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-   -   4/3 (AQU): Carter, Wood (G1's); Bay Shore, Excelsior (G3's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35258)

knickslions2 04-03-2010 04:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 632062)
maybe a sunday silence - easy goer part 2?

Well lucky not lucky. Still finished 3rd

10 pnt move up 04-03-2010 04:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 632064)
Well lucky not lucky. Still finished 3rd

Gomez has had some rough trips with that horse....will be a good price I would imagine in Ky, like 5/1 or so.

knickslions2 04-03-2010 05:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 632071)
Gomez has had some rough trips with that horse....will be a good price I would imagine in Ky, like 5/1 or so.

Ya hopefully he can find a better way to travel

slotdirt 04-03-2010 05:05 PM

Were they running on turf out there today? Just seemed like a strangely run race.

cakes44 04-03-2010 05:35 PM

No mention of the Santos-esque choke on Awesome Act yet?

randallscott35 04-03-2010 05:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 632092)
No mention of the Santos-esque choke on Awesome Act yet?

Agree, cost him 2nd money

randallscott35 04-03-2010 05:40 PM

You want a better more recent example on wraps with 3yr olds and Pletch? Look at Bluegrass Cat's PPs....Wraps came on and whiff, gone.

NTamm1215 04-03-2010 05:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 632095)
You want a better more recent example on wraps with 3yr olds and Pletch? Look at Bluegrass Cat's PPs....Wraps came on and whiff, gone.

So we should plan on a career-ending injury and then you can take credit for forecasting it?

NT

RockHardTen1985 04-03-2010 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 632099)
So we should plan on a career-ending injury and then you can take credit for forecasting it?

NT

He cant help himself, clearly....

randallscott35 04-03-2010 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 632099)
So we should plan on a career-ending injury and then you can take credit for forecasting it?

NT

Not at all....Want another, first time Sun King ever wore wraps was for a money allowance at Toga. Saw him in the Paddock, ouchy mess, finished 4th and was gone....Again, who the trainer is and their style is what matters.

randallscott35 04-03-2010 05:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 632100)
He cant help himself, clearly....

B/c I point things out? I wouldn't wish an injury on any horse.

lemoncrush 04-03-2010 05:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 632093)
Agree, cost him 2nd money

He did the same thing to Americn Lion in the San Felipe. The guy's got to realize he's not riding on turf every race.

randallscott35 04-03-2010 05:56 PM

Haskin in the winners circle with Pletch after the race...Early dapple check on Esken for the Derby!:):)

Scav 04-03-2010 05:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 632071)
Gomez has had some rough trips with that horse....will be a good price I would imagine in Ky, like 5/1 or so.

I think he might be better then that odds wise, hoping for 7 or 8/1, at least I hope he is, will be my key horse on Derby Day as long as he doesn't get post 1-2-3 or 19-20.

Problem is that everyone saw that trip.

randallscott35 04-03-2010 06:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 632111)
I think he might be better then that odds wise, hoping for 7 or 8/1, at least I hope he is, will be my key horse on Derby Day as long as he doesn't get post 1-2-3 or 19-20.

Problem is that everyone saw that trip.

I think he is a dirt horse so I agree. And I think you will get 8-1.

Hoist Her Flag 04-03-2010 06:15 PM

The fractions were slow 1:13 and change. If Esky is 10 back of Lion, Sydney, Rule and possibly Super Saver does he finish just as strong.

NTamm1215 04-03-2010 06:23 PM

"Eskendereya wore front bandages for the first time as a precaution. Pletcher said one of his horses earlier on the card burned his heels in the race, so he put front bandages on all his stakes horses Saturday, including Nite Light and Munnings, who both lost."

http://www.drf.com/news/article/111917.html

NT

Left Bank 04-03-2010 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 632118)
"Eskendereya wore front bandages for the first time as a precaution. Pletcher said one of his horses earlier on the card burned his heels in the race, so he put front bandages on all his stakes horses Saturday, including Nite Light and Munnings, who both lost."

http://www.drf.com/news/article/111917.html

NT

So there you go.You can relax now

blackthroatedwind 04-03-2010 07:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 632093)
Agree, cost him 2nd money

Awesome Act, as evidenced by the Gotham, has a short burst of speed, and the ride hardly cost him second money. Maybe the pace did....but more likely it was his distance limitations.....or relative lack of talent. Jackson Bend ran MUCH better than he did.

tector 04-03-2010 07:37 PM

Jackson Bend is a tough, honest little SOB. He could clean up in a Gr. II career.

the_fat_man 04-03-2010 07:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 632129)
Awesome Act, as evidenced by the Gotham, has a short burst of speed, and the ride hardly cost him second money. Maybe the pace did....but more likely it was his distance limitations.....or relative lack of talent. Jackson Bend ran MUCH better than he did.

The headon at CALRACING terminates before they hit the turn so it's hard to know for certain but it appears that AA was under heavy restraint almost the entire run down the backstretch, the only horse being restrained, and that JB had an inside run in the lane. Now, after witnessing any number of horses make sustained runs/hang on on the inside, I'd sort of hesitate before seeing anything in JB's race. Factor in the slow pace and he basically got a nice trip -- allowing that he was wide on the 1st turn, of course.

Maybe AA has distance limitations but I don't see where today's performance indicates this.

RockHardTen1985 04-03-2010 07:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 632129)
Awesome Act, as evidenced by the Gotham, has a short burst of speed, and the ride hardly cost him second money. Maybe the pace did....but more likely it was his distance limitations.....or relative lack of talent. Jackson Bend ran MUCH better than he did.

I disagree.
Awesome Act did have a bit of trouble at the start.

JJP 04-03-2010 07:50 PM

A decent amount of money has been burned by the runners out of the Gotham. The figure looked suspiciously high, although Leparoux rode Awesome Act like HE was the 3-5 favorite. Dutrow's horse ran decently in Stickney, but was crazily overbet. Supposedly the Rags had huge numbers for the Gotham runners. I hear they are still looking for Nacho Friend to finish the Sunland Derby from last Saturday.

philcski 04-03-2010 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by JJP (Post 632140)
A decent amount of money has been burned by the runners out of the Gotham. The figure looked suspiciously high, although Leparoux rode Awesome Act like HE was the 3-5 favorite. Dutrow's horse ran decently in Stickney, but was crazily overbet. Supposedly the Rags had huge numbers for the Gotham runners. I hear they are still looking for Nacho Friend to finish the Sunland Derby from last Saturday.

Interesting. TG's were about in line with what you'd expect with the race (Awesome Act got a 2, I think Yawanna Twist was a 4.)

JJP 04-03-2010 08:14 PM

That was according to Tom Amoss, who said after looking at the Rags for the race, he felt his horse had too make a sizeable move forward to beat the TWO Gotham invaders. I guess he was right that he couldn't get near Dutrow's horse.

Danzig 04-03-2010 09:12 PM

just read that awesome act lost a front shoe at the start. of course his trainer said the early fractions were too slow for the horse to make his late run. but we all know that a swift late move will be blunted if a horse has distance limitations. guess we'll see with this one.

blackthroatedwind 04-03-2010 09:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by the_fat_man (Post 632136)
The headon at CALRACING terminates before they hit the turn so it's hard to know for certain but it appears that AA was under heavy restraint almost the entire run down the backstretch, the only horse being restrained, and that JB had an inside run in the lane. Now, after witnessing any number of horses make sustained runs/hang on on the inside, I'd sort of hesitate before seeing anything in JB's race. Factor in the slow pace and he basically got a nice trip -- allowing that he was wide on the 1st turn, of course.

Maybe AA has distance limitations but I don't see where today's performance indicates this.

I can't particularly argue with that, and the pace clearly did him in, but I just don't think someone should blame the ride. He has one run...which is why the Gotham ( with a fast pace pace ) set up well for him and today's race didn't.

You're right that today's race doesn't show distance limitations, and maybe I am projecting incorrectly, but horses with one quick burst like he has often aren't more effective the longer they go. However, given the likely pace scenerio in the Derby he could certainly be the one who is a distant second to Eskendereya ( or fill out the Eskendereya-Lookin at Lucky tri ).

Given Eskendereya stays sound, and doesn't get knocked over, this Derby is a foregone conclusion. It's a man among boys.

randallscott35 04-03-2010 09:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 632170)
I can't particularly argue with that, and the pace clearly did him in, but I just don't think someone should blame the ride. He has one run...which is why the Gotham ( with a fast pace pace ) set up well for him and today's race didn't.

You're right that today's race doesn't show distance limitations, and maybe I am projecting incorrectly, but horses with one quick burst like he has often aren't more effective the longer they go. However, given the likely pace scenerio in the Derby he could certainly be the one who is a distant second to Eskendereya ( or fill out the Eskendereya-Lookin at Lucky tri ).

Given Eskendereya stays sound, and doesn't get knocked over, this Derby is a foregone conclusion. It's a man among boys.

Really? You think he's head and shoulders better? The only horse I thought that of was FuPeg and he needed a great trip to beat Aptitude and then got trounced in the Preakness. No such thing in a 20 horse field.

ateamstupid 04-03-2010 10:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 632184)
Really? You think he's head and shoulders better? The only horse I thought that of was FuPeg and he needed a great trip to beat Aptitude and then got trounced in the Preakness. No such thing in a 20 horse field.

Who's close to Eskendereya right now? The horse's tactical speed should keep him out of significant trouble. If he breaks OK, I don't think he loses.

philcski 04-03-2010 10:03 PM

Line of the day: Eskendereya- Egyptian for "I owe Fifth Third a couple billion dollars"

NTamm1215 04-03-2010 10:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 632195)
Who's close to Eskendereya right now? The horse's tactical speed should keep him out of significant trouble. If he breaks OK, I don't think he loses.

I think you're exactly right. I wonder if he'll have trouble potentially being farther off the pace but I really don't think he will. As long as Johnny V avoids watching tape of Point Given I like his chances.

NT

Cannon Shell 04-03-2010 10:06 PM

PG just declared him the TC winner in the Giants Causeway thread...



You KNOW what that means......

ateamstupid 04-03-2010 10:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski (Post 632198)
Line of the day: Eskendereya- Egyptian for "I owe Fifth Third a couple billion dollars"

whose was that?

randallscott35 04-03-2010 10:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 632195)
Who's close to Eskendereya right now? The horse's tactical speed should keep him out of significant trouble. If he breaks OK, I don't think he loses.

3-1 for your troubles! Enjoy

ateamstupid 04-03-2010 10:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 632203)
3-1 for your troubles! Enjoy

Who said anything about betting him?

RockHardTen1985 04-03-2010 10:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 632200)
PG just declared him the TC winner in the Giants Causeway thread...



You KNOW what that means......

Chuckles, a while back... I mean a while back you told me a Giants Causeway would NEVER win a Grade 1 on dirt. Do you remember that? I mean Heatseeker already should have, but now today, today it happens.

randallscott35 04-03-2010 10:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 632206)
Who said anything about betting him?

Butler

Cannon Shell 04-03-2010 10:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RockHardTen1985 (Post 632207)
Chuckles, a while back... I mean a while back you told me a Giants Causeway would NEVER win a Grade 1 on dirt. Do you remember that? I mean Heatseeker already should have, but now today, today it happens.

Hey it only took what? 600, 700 foals?

randallscott35 04-03-2010 10:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell (Post 632210)
Hey it only took what? 600, 700 foals?

Pg can't count, don't worry.

philcski 04-03-2010 10:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 632202)
whose was that?

No idea. Got it in a retweet. Still funny though


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