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-   -   136th Kentucky Oaks (PP's) (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35723)

the_fat_man 04-26-2010 11:11 PM

It's no secret that I think Blind Luck is very good. She's shown the ability to run against the setup, something none of the other fillies in the race have demonstrated. In fact, there are quite a few that need a perfect setup to win.

If I didn't know that Blind Luck was so good, I'd bet Tidal Pool off her last race. Off that race, she's the play as she got the worst of it and Blind Luck got a perfect trip. The problem, of course, is that Blind Luck has shown she can run over horses when she doesn't get the setup in her favor.

Antitrust32 04-30-2010 08:23 AM

Blind Luck

Is there any way she floats up to 5/2 or dare say 3-1?

cakes44 04-30-2010 08:27 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 641623)
Blind Luck

Is there any way she floats up to 5/2 or dare say 3-1?

No chance. 9/5 at the highest IMO.

Antitrust32 04-30-2010 08:29 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 641626)
No chance. 9/5 at the highest IMO.

I'm just hoping the 100,000 women at the track today like horses with different names :)

cakes44 04-30-2010 08:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 641627)
I'm just hoping the 100,000 women at the track today like horses with different names :)

I know exactly what you are saying. I just think that even if she floated up to 5/2 somehow, anybody with a brain would be pounding her back down to 9/5 with late $$.

Antitrust32 04-30-2010 08:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by cakes44 (Post 641628)
I know exactly what you are saying. I just think that even if she floated up to 5/2 somehow, anybody with a brain would be pounding her back down to 9/5 with late $$.

very true. I wonder if I still should throw some money down on her at 9/5 or just play her in an exacta with Tidal Pool. I'm using both horses in an Oaks / Derby double & hoping a pricey horse scores in the Derby.

That pretty much the only way to make $ in the oaks this year IMO!

moses 04-30-2010 09:04 AM

Anyone else interested to see what It's Tea Time can do with the added distance and her first race on dirt?

Should be an interesting race for her -- I wouldn't be surprised to see her get up into the money.

cakes44 04-30-2010 09:13 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Antitrust32 (Post 641629)
very true. I wonder if I still should throw some money down on her at 9/5 or just play her in an exacta with Tidal Pool. I'm using both horses in an Oaks / Derby double & hoping a pricey horse scores in the Derby.

That pretty much the only way to make $ in the oaks this year IMO!

Yeah I hear ya. I've got Tidal Pool at 23-1, so I'm just going to ride it out even though I believe Blind Luck is a clear standout.

Patrick333 04-30-2010 02:46 PM

I have an Oaks Future bet on Jody Slew. So I'll be hoping that the 7th place finish in the Fair Grounds Oaks was caused by the problem she had a couple of weeks before the race.

CSC 04-30-2010 04:45 PM

I'll guess Crisp will move up on dirt today, double digits.

cmorioles 05-01-2010 09:42 AM

94 Beyer for the winner.

clyde 05-03-2010 08:56 AM

Oh good...now we know the horsey really did win.


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