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slotdirt 04-21-2010 03:18 PM

I say this with all due respect, but this is the first time I've ever heard someone say that clipping heels is basically no big deal in the context of lost momentum.

NTamm1215 04-21-2010 03:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 637900)
I say this with all due respect, but this is the first time I've ever heard someone say that clipping heels is basically no big deal in the context of lost momentum.

Every time it happens it's different but the amount that Gomez had to compensate for the actual occurrence was minimal, he did a great job and the horse is athletic. The difference between his heel clipping in the Rebel and when he was shut off in the SA Derby is gigantic.

NT

Thunder Gulch 04-21-2010 03:24 PM

His loss of ground in the Rebel wasn't huge as you say, but it appeared he did have momentum and was unwinding to go by others when it happened. Actual loss maybe a length or two, but that's not the real story. Just my opinion.

the_fat_man 04-21-2010 03:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by slotdirt (Post 637900)
I say this with all due respect, but this is the first time I've ever heard someone say that clipping heels is basically no big deal in the context of lost momentum.

Here's what I suggest. Seriously. Get a track bike and head over to your local park or velodrome. Hook up with a peloton and position yourself behind and between a pack of cyclists. Note how much easier your trip is when you're drafting as opposed to when you're going without cover. Sooner or later you'll get cut off, be forced to 'check'. If you're behind/between, and it's during a 'break', you'll be surprised how it doesn't really matter, as you're:

1) still being carried along by the draft
2) able to make up whatever difference was lost easily, as those breaking before you have only a finite amount of energy and they've used it before you.

In fact, 'checking' is an ADVANTAGE in these cases.

If you're outside and not drafting, and you're dropped because you're forced to check, it's a lot harder to make up. Of course, it really depends on how intense the 'break' was. If they went too hard, you still have an advantage -- especially if the 'race' collapses and favors late runners.

If you're going to remark that cycling is not horse racing, I will point you to Mr Dominguez and how he rides them like track bikes.

P.S. The reason this isn't obvious is because of the BIAS on dirt tracks. DIRT goes against PHYSICS.

herkhorse 04-21-2010 08:06 PM

dirt goes against physics?

blackthroatedwind 04-21-2010 08:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637769)
Not surprised by Esken's condition.

Every since your clever prognostication from November 9, 2006, I always pay careful attention to your opinions on Derby contenders....


Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 88319)
Thorograph has their numbers posted for the entire card on Saturday. I encourage you to take a look at it.

One number jumped out. A Negative 2 by Street Sense in the juvenile even while being checked on the turn in the race.

I will go on record as saying this horse will not run a negative number in his entire 3 yr old year and very likely not again in his career. I am no fan of numbers like that this early. Mind you also that front wraps were added for this start as well. The ultimate squeeze the lemon scenario and I think he is finished. He is a bet against from here on out.


randallscott35 04-21-2010 08:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 637977)
Every since your clever prognostication from November 9, 2006, I always pay careful attention to your opinions on Derby contenders....

Nothing like going back 4 years for effect....I did choose Hard Spun in said Derby. I also said I was obviously dead wrong about Street Sense at the time as well. Some horses you get right, some you get wrong. When you finish in the Top 50 in the national tourney like I have you let me know Andy.

AeWingnut 04-21-2010 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch (Post 637885)
Never won when he didn't get a better trip than the winner...from the department of redundancy department.....
That Rebel was a great trip, well, after clipping heels with the horse in front and almost going down and all.

Don't Crush that Dwarf
Hand Me The Pliers

Scav 04-21-2010 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by blackthroatedwind (Post 637977)
Every since your clever prognostication from November 9, 2006, I always pay careful attention to your opinions on Derby contenders....

:eek:

Scav 04-21-2010 08:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637978)
Nothing like going back 4 years for effect....I did choose Hard Spun in said Derby. I also said I was obviously dead wrong about Street Sense at the time as well. Some horses you get right, some you get wrong. When you finish in the Top 50 in the national tourney like I have you let me know Andy.

OMG!

Top 50? You want a lollipop?

OMG!

Sightseek 04-21-2010 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 637981)
OMG!

Top 50? You want a lollipop?

OMG!

:D

Scav 04-21-2010 08:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sightseek (Post 637982)
:D

Seriously, I tend to take things way too far most of the time, but touting top 50 on something is absurd.

AeWingnut 04-21-2010 08:52 PM

I'll take you on

you just name the place





























teasing

ateamstupid 04-21-2010 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637978)
Nothing like going back 4 years for effect....I did choose Hard Spun in said Derby. I also said I was obviously dead wrong about Street Sense at the time as well. Some horses you get right, some you get wrong. When you finish in the Top 50 in the national tourney like I have you let me know Andy.

He hardly needs me to defend him, but seriously? You think your handicapping accomplishments > his? What channel can I catch you on again?

randallscott35 04-21-2010 08:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 637983)
Seriously, I tend to take things way too far most of the time, but touting top 50 on something is absurd.

Apparently you forget how one gets their....My winning total in NY is still the highest total ever in 20 contests in their history and I am still the youngest person to ever win one of their tournaments as well. But ok Scavs.

randallscott35 04-21-2010 08:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ateamstupid (Post 637985)
He hardly needs me to defend him, but seriously? You think your handicapping accomplishments > his? What channel can I catch you on again?

Its not about accomplishments at all in fact its about money. And you don't make money in this game routinely betting favorites. I took a stand on a horse 4 years ago and was wrong. If Andy had more of a life he wouldn't be digging up 4 year old posts. Says more about him than me but whatev.

Scav 04-21-2010 08:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637986)
Apparently you forget how one gets their....My winning total in NY is still the highest total ever in 20 contests in their history and I am still the youngest person to ever win one of their tournaments as well. But ok Scavs.

Ok, so you swallowed a horse shoe and **** gold, congrats on the moons aligned for a day.

randallscott35 04-21-2010 08:58 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scav (Post 637988)
Ok, so you swallowed a horse shoe and **** gold, congrats on the moons aligned for a day.

That must be it.

Scav 04-21-2010 09:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by randallscott35 (Post 637989)
That must be it.

It is it, when you get one of these let me know.


randallscott35 04-21-2010 09:01 PM

And as to the wrap issue, it is my fault for not paying attention to Nafzger/Wilkes horses who almost always wear wraps, therefore it is a non-issue. Quite different from trainers who rarely use them...As to the neg 2 at the time, still the highest fig for a 2 year old who came back to be a champ 3 yr old. He was surely the exception....


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