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-   -   Ky Derby matchups (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=21515)

JJP 04-10-2008 07:43 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Thunder Gulch
Interesting that the future pool has BigBrown at 5/2 and Pyro at 5/1, while a sharp bookmaker has Pyro as a -125 favorite in the matchup.:rolleyes:
You don't have to win the race to win the matchup. The thinking is that if Big Brown starts to back up, he may back up in a hurry, whereas Pyro will be doing his best running late.

Dunbar 04-11-2008 05:00 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by JJP
You don't have to win the race to win the matchup. The thinking is that if Big Brown starts to back up, he may back up in a hurry, whereas Pyro will be doing his best running late.
That's what happens in pricing some matchups and it's an important point to remember. But in this case, TheGreek DOES like Pyro's chances to win better than Big Brown's. They are offering 4.65 to 1 on Big Brown but just 4.05 to 1 on Pyro.

--Dunbar


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