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-   -   Quality Road wont run.. (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=29274)

tjfla 04-27-2009 11:59 AM

I say Join in the Dance is last just due to fact he will go out fast then die even faster. These horses are gonna be flying by him but at least it adds speed to the race

jwkniska 04-27-2009 12:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
This will be interesting, Cordero will probably be working hard to get JV the mount. I remember there was another similar situation from a past derby that etiquette wasn't followed causing some ruffled feathers.


JV's now on Mr Hot Stuff

blackthroatedwind 04-27-2009 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
If Pletcher runs Join in the Dance, Take the Points, and Advice, he's probably odds-on to saddle the last place finisher for a fourth year in a row (following Keyed Entry, Cowtown Cat, and Monba).

It gets him ever closer to tying Woody's Belmont mark.

Do you think Churchill should promote this?

philcski 04-27-2009 12:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by parsixfarms
If Pletcher runs Join in the Dance, Take the Points, and Advice, he's probably odds-on to saddle the last place finisher for a fourth year in a row (following Keyed Entry, Cowtown Cat, and Monba).

That's a hell of a coupled entry for last place.

freddymo 04-27-2009 12:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
Now confirmed..

Have they decided which stud farm he will be standing at yet?

parsixfarms 04-27-2009 12:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind
Do you think Churchill should promote this?

Maybe Jack Wolf.

CSC 04-27-2009 01:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
How so?!

Take out one of the top 2 favorites and it won't?

Suffolk Shippers 04-27-2009 01:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sdjcom
I agree with you, after the second Q-crack on the front that should have been it. How could anyone have confidence in betting on this horse with all the Question marks, and would be an injustice to race fans on Saturday who were not paying attention. If a horse is not 110% then he should be scratch, to many horses in this race for one to pull up causing trouble.

If they didn't withdraw, and intended to run Saturday, and people went ahead and bet him knowing all that has gone on since the minute he stepped into the winners circle at the FLA Derby....then they deserve to have their money taken and served a cold dose of injustice. That's the beauty of parimutuel wagering, you can win foolish/uninformed people's money.

SCUDSBROTHER 04-27-2009 01:42 PM

http://www.audiosparx.com/sa/play/po...und_iid.140576

Gotham in mourning.

CSC 04-27-2009 01:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jwkniska
JV's now on Mr Hot Stuff

Yep, I was just musing would there be some last minute jockeying(how about that a pun). I cited this happening in a past derby, can't remember the jock or horse though.

King Glorious 04-27-2009 02:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Suffolk Shippers
If they didn't withdraw, and intended to run Saturday, and people went ahead and bet him knowing all that has gone on since the minute he stepped into the winners circle at the FLA Derby....then they deserve to have their money taken and served a cold dose of injustice. That's the beauty of parimutuel wagering, you can win foolish/uninformed people's money.

Reason #172 why people don't care about racing. On days like the Derby and the BC, there are a good number of new fans that are coming to the track or watching for the first time. Sure, we as hardcore fans, ones that read the DRF and Bloodhorse and frequent messege boards, we know what's been going on with Quality Road. But can you really expect all of those new fans to know? They really deserve to have their money taken?

philcski 04-27-2009 02:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
Reason #172 why people don't care about racing. On days like the Derby and the BC, there are a good number of new fans that are coming to the track or watching for the first time. Sure, we as hardcore fans, ones that read the DRF and Bloodhorse and frequent messege boards, we know what's been going on with Quality Road. But can you really expect all of those new fans to know? They really deserve to have their money taken?

If you buy a stock of a company that is trading at $2 that has already announced they are going bankrupt in a month (i.e. GM), therefore rendering the equity completely worthless, because someone told you to, do you deserve to lose your money?

blackthroatedwind 04-27-2009 02:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
Reason #172 why people don't care about racing. On days like the Derby and the BC, there are a good number of new fans that are coming to the track or watching for the first time. Sure, we as hardcore fans, ones that read the DRF and Bloodhorse and frequent messege boards, we know what's been going on with Quality Road. But can you really expect all of those new fans to know? They really deserve to have their money taken?


This whole " new fan " thing really confuses me. Are you suggesting that the people who are rolling into the track on Derby Day for their annual one day appearance are new fans?

" Their money taken? " What does that mean? Are you saying because they make infrequent appearances they should somehow be subsidized? Should they get their money back on losing bets because they don't frequent message boards or read Bloodhorse? Should investors who recently lost in the market get a refund if they dont read the Wall Street Journal?

If you are interested in this game to care enough to learn, you would know what is going on with a Quality Road. If you don't, you don't care, and are there to have a good time. If you cash a bet here or there, that's great, but you won't feel cheated because you didn't know that a horse had some physical issue you couldn't define anyway. And, frankly, if you are serious enough to be upset you didn't know this, you are reasonably likely to learn so as to understand the situation the next time it arises.

King Glorious 04-27-2009 02:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
If you buy a stock of a company that is trading at $2 that has already announced they are going bankrupt in a month (i.e. GM), therefore rendering the equity completely worthless, because someone told you to, do you deserve to lose your money?

If you are putting your money into anything, I would suppose that due dilligence would be in order. In that light, I understand your analogy. However, if they announced that they are going bankrupt, you know for sure that the stock is worthless. It's not a maybe/maybe not situation. In racing, you'd like to assume that what they said was true, that if he wasn't 100%, they wouldn't run him. So you'd hope that him being in the race would be a sign that he's 100%. Now, of course that is no guarantee that he'd win the race. You know going in that it's a gamble. The situation you described isn't a gamble. It's one with a known outcome.

philcski 04-27-2009 02:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
If you are putting your money into anything, I would suppose that due dilligence would be in order. In that light, I understand your analogy. However, if they announced that they are going bankrupt, you know for sure that the stock is worthless. It's not a maybe/maybe not situation. In racing, you'd like to assume that what they said was true, that if he wasn't 100%, they wouldn't run him. So you'd hope that him being in the race would be a sign that he's 100%. Now, of course that is no guarantee that he'd win the race. You know going in that it's a gamble. The situation you described isn't a gamble. It's one with a known outcome.

You had it right before you continued on. The more due dilligence you do, the better chance you have to win. If some schmuck goes in there on the biggest day of the year, in which ALL information is known, and didn't know say Quality Road was running with a bar shoe when it was plastered all over the newspapers, I plan on taking their money. End of story.

King Glorious 04-27-2009 02:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
You had it right before you continued on. The more due dilligence you do, the better chance you have to win. If some schmuck goes in there on the biggest day of the year, in which ALL information is known, and didn't know say Quality Road was running with a bar shoe when it was plastered all over the newspapers, I plan on taking their money. End of story.

I don't play the stock market. But if, before I invest in a company, I read that they will be bankrupt, I know what bankrupt means. If before I bet on the Derby, I read that Quality Road is running in a bar shoe, and it's my first time at the track, I doubt that I know what a bar shoe is or what it means to how he'll perform.

blackthroatedwind 04-27-2009 02:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
I don't play the stock market. But if, before I invest in a company, I read that they will be bankrupt, I know what bankrupt means. If before I bet on the Derby, I read that Quality Road is running in a bar shoe, and it's my first time at the track, I doubt that I know what a bar shoe is or what it means to how he'll perform.


And if you have ANY interest whatsoever you learn. Those are the people that MIGHT have a chance to become fans. Those that weren't interested in learning were never becoming fans.

Danzig 04-27-2009 02:46 PM

folks going to the derby this wknd for the most part won't become fans. they'e going to a happening, not a horse race.

if anyone wants to make new fans, take your friends or aquaintances to the track. teach them. or your kids, like i have.

philcski 04-27-2009 02:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
I don't play the stock market. But if, before I invest in a company, I read that they will be bankrupt, I know what bankrupt means. If before I bet on the Derby, I read that Quality Road is running in a bar shoe, and it's my first time at the track, I doubt that I know what a bar shoe is or what it means to how he'll perform.

C'mon KG, you make it sound like there should be a coloring book provided to everyone that walks in the door explaining what to do when a horse poops in the post parade. If you heard he had a bar shoe and didn't know what that meant, couldn't you just ask someone? Or pull out your Blackberry or Iphone and google it? We live in an age of information, if someone is too lazy to take it upon themself and learn they deserve to lose.

Antitrust32 04-27-2009 02:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
You had it right before you continued on. The more due dilligence you do, the better chance you have to win. If some schmuck goes in there on the biggest day of the year, in which ALL information is known, and didn't know say Quality Road was running with a bar shoe when it was plastered all over the newspapers, I plan on taking their money. End of story.


exactly... I dont see what the issue is.

maybe KG wants to socialize gambling??

Left Bank 04-27-2009 02:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by philcski
C'mon KG, you make it sound like there should be a coloring book provided to everyone that walks in the door explaining what to do when a horse poops in the post parade. If you heard he had a bar shoe and didn't know what that meant, couldn't you just ask someone? Or pull out your Blackberry or Iphone and google it? We live in an age of information, if someone is too lazy to take it upon themself and learn they deserve to lose.

They should only care if the track has been certified by the NTRA!!:D
I bet none of them would even know what that means.

Antitrust32 04-27-2009 02:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by King Glorious
I don't play the stock market. But if, before I invest in a company, I read that they will be bankrupt, I know what bankrupt means. If before I bet on the Derby, I read that Quality Road is running in a bar shoe, and it's my first time at the track, I doubt that I know what a bar shoe is or what it means to how he'll perform.


so what? what is the issue here??

If someone new to poker sits down at my table and doesnt know a full house beats a straight... am I supposed to explain??

Antitrust32 04-27-2009 02:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Danzig
folks going to the derby this wknd for the most part won't become fans. they'e going to a happening, not a horse race.

if anyone wants to make new fans, take your friends or aquaintances to the track. teach them. or your kids, like i have.


and the new folks who dont know that QR has a quarter crack.. well they dont care anyway. They know Baffert. They know cute names. They know colorful silks.. thats all they care about and unfortunatly they get beginners luck and still win by betting silks.

Payson Dave 04-27-2009 04:48 PM

I'm sure if he had run, then the press and the talking heads would have been making the issue of his problems with two feet known to all...even to the most novice of attendees

SCUDSBROTHER 04-27-2009 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32
exactly... I dont see what the issue is.

maybe KG wants to socialize gambling??


It's already Socialized. You see anybody in this country competing for the price they're gunna give you on a horse?

sdjcom 04-27-2009 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Suffolk Shippers
If they didn't withdraw, and intended to run Saturday, and people went ahead and bet him knowing all that has gone on since the minute he stepped into the winners circle at the FLA Derby....then they deserve to have their money taken and served a cold dose of injustice. That's the beauty of parimutuel wagering, you can win foolish/uninformed people's money.

I agree with you for regular players,they should pay attention however on derby day you have thousands of people who bet the tip sheets and hype horses, for that one day. it's our premier race of the year and i feel no horse that's not 100% should run.

hockey2315 04-27-2009 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
Take out one of the top 2 favorites and it won't?

You said, "This will hurt the pool, the trickle down effect will be huge."

I'm not sure how a relatively high priced major contender scratching could possibly "hurt" the pool unless for some reason you think a very significant portion of people are going to pass on the race just because Quality Road is out? Is that what you're saying?

CSC 04-27-2009 09:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
You said, "This will hurt the pool, the trickle down effect will be huge."

I'm not sure how a relatively high priced major contender scratching could possibly "hurt" the pool unless for some reason you think a very significant portion of people are going to pass on the race just because Quality Road is out? Is that what you're saying?

I understand what you are saying now, what I mean't was it would significantly lower the odds on other horses in the race. Most notably the horses that were 3rd and 4th in betting and on down. Regardless of his chances he was an attractive bet to many, he would have taken alot of money in this race, now that money is going to be dispersed elsewhere.

hockey2315 04-27-2009 09:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by CSC
I understand what you are saying now, what I mean't was it would significantly lower the odds on other horses in the race. Most notably the horses that were 3rd and 4th in betting and on down. Regardless of his chances he was an attractive bet to many, he would have taken alot of money in this race, now that money is going to be dispersed elsewhere.

Fair enough. . . I wouldn't define this as "hurting the pool." You could certainly argue that it hurt value on other contenders if you were planning on playing against QR, though, obviously. . .

Sightseek 05-08-2009 08:29 PM

Doubtful for the Belmont, sore in the right fore and popped an abscess:

http://www.drf.com/news/article/103635.html


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