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Now understand, I would like nothing better than to just agree with you. I have been so impressed with the horse since he's been training at Belmont. Kiaran and his assistant here at Belmont are very high on him. But I won't put him into the brilliant category until I can see how he performs against the kind of company he will face in the Gotham. He's got to contend with other speed in the race and will battle with some closers in the stretch. Mig came off him last time and said that he definately didn't need the lead which I think will be critical for him as he moves forward. Whether he does or not we will eventually see. He is extremely mature for a horse with so little experience. I better stop or I'll convince myself that your are right. I have to control my being a fan of the horse to handicap and bet his races. |
Alan Garcia thinks Taqarub can rate this weekend at Gulfstream. I tend to agree with him....he will rate....and run last. No disrespect, but I want to see speed types rate in a competitive horserace before I believe they can do it. Most of the time, they can't.
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How about if Garcia were to shoot up some 'roids before the ride? |
it's not whether the rider can hold him, it's whether the horse is willing to do as he's told. no rider will fight a horse and win the battle-either the horse will relax, or he'll fight himself into exhaustion-which won't win him the race.
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http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=28075 |
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how will i go on?? |
While I appreciate the lesson about the obvious, it's actually NOT as obvious as all that.
To get a horse to rate you do in fact need to RESTRAIN IT, in most cases against its will but not how Douglas, Homeister, and countless others do it the horse needs to be restrained without being choked out we typically don't get this what we get is the extremes: not enough hold or too much hold though I suspect that if it were left up to the horses, we'd probably have some better run races --- couldn't be any worse do the mofo's who train ever watch races or do they just go by what the (in most cases) idiot jocks tell them? it's rhetorical |
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baby Daaher
Taqarub actually looks pretty strong. A lot of speed in here though.
Changing his style abruptly would negate whatever slim chances he has unless by "rate" he means concede the lead, and press SamePage until he folds just before the turn. can Prado judge the pace here with Phil ? Theres some danger that Phil could break too well and be close to the pace stretching out. |
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Hmmmm
Maybe, then, it's not the horses that are failing. |
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Horses are live big short haired bicycles. |
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Tell you an interesting story about a cheap old out-of-town claimer that eventually won a nice allowance race in NYC, at BEL, running 1:09 and change. Had a nice run for a while. It's funny that this was a need the lead type in all of his previous races. In fact, he was so aggressive, that you couldn't even WALK HIM BEHIND horses in the barn; he had to in front of them. YET, the trainer was able to get him to rate and win. Wonder why that was? Yeah, the horse has to 'cooperate' and the jock needs to have a clue BUT the trainer also needs to TEACH the horse. Can't be that difficult to do because I don't see too many INTELLECTUALS on the backstretch. Seems that even OLD GELDINGS can learn to do new things. To get a sense of where this game is in terms of technology, compare the teams involved in other forms of racing, auto and bike, for example, the work involved in getting ready for a race, with the 'teams' (laughable) in horse racing. Time to really catch up with the times. |
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Cappy has a point. It's one thing to work with an older horse that you claim and try to change is style, another to suddenly change a horse 7 weeks before the horses biggest career race. Would it have made sense in early march to have tried to teach Congaree or Spend a Buck or Affirmed to be a closer? You dance with what brought you at this point.
I agree that some horses can and do learn new tactics. Some never will. You might get them to rate kindly but they don't like the kickback or they find that they just don't like going out and passing horses. I have found that most speedball types are merely horses that don't care to change gears or paths in the middle of a race. They go as fast and as far as they can but they aren't adjustable and when you rate them they just gallop around. What they do in the morning often doesn't translate into the real world in the afternoon. Some riders are pretty good at settling a horse without fighting, Ramon D and Calvin do a nice job taking a long hold. |
Are entries drawn today?
Trivia time! The Gotham was once a division of another race. What race was it, and at what distance was it run? |
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Which two great horses and what son of the only Gotham victor to win the derby ran 2nd in the derby after winning the Gotham? |
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Not sure what you mean Nic when you ask about Gotham as a division of another race. The Gotham has been run in 2 divisions itself a number of times including the inaugural in '53 which Native Dancer and Laffango split it. It was run in divisions in 1974-75 and 1983 as well. It was run at 8.5f 1953-1959 at Jamaica, and then moved to Aqueduct in 1960 and cut to 1 mile. In 1977 and 1979 it was again 8.5f. In 1958 it was for 4 year olds and up. What's the division of another race answer??? |
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I can't wait to see the morning line on Ventura against the boys in the Kilroe, where if the horses who are being pointed to it go, she might be 3/5. NT |
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The whole card Saturday at SA should be great fun... |
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We began drawing Saturday on Wednesday, and Sunday on Thursday, the first week of the year......and I believe this was discussed here. |
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When I get home, I'll make better notes on this, but in the years prior to Native Dancer it was a race that only the horses who were weighted in the Experimental Handicap could enter and they were forced to carry the weight they were assigned. I believe Vosburgh thought up the idea (I'll have to confirm this when I get home) but eventually, as more options on the Stakes calendar popped up, horseman were less inclined to run in this race because of the wide spreads of weight. |
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Mr Fantasy is a 1/2 to Tin Cup Chalice .
One never knows for sure about any race . That's why they have the race, I suppose . In the Hollie Hughes 5 yr old Mor Chances led at all calls for the first time in his career . |
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* The first Experimental was carded by Walter S. Vosburgh, the highweight of 126 lbs was given to First Minstrel, a pound more than Cavalcade - his goal was to make the hypothetical experimental a reality * In April 1940 Jamaica Race Course put up $5,000 for a 6 furlong race called the Experimental Handicap as a prep for the Wood Memorial * Two restrictions were put on this race 1) only those horses who were weighted on the Experimental Free Handicap were eligible to run 2) the horses had to carry the weights they were assigned in the EFH * 1942 the name was changed to the Experimental Free Handicap - the winner that year, Apache would be the first winner to run in the Derby (11th) * 1944 the EFH was split into two divisions - this also marked the first year the highweight ran (Pukka Gin) * 1946 - Experimental Free Handicap- No. 2 at 1 1/16 is run for the first time, Assault won the 6 furlong, Experimental Free-No. 1 that year on the way to capturing the Triple Crown * 1952 last Experimental Free Handicap- No. 2 is run and renamed the Gotham for the next year Schmitz, David. "Noble Experiment." Blood-Horse 14 February 2009: 622. |
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It is exciting to go to the track to see a race that really will tell us something about the derby potential of many of these top three year olds. And with the weather in the 50's/without rain it will be a fair playing field for all. |
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