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-   -   Ravel, How good is he ? (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=11020)

Bigsmc 03-21-2007 07:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by POINTGIVEN1985
biancone has very nice 3 yr turf horse.... the name is, well i forgot the name but he ran Nov, 25 on that stars of tommorw card that churchill ran, he actually beat a pletcher horse and it might have been Twilight Meteor.

That's a wealth of information.

Come on, if you are going to throw up a post like that, at least look the race up and throw the actual names in there.

miraja2 03-21-2007 07:34 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
That's a wealth of information.

Come on, if you are going to throw up a post like that, at least look the race up and throw the actual names in there.

No way man! I totally remember the horse he is talking about. I think he MIGHT have been sort-of brownish in color. He also had 4 legs. I think.
I can't remember the name of the jock.......but he wasn't a very big guy I can tell you that.
Know who he means now?

ArlJim78 03-21-2007 08:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
No way man! I totally remember the horse he is talking about. I think he MIGHT have been sort-of brownish in color. He also had 4 legs. I think.
I can't remember the name of the jock.......but he wasn't a very big guy I can tell you that.
Know who he means now?

I saw that one! I liked him too. I think he will be one to keep an eye on later in the season.

Bigsmc 03-21-2007 08:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
I saw that one! I liked him too. I think he will be one to keep an eye on later in the season.

How did he move on the track compared to his 2yr old sale video?

Sightseek 03-21-2007 08:28 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
I have to assume that much of the hype surrounding this colt is pedigree-related.
Based on performance alone, he probably doesn't belong in anyone's top-5 derby horse lists. However, anytime a colt that is by FuPeg and out of a graded-stakes winning AP Indy mare wins ANY Derby prep, there is going to be more hype than there would be (and perhaps should be) for some horse with a different pedigree.
I put him on my top5-list in part for this reason. I don't think he is one of the top five 3yos in training right now overall, but in terms of having the ability to get 10f effectively, I think he is perhaps more likely to do that than others who may be more talented at say......8.5f.
Am I right? Who knows.

I really agree with this assessment...being in the hands of Pletcher certainly helps as well.

ArlJim78 03-21-2007 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bigsmc
How did he move on the track compared to his 2yr old sale video?

I didn't see the sale video actually, but on the track he was great! He went in the right direction and made all the correct turns. Got him on my watchlist.

Sightseek 03-21-2007 08:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
No way man! I totally remember the horse he is talking about. I think he MIGHT have been sort-of brownish in color. He also had 4 legs. I think.
I can't remember the name of the jock.......but he wasn't a very big guy I can tell you that.
Know who he means now?

Oh yeah! And he had a tiny little saddle and one of those leather-thingies on his head...it's as clear as can be now! ;)

Sightseek 03-21-2007 08:31 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ArlJim78
I didn't see the sale video actually, but on the track he was great! He went in the right direction and made all the correct turns. Got him on my watchlist.

If you didn't see the sale video to compare him to his movement a year later, you really have NO clue what you are talking about. ;)

Cajungator26 03-21-2007 08:32 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
If you didn't see the sale video to compare him to his movement a year later, you really have NO clue what you are talking about. ;)

None.

ArlJim78 03-21-2007 08:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek
If you didn't see the sale video to compare him to his movement a year later, you really have NO clue what you are talking about. ;)

I seldom do.:o

King Glorious 03-21-2007 07:35 PM

I guess it's all irrelevant now.

SniperSB23 03-21-2007 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
I guess it's all irrelevant now.

We can try and guess how many more career starts he has. I'll go with 2.

Cajungator26 03-21-2007 07:45 PM

But guys...

He really has done enough.

SniperSB23 03-21-2007 07:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
But guys...

He really has done enough.

If he wasn't Coolmore I'm sure Stonewall would stand him. I'd think Coolmore will bring him back to at least get a G2 on the resume before they tell us he's done enough.

King Glorious 03-21-2007 08:22 PM

The funny thing is that while I know people are being sarcastic when they say that a horse has done enough, I really feel like it's a true statement. I think u want to see that a horse has speed to win races, can develop fast enough to win early, and can win in graded company. Ravel has done all three. I don't think he's as good as some others but with his pedigree and what he's already done, what more is there really to prove?

King Glorious 03-21-2007 08:26 PM

I do like racing. I don't think this stuff is good for racing. Never said that. Just said that from the perspective of the breeders, I can understand.

miraja2 03-21-2007 10:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
The funny thing is that while I know people are being sarcastic when they say that a horse has done enough, I really feel like it's a true statement. I think u want to see that a horse has speed to win races, can develop fast enough to win early, and can win in graded company. Ravel has done all three. I don't think he's as good as some others but with his pedigree and what he's already done, what more is there really to prove?

How about the ability to run 4 races without having your legs break? Might that be an important trait to pass on to his progeny?

King Glorious 03-21-2007 10:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by miraja2
How about the ability to run 4 races without having your legs break? Might that be an important trait to pass on to his progeny?

It doesn't seem like these kinds of things matter anymore. Look at what they got for Smarty Jones after a nine race career that ended with injury. Afleet Alex' career ended with injury. People don't care anymore. They aren't looking to get a horse that will be able to withstand a 30+ race career anymore. Those are things of the past. If u can get a horse that can withstand an 8-10 race career, u've got something nowdays so soundness isn't really that important anymore. How else can u explain why anyone would breed to Unbridled's Song?

Cannon Shell 03-21-2007 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
The funny thing is that while I know people are being sarcastic when they say that a horse has done enough, I really feel like it's a true statement. I think u want to see that a horse has speed to win races, can develop fast enough to win early, and can win in graded company. Ravel has done all three. I don't think he's as good as some others but with his pedigree and what he's already done, what more is there really to prove?

Sadly that is what a great number of people believe today. The fact that the horse has accomplished almost nothing except win a couple of weak stakes and break down is almost not even a factor. That he MAY have been a really good horse is good enough. The lightly raced horse at stud used to be the exception. Now it is the almost the rule.

The biggest problem with this type of thinking is really not the fact that talented horses are not having long careers. It is that a lot of mediocre horses who fill the day to day cards have enough soundness issues to keep them from racing on a regular basis. When the backbone horses who need to run alot in order to fill the daily races and pay their owners bills can't do it then where do you turn? When you keep breeding flash in the pan stallions to 150 mares, then run a good % of them through 2 yo in training sales, what will be left?

easy goer 03-21-2007 10:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by merasmag
buh-bye...wish him well...how do u "start" to get a fracture???

I think it may be something like a stress fracture. But Im not a doctor..

King Glorious 03-22-2007 07:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
Sadly that is what a great number of people believe today. The fact that the horse has accomplished almost nothing except win a couple of weak stakes and break down is almost not even a factor. That he MAY have been a really good horse is good enough. The lightly raced horse at stud used to be the exception. Now it is the almost the rule.

The biggest problem with this type of thinking is really not the fact that talented horses are not having long careers. It is that a lot of mediocre horses who fill the day to day cards have enough soundness issues to keep them from racing on a regular basis. When the backbone horses who need to run alot in order to fill the daily races and pay their owners bills can't do it then where do you turn? When you keep breeding flash in the pan stallions to 150 mares, then run a good % of them through 2 yo in training sales, what will be left?

Exactly. Another effect of all of this is that with so many of the top level horses leaving us so early, it creates a void at the top that has to be filled somehow. The horses that fill these voids then suddenly become looked at as top horses themselves. Take for example Eddington. Now, don't get me wrong. Eddington was always a talented horse. But he was always a couple of notches below the best. He finally got his grade one win in the 2005 Pimlico Special. Great for him. He was retired shortly thereafter. Was he really finally good enough to win a grade one? Or had enough of his competition been retired/sidelined/laying off to make the race weak enough for him to win it? The top 3yo's from his class (the previous year.....Smarty Jones, Birdstone, The Cliff's Edge, Lion Heart), were all retired. Rock Hard Ten was out with injury. Southern Image hadn't made it back yet from injury. Ghostzapper was out with injury. Saint Liam wasn't there. Roses in May wasn't there. Commentator wasn't there. All he was left to beat was Pollard's Vision and Presidentialaffair. Of course, it's not Eddington or his connections' fault that this is the way things turned out and they shouldn't feel bad for winning the race. But does anyone honestly believe that had several of those horses been in there, Eddington would have won? If he hadn't, would he still have been retired at that point? So lesser horses start winning this bigger races and people mistakenly start to look at them as top horses. Then all of a sudden, they are whisked away and the process is then repeated later........with even lesser horses.

Pedigree Ann 03-22-2007 10:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cannon Shell
When the backbone horses who need to run alot in order to fill the daily races and pay their owners bills can't do it then where do you turn? When you keep breeding flash in the pan stallions to 150 mares, then run a good % of them through 2 yo in training sales, what will be left?

The offspring of 'second- and third-tier' stallions and horses from the regional breeding programs. And South America. It's already happening. Invasor and Lava Dude winning most of the top races for older horses last year. Brass Hat trashing the blood-blues every chance he got. Thor's Echo and Bordonaro. Kona Gold. Evening Attire. Say Florida Sandy. They have the kind of breeding that will keep the 'cheap' races going, when the expensive hot-house flowers wilt.

The trouble with the 'throw a load of top class mares at him and he's sure to sire something' is that when you get a good one, it can be VERY VERY good. So they keep doing it. But the wastage is enormous.

Cannon Shell 03-22-2007 11:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pedigree Ann
The offspring of 'second- and third-tier' stallions and horses from the regional breeding programs. And South America. It's already happening. Invasor and Lava Dude winning most of the top races for older horses last year. Brass Hat trashing the blood-blues every chance he got. Thor's Echo and Bordonaro. Kona Gold. Evening Attire. Say Florida Sandy. They have the kind of breeding that will keep the 'cheap' races going, when the expensive hot-house flowers wilt.

The second and third tier stallions really aren't much better. Most of them are well bred racetrack failures. And the South American stallions that have stood in the US lately have not been very successful (Gentleman, Siphon) hence the cool reception for Candy Ride. All those horses you spoke about are really flukes of suspect breeding that only campaigned long enough for us to recognize their talent because of their obscure bloodlines or the fact that they were gelded.
I am seeing it more and more in the claiming ranks. It is almost impossible to fill a higher priced claimer for fillies despite the huge purses in some jurisdictions. You have seen the big league tracks like Gulfstream and NYRA run more and more cheap races because the 'middle class' races just dont fill.

jcs11204 04-12-2008 10:29 PM

this whole thread is classic


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