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He is a young man.
He will win a Derby. He will win another Derby. All this will go away. |
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Besides Circular Quay, I felt his other four runners had all the proper preparation for the race. There are some highly respected handicappers, who have a choice of the entire field, and fail to come up with the winner year-after-year in this race. I don't believe a single post time favorite won this race in the entire decade of the 80's and 90's...zero-for-twenty. I don't believe Pletcher has ever had the favorite or second favorite in this race. If he can get moderate horses like Bluegrass Cat, Invisible Ink, and Impeachment to run in the top three---with the massive stable of top prospects he gets every year...it's only a matter of time. |
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Link me to where Bluegrass Cat was the Derby favorite on Jan 1st 2006 at?
Stevie Wonderboy was still in training at that time, off of his record figure win in the Breeders Cup Juvenile. I felt Bluegrass was a highly overrated 2yo myself...but I can't ever remember him being a future book favorite, or a consensus #1 choice. He was something like 40/1 come raceday....albeit off of two mediocre races. |
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(actually he ran 3 times at 3, won the Sam Davis with about a 103 Beyer, 2nd in the Tampa Derby with a 104, and bombed as the favorite in the Blue Grass on the ridiculous old Keeneland surface.) |
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OK, I thought you meant from a racing standpoint and not a workout standpoint. Wouldn't Curlin strike you as a horse who was majorly undertrained coming into the race? I realize his trainer got him after a wire-to-wire 7 furlong maiden score. I saw tape of his final two works leading into the Derby, and from what I understand, he has pretty much been restrained throughout in every workout he's had for Assmussen. Perhaps initally fearing that Curlin wouldn't rate, and might not out see out 10 furlongs, led to him being trained that way? |
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