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-   -   Definite Derby Throw Outs (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21828)

ateamstupid 04-22-2008 02:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
I can think of about 20 horses that I feel fairly comfortable in saying they have no shot to win.

I have taken off work every Derby day for the past 5 years...not this year. Zero interest in any of this group. Just a bunch of slow horses.

It's the Derby and you have a pulse. You'll be calling in.

GPK 04-22-2008 02:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
It's the Derby and you have a pulse. You'll be calling in.


OK....so I MIGHT stop by the OTB on the way home to watch it after work. But I'm not taking the full day off and sitting at the OTB all day, as I have years past. Already gonna be gone 3 days that week for a golf tournament in Maryland. Not gonna waste a vacation day on this years Derby.


That whole pulse thing is questionable at times though...

tiggerv 04-22-2008 02:56 PM

Fair enough although not sold. I don't think he will get the pace nor trip he needs to seriously contend. The Derby pace may not be blistering but it is never slow.

I wouldn't advocate throwing him out based on the pedigree and trainer but he would need a big move forward to hit the board.

Hickory Hill Hoff 04-22-2008 04:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheSpyder
Not sure this will be any easier but since picking the standout winner in near impossible, who will you definately throw out of your picks and why?

Let the fun begin.

Spyder

ALL the "slow" horses :D :D :D

fpsoxfan 04-22-2008 04:56 PM

There's no doubt that this is not a great Derby Field. But the pulse thing is a little over the top. Derby Day is a blast. I don't care if there's 10 donkeys going into the gate, it's going to be exciting. This will be my 20th Derby since I began following horses and there hasn't been a year when "Derby Day" hasn't been a good time.

Even if someone doesn't like the Derby itself, how about the undercard?
If people really feel this way about the Derby than maybe you're in the wrong sport.

ateamstupid 04-22-2008 05:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
There's no doubt that this is not a great Derby Field. But the pulse thing is a little over the top. Derby Day is a blast. I don't care if there's 10 donkeys going into the gate, it's going to be exciting. This will be my 20th Derby since I began following horses and there hasn't been a year when "Derby Day" hasn't been a good time.

Even if someone doesn't like the Derby itself, how about the undercard?
If people really feel this way about the Derby than maybe you're in the wrong sport.

If you're referring to what I said, I don't think you understand what I meant.

My point was that Derby day is awesome and if you have a pulse, you'll enjoy it regardless of how crappy the field is.

cowgirlintexas 04-22-2008 05:15 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GPK
I can think of about 20 horses that I feel fairly comfortable in saying they have no shot to win.

I have taken off work every Derby day for the past 5 years...not this year. Zero interest in any of this group. Just a bunch of slow horses.

Same here Kev.. This will be my first year to work as well. Course I will be off in time to watch the race, but I won't be doing the "Breakfast at Churchill" and counting down the hours 'till I heat up that Cheese Queso...

Danzig 04-22-2008 05:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
I agree. Especially because he likes Anak Nakal, who seems like a total toss to me. And I know he won at Churchill, but he basically lucked into a perfect trip.

me three, cool coal man before many.

TheSpyder 04-22-2008 05:23 PM

I totally agree...it's like the Masters. Oh course this years Masters is alot like this years Derby....not an exciting field with leaders from unknown parts of the sport.

Anyway, as someone said the undercard usually is great and lots of great races leading up to the Derby and by the time they sing Old Kentucky Home I'll have a pick and be ready for a great race.

Spyder
Quote:

Originally Posted by Cardus
Derby Day is the best, period.

It beats Breeders' Cup Day by a mile.


fpsoxfan 04-22-2008 05:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid
If you're referring to what I said, I don't think you understand what I meant.

My point was that Derby day is awesome and if you have a pulse, you'll enjoy it regardless of how crappy the field is.

No, not you or anyone specifically, I was more or less referring to comments I've heard in general about this being a crappy derby.

Hickory Hill Hoff 04-22-2008 05:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by fpsoxfan
No, not you or anyone specifically, I was more or less referring to comments I've heard in general about this being a crappy derby.

Kentucky Derby is never crappy....nor is the "new & improved" F.P. O.T.B.! :rolleyes:

Cajungator26 04-22-2008 06:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I won't deny that Cool Coal Man got pretty nice set-ups in his two wins this year, but I think he's a horse who makes his own trip. He's got nice stalking speed and I like that he'll be forwardly placed in the derby but not TOO close to a pace that COULD be fast or may turn out to be more moderate than some of us expect. I also thought that he made a VERY nice move in the FoY. He's got a win at CD where he beat Recapturetheglory pretty easily, he's 2-for-2 at 9F on dirt and has the pedigree to run all day. His 98 BSF stacks up pretty well with this group and he'll be a pretty big price. Sold yet?

I'm tossing him.

hockey2315 04-22-2008 07:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Cajungator26
I'm tossing him.

Wasn't Scat Daddy your derby horse last year? :)

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Wasn't Scat Daddy your derby horse last year? :)

Scat Daddy would be the favorite and could very well win it this year.

hockey2315 04-22-2008 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan
Scat Daddy would be the favorite and could very well win it this year.

No way, dude.

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:25 PM

Why wouldn't Scat Daddy be the favorite in this group?

hockey2315 04-22-2008 07:26 PM

Big Brown.

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Big Brown.

Scat Daddy would have eaten him up.

Danzig 04-22-2008 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan
Scat Daddy would have eaten him up.

lmao

Danzig 04-22-2008 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Did PG1985 steal your login?

funny, i thought of him as well when i read the above.

hockey2315 04-22-2008 07:28 PM

You're kidding, right? And Scat Daddy finished 18th last year, by the way. . . Were there really 17 horses last year better than the top of this crop?

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Did PG1985 steal your login?

Sorry, my love for Scat Daddy leading up to the Derby last year is coming out. He was my horse all the way until the day of the derby, and then I switched. I was down to my last $10 come post time and put $5 to win/place on Hard Spun, closest I've come to picking a winner.

It's pretty bad I was down to my last $10, but I just got back from giving all my money to Vegas the day before.

ddthetide 04-22-2008 07:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav
you don't like Proud Spell at all if she runs in the Derby, I know she is only 15%, but if she did run, I would definetely be using her.

i'll use 1 or both fillies if they run, especially Eight Belles.

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
You're kidding, right? And Scat Daddy finished 18th last year, by the way. . . Were there really 17 horses last year better than the top of this crop?

OOOO so your telling me that since he got 18th last year that the 17 that finished ahead of him were def. better horses? You know that's not true.

hockey2315 04-22-2008 07:32 PM

Eight Belles has not shot to win. Proud Spell would have a slight shot.

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:38 PM

Just for fun here is the order of finish from the 07 Derby, and how I match Scat Daddy up with them.

Street Sense > Scat Daddy
Hard Spun > Scat Daddy
Curlin > Scat Daddy
Imawildandcrazyguy < Scat Daddy
Sedgefield < Scat Daddy
Circular Quay = Scat Daddy
Tiago ???? Scat Daddy last year, Tiago looks good now so tossup.
Any Given Saturday > Scat Daddy
Sam P. < Scat Daddy
Nobiz Like Shobiz = Scat Daddy
Dominican < Scat Daddy
Zanjero < Scat Daddy
Great Hunter = Scat Daddy
Liquidity < Scat Daddy
Bwana Bull < Scat Daddy
Storm in May < Scat Daddy
Teuflesberg < Scat Daddy
Scat Daddy
Stormello < Scat Daddy
Cowtown Cat < Scat Daddy

hockey2315 04-22-2008 07:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IrishofNDMan
Just for fun here is the order of finish from the 07 Derby, and how I match Scat Daddy up with them.

Street Sense > Scat Daddy
Hard Spun > Scat Daddy
Curlin > Scat Daddy
Imawildandcrazyguy < Scat Daddy
Sedgefield < Scat Daddy
Circular Quay = Scat Daddy
Tiago ???? Scat Daddy last year, Tiago looks good now so tossup.
Any Given Saturday < Scat Daddy
Sam P. < Scat Daddy
Nobiz Like Shobiz = Scat Daddy
Dominican < Scat Daddy
Zanjero < Scat Daddy
Great Hunter = Scat Daddy
Liquidity < Scat Daddy
Bwana Bull < Scat Daddy
Storm in May < Scat Daddy
Teuflesberg < Scat Daddy
Scat Daddy
Stormello < Scat Daddy
Cowtown Cat < Scat Daddy

So Nobiz, Great Hunter, and CQ were better than Any Given Saturday?

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
So Nobiz, Great Hunter, and CQ were better than Any Given Saturday?

I did it quickly, you are right. I guess I would have to give the nod to AGS was better than Scat Daddy. I will correct it.

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DaHoss9698
Is this a practical joke?

I ask myself the same question on some of your post.

hockey2315 04-22-2008 07:45 PM

Anyone know Scat Daddy's best career Beyer? I wanna say it was a 96. . .

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:46 PM

Scat Daddy gave me a pretty big score (atleast for me) in last years Fountain of Youth which is probably a reason why I liked him so much.

I did not bet him against last years field, but I would def. bet him if he was up against this years crop.

hockey2315 04-22-2008 07:48 PM

Wasn't he like 3-1?

IrishofNDMan 04-22-2008 07:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Wasn't he like 3-1?

Paid 13.80 and 6.20

had the tri and exacta a couple of times which paid 37 and 78 for $1.

Cajungator26 04-22-2008 10:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
Wasn't Scat Daddy your derby horse last year? :)

Yep, but at least I hit the exacta by boxing Scat Daddy with Street Sense, Hard Spun and Zanjero! :p

I broke even. :o


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