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-   -   The Donn This Saturday (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=9398)

KirisClown 02-01-2007 06:47 PM

If Chatain can handle 9F he might offer a serious challenge, the others are just nowhere near good enough to beat Invasor.

Cajungator26 02-01-2007 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Anyone happen to see Strong Contenders trip last out. It was horrendous. I expect a much better effort from him. While Pletcher is firing with just about anything he sends out AP Arrow really has no shot at all in here. I guess if you go by his 2005 form Magna Graduate can be in the money, but that race at Aqueduct, while visually impressive was about a good a set up you could ask for. I think invasor wins well, Strong Contender second and Chatain and Hesandoldsalt battling for 3rd and 4th.

I don't care for Strong Contender's post.

AeWingnut 02-01-2007 07:55 PM

Penna mentioned that Chatain was a candidate for a bounce after that strong performance. I don't like Invasor's post. Strong Contender has no one to blame but himself for the horrendous trip last time out.

I won't look at the race until Saturday. Think long think something something

Cajungator26 02-01-2007 08:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Yeah, but he's got speed to his inside so he should be able to get over behind them a bit and who is better than Prado at saving ground?

Not many are better than Prado for saving ground...

hoovesupsideyourhead 02-01-2007 08:05 PM

ivasor is gonna roll again..me thinks..

ArlJim78 02-01-2007 08:53 PM

I look at the Donn like its Invasor's victory lap.

Time to soak it in as the reigning HOY with all the attention this time.

pgardn 02-01-2007 09:07 PM

Chatain got a very good trip in the HH. Set up very nicely so I wont get sucked in with this horse. But where do you go? No bet.

Sightseek 02-02-2007 10:05 AM

Regarding the other races on the card, Nobiz Like Shobiz may be tough, but I like Sam P better than Scat Daddy (even if J.V. choose the latter).

hockey2315 02-02-2007 10:35 AM

I doubt Chatain's going to bounce because of the way he's been training. Penna also said that Cornelio says he can run all day- distance won't be a problem. He's the only horse who has a chance to beat Invasor.

qwertybb 02-02-2007 10:55 AM

Be careful picking a logical favorite in this forum at low odds. You will get blasted by all the long boarders. I agree if you can't double your $$$ on a win but loading up an exacta would easily cover that? Handicap for second, then your kids first words won't be "Wheres the ATM" or "Momma be back". Chris Rock too funny

GenuineRisk 02-02-2007 11:02 AM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig188
depends on who's right behind you.;)

Preferably...

tycharles01 02-02-2007 11:15 AM

What happens if it rains down there?? Any good off track runners on the card

Cajungator26 02-02-2007 11:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tycharles01
What happens if it rains down there?? Any good off track runners on the card

It's looking like it might... we had tornadoes here in the Central FL area all night. It was awful... people dead and homes destroyed. :(

tycharles01 02-02-2007 11:17 AM

Ya i am watching it now, lucky this week tho I was up that way last weekend

qwertybb 02-02-2007 04:56 PM

Funny the mood changes to the weather. Point taken, I guess.

qwertybb 02-02-2007 04:57 PM

The key is IF???

Scav 02-02-2007 09:18 PM

To express my opinion
 
Speaking in TG terms, of all horses, Magna Graduate is the fastest horse, so far. That being said, I think he bounces to the moon. Two horses that you have to watch out here are Hesanoldsalt and Strong Contender. Each horse has some solid reasoning IMO. I am going to be gambling on the fact that Invasor is not 100% cranked. He was kept in training for ONE GOAL, the Dubai World Cup, another Grade 1 gets him NOTHING. At 3/5, he is beatable.

Most of Salt's family improved with age, and his last race was his 'best' race yet as far as figures. If he is keen earlier, he is toast as their is alot of bs speed in this race.

Now SC is a horse that I just can't figure out. That being said, he is just as fast as Invasor and will 5 or 6/1. If he runs to his LAD or that huge Belmont race, he wins here, and maybe quite easily.

I think the way you play this race is in the pick threes, all the hilarious public will be singling Invasor (my guess is about 85% of the tickets will have invasor on the ticket somewhere). Be part of that 15% and the $20 pick three ticket that you played might get you back a grand.

ArlJim78 02-02-2007 09:25 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
Speaking in TG terms, of all horses, Magna Graduate is the fastest horse, so far. That being said, I think he bounces to the moon. Two horses that you have to watch out here are Hesanoldsalt and Strong Contender. Each horse has some solid reasoning IMO. I am going to be gambling on the fact that Invasor is not 100% cranked. He was kept in training for ONE GOAL, the Dubai World Cup, another Grade 1 gets him NOTHING. At 3/5, he is beatable.

Most of Salt's family improved with age, and his last race was his 'best' race yet as far as figures. If he is keen earlier, he is toast as their is alot of bs speed in this race.

Now SC is a horse that I just can't figure out. That being said, he is just as fast as Invasor and will 5 or 6/1. If he runs to his LAD or that huge Belmont race, he wins here, and maybe quite easily.

I think the way you play this race is in the pick threes, all the hilarious public will be singling Invasor (my guess is about 85% of the tickets will have invasor on the ticket somewhere). Be part of that 15% and the $20 pick three ticket that you played might get you back a grand.

Invasor will not lose to this bunch. You're wasting your money. I'd pick a different favorite to knock off. McLaughlin said because the DWC is not so far away from the BCC, they never let up on him. He as as close to 100% as he's going to be and he doesn't need to be at 100% to cruise tomorrow.
that's my opinion.


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