Good Luck. She is OK...but no way she wins the Oaks 7 weeks from now.

Just think if they ever breed her dam to a decent stallion.

I like your horse, but if they faced off tomorrow, going 9f at Gulf I would bet Streaker.

The Coach is going to make a spectacular upset in the Oaks or Derby! :D

I wonder who's betting Looking at Lucky @ 8-1 in the future pool 2. Noone with half a brain imo.

KENTUCKY DERBY FUTURES POOL 2

(No., Horse, Pool 1 odds, Pool 2 odds)

1. Aikenite, 54-1, 57-1
2. American Lion, 41-1, 38-1
3. Buddy s Saint, 10-1, 16-1
4. Caracortado, 3-2(f), 19-1
5. Connemara, 3-2(f), 46-1
6. Conveyance, 33-1, 28-1

7. D Funnybone, 3-2(f), 38-1
8. Dave in Dixie, 28-1, 22-1
9. Discreetly Mine, 3-2(f), 37-1
10. Dublin, 20-1, 10-1
11. Eskendereya, 22-1, 5-1
12. Jackson Bend, 27-1, 47-1

13. Lookin at Lucky, 8-1, 9-1
14. Nextdoorneighbor, 3-2(f), 99-1
15. Noble s Promise, 36-1, 26-1
16. Odysseus, 3-2(f), 25-1
17. Radiohead, 3-2(f), 19-1
18. Rule, 24-1, 20-1

19. Setusko, 3-2(f), 65-1
20. Sidney s Candy, 3-2(f), 33-1
21. Super Saver, 20-1, 24-1
22. Tempted to Tapit, 3-2(f), 63-1
23. Vale of York, 26-1, 42-1
24. Field (all others), 3-2, 3-1

(f) denotes Pool 1 field horse.

KENTUCKY OAKS FUTURES

(No., Horse, Odds)

1. All Due Respect, 30-1
2. Always a Princess, 27-1
3. Amen Hallelujah, 6-1
4. Beautician, 25-1
5. Bickersons, 63-1
6. Biofuel, 19-1

7. Blind Luck, 4-1
8. Christine Daae, 7-1
9. Cozi Rosie, 45-1
10. Crisp, 20-1
11. Decelerator, 44-1
12. Devil May Care, 21-1

13. Eve Giselle, 99-1
14. Evening Jewel, 37-1
15. Joanie s Catch, 55-1
16. Jody Slew, 29-1
17. Negligee, 19-1
18. Quiet Temper, 52-1

19. Sassy Image, 34-1
20. She Be Wild, 15-1
21. Streaker, 38-1
22. Switch, 61-1
23. Tidal Pool, 23-1
24. Field (all others), 7-1

Wouldn't the Ivarone quote be concerning for those thinking about playing the filly in the future pool because it indicates that they might not even be pointing her toward the Oaks? Your analysis of why the horse could get 9f seems solid, but if the connections don't share those thoughts she might not be a smart play here.

As for the filly's chances to be a good 2-turn horse, I actually don't think the pedigree is a complete negative for 8.5+. Overall it certainly seems geared toward one-turn, but the dam was a stakes winner going 9f.