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I would suggest that it's difficult to gauge Stanford's half mile split against the day as he was essentially handed a very easy lead from the break. He seems to me to be a horse that wants no part of anything more than a mile, and may even better suited as a pressing-type sprinter - Can't blame the connections for taking a shot - they earned it - but also had to envision him not finishing close to last either... |
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A couple of early races were super fast early for the level, but all in all even if the track was playing a bit "fast," it was definitely not as fast as you'd often expect from a track on a big day. Maybe a few lengths faster than normal, but still slow in relation to what you see in some other places. |
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Stanford out, Frammento is in. First time the '21' saddlecloth will be used since they capped the field.
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Frammento is a good superfecta add on. Stanford was going to be pace factor for sure and probably finish near last.
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who gets the mount? Nakatani?
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Projected derby favoritism based on the oaks derby double payout per dollar from #7 in first leg
American Pharoah28 Dortmund40 Frosted86 Carpe Diem91 Firing Line95 Mubtaahij110 Materiality117 Upstart148 International Star195 American Pharoah and Dortmund are clearly 1 and 2. Frosted projects to be a close 3rd choice over Carpe Diem Firing Line and Mubtaahij currently have a clear edge over Materiality Upstart figures a slight edge over International Star. |
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Any ADW should have them. I use twinspires.
Here is a link to current derby odds, little help at this time with the small pool. http://www.kentuckyderby.com/racing-...erby-live-odds |
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Competitive edge sparkling mile..Quality colt..Met mile?
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With 7.3 million in the win pool, AP is 3.3-1. Dort is 4.4-1.
--Dunbar |
Mark Casse is unstoppable today.
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Win bets on frosted, carpet diem, mubtaahij, used frammento, Danzig moon, upstart, war story and far right underneath. Seems like a long shot always hits the board, so figured I'd give it a whirl.
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