Its not betting against Invasor it finding out the 2,3,4th place horses

No one who has any knowledge is gonna put WIN bets on him at 3/5 however a ton of people will have him as top or 2nd in tris and supers

So remember

#1, key with???

oh come on he will be like 1/9 or worse. We are talking about the HOY last year who is only four techically.

This is what you said:

"why in hell would anyone in their right mind bet a dime on any horse in this race not named invasor"

yeah, the trick is hitting the ex and tri--but if invasor wins, they won't pay much either.

exactly! so why do you like hesanoldsalt in this spot?

right. what is your point exactly?

Obviously I think that Invasor is the clear winner here, but there's a chance he may not like the track, etc and if that is the case, there could be some money to be made.

He's a Broad Brush baby who getting better at four. :) Hee hee. Just going for the money.

i guess this is where we differ. i would never bet one horse to win, if i thought a different horse in that race was "obviously the clear winner."

Wont Pay much??? It wont pay 100 or more per buck but you should make a nice profit


Strong Contender will be 2nd choice and no way he even hits the board. Most likely will be looking at 2 15-1 or higher and a 5-1 in Magna Graduate to round out the super

Would you bet a higher priced horse WP? That's what I plan on doing.

if you want to go that way with the race....i would load up on the place part of the bet and keep the win part in the $2 range.

I am sure your son would enjoy the races! He has to learn how to read the racing form someday :)

Very true... but the idea of almost 4 hours in the car with a 3 year old doesn't appeal to me. :eek:

Maybe I'll get lucky and you guys will call me to let me know how the horses look? :cool:

that'd be really nice of them....wish someone would've come through for me.:p

I'm fully aware of the Invasor prep for Dubai angle, but we're talking about a horse who is 9/10 lifetime, and should be able to jog home beating this weak field.
Chatain looks nice, but with 4 lifetime starts, I really doubt he'll be able to shake free of Invasor.
And it is a terrible betting race, but who is going to complain about a single in the pick 4, or the Magna 5?

Not me.
:o

very true. no mortal locks here. he should canter home. but ya neva know.

Oops. :o We MIGHT have had a few too many on Saturday. LOL I'm sorry. :(

I have to agree with you about this. In his last three races his WORST Beyer# is a 111. No other horse in the race has ever run a figure that high. He is as solid a single here as you will find.

Invasor opens at 6/5

Magna Graduate 4/1

Chatain Strong Contender 6/1

If Chatain can handle 9F he might offer a serious challenge, the others are just nowhere near good enough to beat Invasor.

I don't care for Strong Contender's post.

Penna mentioned that Chatain was a candidate for a bounce after that strong performance. I don't like Invasor's post. Strong Contender has no one to blame but himself for the horrendous trip last time out.

I won't look at the race until Saturday. Think long think something something

Not many are better than Prado for saving ground...

ivasor is gonna roll again..me thinks..

I look at the Donn like its Invasor's victory lap.

Time to soak it in as the reigning HOY with all the attention this time.

Chatain got a very good trip in the HH. Set up very nicely so I wont get sucked in with this horse. But where do you go? No bet.

Regarding the other races on the card, Nobiz Like Shobiz may be tough, but I like Sam P better than Scat Daddy (even if J.V. choose the latter).

I doubt Chatain's going to bounce because of the way he's been training. Penna also said that Cornelio says he can run all day- distance won't be a problem. He's the only horse who has a chance to beat Invasor.

Be careful picking a logical favorite in this forum at low odds. You will get blasted by all the long boarders. I agree if you can't double your $$$ on a win but loading up an exacta would easily cover that? Handicap for second, then your kids first words won't be "Wheres the ATM" or "Momma be back". Chris Rock too funny

Preferably...

What happens if it rains down there?? Any good off track runners on the card

It's looking like it might... we had tornadoes here in the Central FL area all night. It was awful... people dead and homes destroyed. :(

Ya i am watching it now, lucky this week tho I was up that way last weekend

Funny the mood changes to the weather. Point taken, I guess.

The key is IF???

To express my opinion
 

Speaking in TG terms, of all horses, Magna Graduate is the fastest horse, so far. That being said, I think he bounces to the moon. Two horses that you have to watch out here are Hesanoldsalt and Strong Contender. Each horse has some solid reasoning IMO. I am going to be gambling on the fact that Invasor is not 100% cranked. He was kept in training for ONE GOAL, the Dubai World Cup, another Grade 1 gets him NOTHING. At 3/5, he is beatable.

Most of Salt's family improved with age, and his last race was his 'best' race yet as far as figures. If he is keen earlier, he is toast as their is alot of bs speed in this race.

Now SC is a horse that I just can't figure out. That being said, he is just as fast as Invasor and will 5 or 6/1. If he runs to his LAD or that huge Belmont race, he wins here, and maybe quite easily.

I think the way you play this race is in the pick threes, all the hilarious public will be singling Invasor (my guess is about 85% of the tickets will have invasor on the ticket somewhere). Be part of that 15% and the $20 pick three ticket that you played might get you back a grand.

Invasor will not lose to this bunch. You're wasting your money. I'd pick a different favorite to knock off. McLaughlin said because the DWC is not so far away from the BCC, they never let up on him. He as as close to 100% as he's going to be and he doesn't need to be at 100% to cruise tomorrow.
that's my opinion.