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-   -   3/8 (3yo): Gotham; La Derby; El Camino Real (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=20597)

Bobby Fischer 03-08-2008 04:55 PM

pyro gets him but UV isn't even a factor

i was wrong

Coach Pants 03-08-2008 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Well, Visionaire was last throughout most of the race...

He's usually stays in the middle of the pack...not in last place.

Visionaire was moving before Texas Wildcatter, and he still caught him on his wrong lead. Visionaire would beat this group every time, especially if he got a little bit more favorable trip.

I mean, Visionaire was the best horse going into this race anyway, so he did what he should of done even in unfavorable circumstances.

That's like me saying Statesman would beat the same group from last Sunday every time because he was far back.

You won by a nose and were extremely lucky in doing so.

kentuckyrosesinmay 03-08-2008 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by booner
LA Derby

My Pal Charlie looks interesting. This will definately be his toughest test (by far), but he has won the last 2 around 2 turns and looks to be moving up the scale form-wise. 20/1 ML doens't hurt matters, either.

Can't play Yankee Bravo. First start on a traditional dirt surface against this field doesn't turn me on.

J Be K is intriging, but I'll stay away. The "1st time around 2 turns" angle ranks high in my book. If he beats me, then he beats me.

I really wish Tale Of Ekati and Majestic Warrior had one race before this one.

I'll box Pyro and My Pal Charlie in the exacta.

Good call.

kentuckyrosesinmay 03-08-2008 05:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
That's like me saying Statesman would beat the same group from last Sunday every time because he was far back.

You won by a nose and were extremely lucky in doing so.

So, are you saying that Visionaire wasn't the best horse in the field?

Coach Pants 03-08-2008 05:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
So, are you saying that Visionaire wasn't the best horse in the field?

I don't give a crap about best horse. The race was given to Texas Wildcatter on a platter and Arroyo blew it by moving him 3 wide around the turn.

The track conditions, early pace, everything setup for this horse and he got caught by the logical closer in the race.

Oh and Visionaire was last because he's a slow horse and the fractions were real fast. This horse ran the race of his life.

Danzig 03-08-2008 05:26 PM

surprised visionaire got up at the end, couldn't really tell much of anything on hrtv....about half of the race was like looking into a cloudy sky.
but glad V got up, as he is in my RTTR stable.

but with the conditions at AQU today, i don't know that you can really get anything from the performances, other than visionaire and texas wildcat can handle slop.

blackthroatedwind 03-08-2008 06:17 PM

Visionaire benefited from a terrific ride and the second horse, who was obviously best, got a boneheaded ride. Pretty much anytime you see every horse near the lead collapse, but one, and a horse win from far back, the one speed who stuck it out ran a better race. That's pretty much common sense.

It's hard to glean anything from the race because of the atrocious track conditions. Obviously Saratoga Russell is distance challenged, but that seemed likely going in, and Giant Moon clearly didn't handle the track at all, but other than that it was probably a pretty mediocre bunch and two horses ran OK. The first two finishers will both need to be better dry track horses to do anything of meaning going forward.

kentuckyrosesinmay 03-08-2008 06:19 PM

Visionaire ran the race of his life?...he has always ran similar or better races than this. I don't think that this was his best race. Sure, it might be his highest beyer, but it won't be his best race. You don't run your best races on the wrong lead when the horse is normally correct down the stretch. His Risen Star has been his best race so far IMO. You're talking about a horse that beat Elysium fields last year. Elysium Fields is no joke, and neither is this little horse. Horses like him are very useful in races like these because they don't get bet nearly as much as they should just because of beyers. He was much better than these horses going in, and he proved it. He was even on his wrong lead coming down the stretch and still got up.

Him being a "slow horse" really doesn't make since when you take his last race into account when he was close to the pace, albeit a much slower pace.
He was taken out of his game in that race too, and still finished only 2 lengths behind Pyro.

Why play a horse with tactical speed in a race full of speed against a closer that is much better than these in the first place? It wasn't as if Visionaire didn't go off at a nice price, and normally Visionaire isn't quite so far back as he was today.

I also don't think that Visionaire runs as good in the slop as he does on the dirt. It didn't look like he was running as hard in this race as in the Risen Star towards the end when I could actually see him. Still going to have to improve a bit before he makes it into the top tier of 3 yolds as well.

Coach Pants 03-08-2008 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kentuckyrosesinmay
Visionaire ran the race of his life?...he has always ran similar or better races than this. I don't think that this was his best race. Sure, it might be his highest beyer, but it won't be his best race. You don't run your best races on the wrong lead when the horse is normally correct down the stretch. His Risen Star has been his best race so far IMO. You're talking about a horse that beat Elysium fields last year. Elysium Fields is no joke, and neither is this little horse. Horses like him are very useful in races like these because they don't get bet nearly as much as they should just because of beyers. He was much better than these horses going in, and he proved it. He was even on his wrong lead coming down the stretch and still got up.

Him being a "slow horse" really doesn't make since when you take his last race into account when he was close to the pace, albeit a much slower pace.
He was taken out of his game in that race too, and still finished only 2 lengths behind Pyro.

Why play a horse with tactical speed in a race full of speed against a closer that is much better than these in the first place? It wasn't as if Visionaire didn't go off at a nice price, and normally Visionaire isn't quite so far back as he was today.

Fine. He's an unbelievable horse. Now shut up.

kentuckyrosesinmay 03-08-2008 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Fine. He's an unbelievable horse. Now shut up.

He's not unbelievable, but he's better than most of the 3 y olds out there. Going to have to improve some before he is in the top tier.

Coach Pants 03-08-2008 06:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Yes. There is no way this horse wasn't all out for that work. They are dressing up a mule. Why don't they get Dustin Hoffman to ride the horse instead of Contreras? Afterall isn't it publicity that they want? What else could explain this insane jump in class?

I could be wrong and this horse could be the real deal in what is a horrible graded race. I was wrong about the filly in the Battaglia...

LOL. There is no god.

Danzig 03-08-2008 06:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
LOL. There is no god.

don't tell me autism awareness won

Coach Pants 03-08-2008 06:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
don't tell me autism awareness won

Haha it's the weakest crop of 3 year olds in the history of racing. I'm glad the race wasn't like a $300,000 purse. I don't want this sob story at Churchill.

TitanSooner 03-08-2008 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
LOL. There is no god.

I would be thinking just the opposite

Danzig 03-08-2008 06:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Coach Pants
Haha it's the weakest crop of 3 year olds in the history of racing. I'm glad the race wasn't like a $300,000 purse. I don't want this sob story at Churchill.

hehe...funny you say that...there's a thread about him already, and i wrote about that as well...

golfer 03-08-2008 07:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Visionaire benefited from a terrific ride and the second horse, who was obviously best, got a boneheaded ride. Pretty much anytime you see every horse near the lead collapse, but one, and a horse win from far back, the one speed who stuck it out ran a better race. That's pretty much common sense.

It's hard to glean anything from the race because of the atrocious track conditions. Obviously Saratoga Russell is distance challenged, but that seemed likely going in, and Giant Moon clearly didn't handle the track at all, but other than that it was probably a pretty mediocre bunch and two horses ran OK. The first two finishers will both need to be better dry track horses to do anything of meaning going forward.

Funny story at the simulcast center. A couple of kids sit down at the table next to mine, as the Gotham comes up one says to me to bet the 10 horse, Visionaire, because he got a tip from his brother who is part owner. Well, the race starts, and Visionaire breaks last, then they disappear into the fog. The kid is furious, he calls his brother, and says something to the effect of, if you ever have another horse running, DON'T tell me about it, this horse is friggin dead last!!! Anyway, as you all know, they reappear down the stretch, he can't believe that it is the 10 horse closing....The kid is absolutely thrilled, he had a $10 win bet on the horse. Lesson learned, don't make phone calls during the race!

Arcangues to Win 03-10-2008 10:04 PM

Cheltenham
 
Steve Byk,

"Sizing Europe" seems to deserve his favoritisim at 5/2 but I will take
"Catch Me" at 11/1. Thanks for mentioning the Cheltenham festival. Now that Gulfstream has been ruined jump races might be a much better way to spend winter racing. Thanks as well for the rave on politician’s and their hipocracy.

“Let the people have the truth and the freedom to discuss it and all will go well.” William T. Evjue

Tuesday
Cheltenham 3:15 17 runners
Smurfit Kappa Champion Hurdle Challenge Trophy (grade 1) Prize Money £360000

Silk Form Horse Age Wt Trainer Jockey

1 33-2541 Afsoun (FR) 6 11,10 N J Henderson M A Fitzgerald

2 1321-62 Blythe Knight (IRE) 8 11,10 J J Quinn D C Costello

3 1411-57 Bobs Pride (IRE) 6 11,10 D K Weld Denis O'regan

4 U3F-141 Catch Me (GER) 6 11,10 E J O'Grady R Walsh

5 2P0459- Contraband 10 11,10 Paul Murphy T J Dreaper

6 453415 Ebaziyan (IRE) 7 11,10 W P Mullins D J Condon

7 111225 Farmer Brown (IRE) 7 11,10 P Hughes D N Russell

8 2/455-12 Harchibald (FR) 9 11,10 N Meade P Carberry

9 17462-7 Kalderon (GER) 8 11,10 T Hogan D J Casey

10 11-1321 Katchit (IRE) 5 11,10 A King R Thornton

11 2F5629 Kawagino (IRE) 8 11,10 J W Mullins W P Kavanagh

12 4102-21 Osana (FR) 6 11,10 D Pipe T Scudamore

13 1421-42 Punjabi 5 11,10 N J Henderson B J Geraghty

14 213163 Salford City (IRE) 7 11,10 G Elliott Miss N Carberry

15 351-F11 Sizing Europe (IRE) 6 11,10 H De Bromhead A J Mcnamara

16 21P-612 Straw Bear (USA) 7 11,10 N J Gifford A P McCoy

17 444/11-4 Sublimity (FR) 8 11,10 J G Carr P A Carberry


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