justify/Quip/All/All Superfecta

casp0555 05-10-2018 11:18 AM
a sure fire lock is this....put all on top, put my winning choice down as second, my second choice down as third and then the longest shot on the board as fourth....stone cold lock I say ;)

cal828 05-10-2018 04:45 PM
Quip has beaten me twice. If I bet him this time, he'll run like Arnold Swarzenegger is his jockey with a 50 pound sack of concrete under each arm.:zz::D

RHT2004 05-10-2018 04:58 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by saratogadew (Post 1109359)
Justify/Quip/All/All Superfecta
Seenms silly to me. Not a Quip fan either.

blackthroatedwind 05-10-2018 07:37 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1109394)
Seenms silly to me. Not a Quip fan either.
If Quip finishes second, it means absolutely nobody showed up.

Alabama Stakes 05-11-2018 12:15 AM
Kind of like last year ....whose winner has yet to win another race. Maybe those exiting the mighty Wood , who managed to run 9th, 11th, and 14th, should have waited for the Preakness.

RHT2004 05-11-2018 07:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1109403)
Kind of like last year ....whose winner has yet to win another race. Maybe those exiting the mighty Wood , who managed to run 9th, 11th, and 14th, should have waited for the Preakness.
This is getting old.

RHT2004 05-11-2018 07:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1109397)
If Quip finishes second, it means absolutely nobody showed up.
Totally agree. If I played exactas where a 1-5 shot looked unbeatable, I'd look at a horse like Tenfold.

Alabama Stakes 05-11-2018 07:35 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1109405)
Totally agree. If I played $800 exactas where a 1-5 shot looked unbeatable, I'd look at a horse like Tenfold.
Quip has done nothing wrong

FATPIANO 05-11-2018 07:57 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Alabama Stakes (Post 1109409)
Quip has done nothing wrong
DITTO

saratogadew 05-12-2018 10:03 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 1109397)
If Quip finishes second, it means absolutely nobody showed up.
Even with the impending rain, I still think about 100K+ fans will show up to see Quip finish 2nd :)

blackthroatedwind 05-12-2018 02:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by saratogadew (Post 1109465)
Even with the impending rain, I still think about 100K+ fans will show up to see Quip finish 2nd :)

Little funnier than the preposterous attendance figures given out on Preakness and Black-Eyed Susan day.

moses 05-13-2018 10:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Seattleallstar (Post 1109332)
what horrible field, Justify wins this with Mike Smith on the brakes the whole time. But this only enhances the Belmont as Justify goes for the Triple Crown. This will be a just enjoy the race Preakness instead of trying to win money Preakness.
Like many others, I like the inclusion of Tenfold in the race. A horse I haven’t heard much about is Diamond King. He will face the best competition he’s ever faced but he ran very well last time out off the layoff and was running hard down the stretch. I’m hoping the local connections don’t hurt his post odds. I may put some money on him to win and will probably end up putting a decent amount on:

Justify / Tenfold, Diamond King / Tenfold, Diamond King, Good Magic, Lone Sailor

Hickory Hill Hoff 05-13-2018 05:06 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by moses (Post 1109517)
Like many others, I like the inclusion of Tenfold in the race. A horse I haven’t heard much about is Diamond King. He will face the best competition he’s ever faced but he ran very well last time out off the layoff and was running hard down the stretch. I’m hoping the local connections don’t hurt his post odds. I may put some money on him to win and will probably end up putting a decent amount on:

Justify / Tenfold, Diamond King / Tenfold, Diamond King, Good Magic, Lone Sailor
I see the same play here :tro:


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