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-   -   4/12 (KEE): Blue Grass (Gr. I) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21458)

Mike 04-12-2008 06:21 PM

Yeah, I'd probably steer Pyro away from synthetic tracks in the future if I were in charge, there's still a few natural dirt tracks in the US

HaloWishingwell 04-12-2008 07:49 PM

Actually if I was a PYRO fan I would be concerned. Polytrack is an easy excuse to use for his performance but that was terrible. Not to compare horses but STREET SENSE was known as not as good on poly but at least he was in the same zip code. He had no apparent trouble in the race and is a run horse that showed nothing today. This is not the kind of performance that leads to Derby victories.

jcs11204 04-12-2008 09:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HaloWishingwell
Actually if I was a PYRO fan I would be concerned. Polytrack is an easy excuse to use for his performance but that was terrible. Not to compare horses but STREET SENSE was known as not as good on poly but at least he was in the same zip code. He had no apparent trouble in the race and is a run horse that showed nothing today. This is not the kind of performance that leads to Derby victories.


totally agree, he did not run 1 step today, so basicely he's going into the derby off of a layoff of....almost 8 weeks, this race is a total total throw out, so now he in my mind has not raced since march 8th, where in my opinion he beat a weak group then, in a slow time.

i pray they bet this horse hard, i think he could run last.

miraja2 04-13-2008 07:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jcs11204
totally agree, he did not run 1 step today, so basicely he's going into the derby off of a layoff of....almost 8 weeks, this race is a total total throw out, so now he in my mind has not raced since march 8th, where in my opinion he beat a weak group then, in a slow time.

i pray they bet this horse hard, i think he could run last.

Unless he gets hurt or something else REALLY strange happens during the race, there is absolutely no way that horse finishes last going 10f on the dirt against some of the ones that are sure to be entered in the race.

HaloWishingwell 04-13-2008 07:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
Unless he gets hurt or something else REALLY strange happens during the race, there is absolutely no way that horse finishes last going 10f on the dirt against some of the ones that are sure to be entered in the race.

I don't expect him to finish last either but despite his terrible race ,he'll be terribly overbet by the wiseguys and perform below his expectations again.

Danzig 04-13-2008 08:16 AM

i would caution against completely tossing pyro in may.

war pass ran a remarkably bad race in the tampa bay derby, and came back to run a pretty strong race in the wood.

pyro has had nothing going wrong on dirt.

Thunder Gulch 04-13-2008 08:22 AM

It was terrible, but it was a surface he clearly hated. Would anyone be excited about backing Kip Deville or English Channel if they threw him out against Curlin and co on dirt? It's a rare animal indeed that can perfom at the top levels on all surfaces, but a bad performance on one not preferred can be excused. Now the question with Pyro is whether something is wrong, whether he isn't good, or whether he needs to get back on dirt to run his race. That's why they call it gambling and now you'll get some odds to help backing Pyro if you like him.

HaloWishingwell 04-13-2008 08:24 AM

True nothing has gone wrong for him on dirt but up to now he has handled all sorts of conditions. Fast or sloppy tracks PYRO has run good or creditable races. Yesterday was a disaster regardless of the track. He might rebound and be a trivia answer for the worst finish before a Derby but I'll bet against it and guess there's more to it.

Coach Pants 04-13-2008 08:39 AM

No there isn't more to it. It's fairly simple to figure out.

Pyro is a dead closer. He didn't take to the track. He finished where dead closers finish on a surface they don't fancy.

Danzig 04-13-2008 08:41 AM

so, if curlin makes it to the bc classic and gets his bright red butt handed to him, how many will blame the switch to poly? i'd bet plenty.

poly is NOT dirt. i think the analogy above about putting kip deville vs curlin is right on. people have got to come to the realization that there are now three surfaces in this sport. not, turf and then dirt/poly. dirt and poly are not the same in any way. some can make the move, just like some can run on dirt and turf. but it's not a given.
you look at any pyro race before yesterday, what do you see? look at the poly sires list, who is missing?

Danzig 04-13-2008 08:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
No there isn't more to it. It's fairly simple to figure out.

Pyro is a dead closer. He didn't take to the track. He finished where dead closers finish on a surface they don't fancy.

i agree. i mean, monba won. does anyone really think the bluegrass tells us anything about what will happen in three weeks??

2Hot4TV 04-13-2008 09:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HaloWishingwell
True nothing has gone wrong for him on dirt but up to now he has handled all sorts of conditions. Fast or sloppy tracks PYRO has run good or creditable races. Yesterday was a disaster regardless of the track. He might rebound and be a trivia answer for the worst finish before a Derby but I'll bet against it and guess there's more to it.

I dont think you will have to worry about the "Bounce factor" when Pyro runs next.

Cajungator26 04-13-2008 09:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
so, if curlin makes it to the bc classic and gets his bright red butt handed to him, how many will blame the switch to poly? i'd bet plenty.

poly is NOT dirt. i think the analogy above about putting kip deville vs curlin is right on. people have got to come to the realization that there are now three surfaces in this sport. not, turf and then dirt/poly. dirt and poly are not the same in any way. some can make the move, just like some can run on dirt and turf. but it's not a given.
you look at any pyro race before yesterday, what do you see? look at the poly sires list, who is missing?

LOL at his bright red butt ... :D

DCracing 04-13-2008 09:29 AM

derby dozen
 
if all the big names are off the board, what does that say? i vote for tossing this race. and i am officially on the visionaire bandwagon! at least for the next 20 minutes...

fpsoxfan 04-13-2008 09:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
i agree. i mean, monba won. does anyone really think the bluegrass tells us anything about what will happen in three weeks??


The Bluegrass will not tell us anything. Last year with Street Sense told us the same thing.

Cajungator26 04-13-2008 09:51 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
The Bluegrass will not tell us anything. Last year with Street Sense told us the same thing.

Street Sense at least put forth an effort on the stuff ...

SniperSB23 04-13-2008 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
Street Sense at least put forth an effort on the stuff ...

Street Cry's are also doing far better on the synthetics than Pulpit's.

fpsoxfan 04-13-2008 10:07 AM

True, but Pyro and a few others had nothing to gain by running hard in this race. It was, what amounts to be a public workout for Pyro. Like someone mentioned in another thread, Asmussen not showing up was a good indicator he knew the horse wasn't going to be close to the winners circle.

fpsoxfan 04-13-2008 11:23 AM

I just watched the replay again, it looked like Kentucky Bear was running on the wrong lead at the end. He was running very hard and was drifting in. With nobody inside of him, I'm surprised the jock didn't switch him and let him go inside the top 2 finishers. If anyone has a second, check it out and let me know if that was a possibility or if, as usual I'm just seeing this wrong. Thanks!


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