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-   -   A question for all of you planning to bet Sidney's Candy (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=35678)

chucklestheclown 04-28-2010 11:22 PM

I don't think he can overcome the post.

kgar311 04-29-2010 07:32 AM

Ill book all win bets on this piece and ill give 10-1, who wants some?????:D

richard burch 04-29-2010 07:59 AM

he has to be as good as big brown was to win from post 20. is he?

if you look at his pps, he needs to be in 1st going into that first turn or he's done. so i hope everyone bets on him so i can reap the rewards.

add to it that he has never raced on dirt.

Port Conway Lane 04-29-2010 08:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311 (Post 641197)
Ill book all win bets on this piece and ill give 10-1, who wants some?????:D

I'll take $10 bucks worth. Do you have paypal ?

kgar311 04-29-2010 08:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane (Post 641207)
I'll take $10 bucks worth. Do you have paypal ?

yep

Port Conway Lane 04-29-2010 08:10 AM

Great, done deal. Send me the $100 and if he loses I'll send you back $112.50 to cover your paypal takeout.

kgar311 04-29-2010 08:16 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane (Post 641210)
Great, done deal. Send me the $100 and if he loses I'll send you back $112.50 to cover your paypal takeout.

I think I would be more comfortable if you gave me the 10 first. Im not sending you a hundred bucks, I don't know you. Ill tell you what, im a man of my word, if you just want to do a cyber handshake we got ourselves a deal. My hands extended.

kgar311 04-29-2010 08:19 AM

And if this thing wins money will be in your paypal my first access to a comp.

Port Conway Lane 04-29-2010 08:30 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by kgar311 (Post 641212)
I think I would be more comfortable if you gave me the 10 first. Im not sending you a hundred bucks, I don't know you. Ill tell you what, im a man of my word, if you just want to do a cyber handshake we got ourselves a deal. My hands extended.

Ok against my better judgement I'll make the bet. Cyber handshake.

kgar311 04-29-2010 08:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Port Conway Lane (Post 641219)
Ok against my better judgement I'll make the bet. Cyber handshake.

Deal, hey and I may have fibbed about the money going in right on Sat night, I haven't used my paypal in a while and just checked it out, it says 3-5 business days to fund my account from my bank account so it may take a few days to go through. If you still want in let me know. If so PM me your email associated with the account and ill send you mine

Port Conway Lane 04-29-2010 08:37 AM

No problem. My checkcard should be an instant transfer. Wait until the race is run then we'll exchange.

ateamstupid 04-29-2010 09:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 641205)
he has to be as good as big brown was to win from post 20.

No he doesn't.

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch
if you look at his pps, he needs to be in 1st going into that first turn or he's done.

You can't really think it's that black and white.

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch
add to it that he has never raced on dirt.

That's been more of a positive angle than a negative one in this year's Derby preps.

slotdirt 04-29-2010 09:54 AM

I'm coming around to Sidney's Candy. Every year after 2007, I tell myself that I'm not going to get suckered into betting horses who prep on poly, but after the way Line of David ran in Arkansas, and even Lookin at Lucky in the Rebel, I dont' see any reason why Sidney's Candy can't win this thing. He's way more likely than 75 percent of the field.

tector 04-29-2010 09:58 AM

A sealed race track--IF that is what he gets--may suit him.

slotdirt 04-29-2010 10:04 AM

BTW, ateam - I think it might be time to resurrect this blog.

NTamm1215 04-29-2010 10:17 AM

I'm loving how many people are getting onto Sidney's Candy. I'll be here to eat a big pile of crow if he loses.

NT

ranger5830 04-29-2010 10:24 AM

If you like Sidney's Candy , I would recommend watching the 2nd race at Santa Anita on 12/30/09, Sidney missed the break, tried to rate behind the leaders, made a 3-wide menacing move on the turn and flattened out. If he can't rate successfully at 3-5 in a 6 furlong race it's hard to imagine him doing it successfully at 1 1/4 miles from the extreme outside post. He just hasn't shown a willingness to pass horses.

CSC 04-29-2010 10:30 AM

From a pedigree standpoint, there's enough precedent set from Candy Ride's offspring to guess he will like the dirt being he is also out of a Storm Cat mare. From a value, running style and 1st time dirt point of view, how low is low on him?

ateamstupid 04-29-2010 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 641259)
BTW, ateam - I think it might be time to resurrect this blog.

I just thought about it the other day but it's too late. Maybe after the Derby. :D

Port Conway Lane 04-29-2010 10:37 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by NTamm1215 (Post 641262)
I'm loving how many people are getting onto Sidney's Candy. I'll be here to eat a big pile of crow if he loses.

NT

Why would you eat crow if he loses ?


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