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-   -   3/15 (3yo): TB Derby; Rebel; Felipe; WinStar (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=20801)

Bigsmc 03-13-2008 02:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept
10th (5:45) Rebel S. (G3)

1 1/16 Miles | Open | 3 Year Olds Stakes | Purse: $300,000

1 Isabull Doocy T T 115 L
2 Sierra Sunset Emigh C A 119 L
3 Stone Bird Johnson J M 117 L
4 Sacred Journey Borel C H 117 L
5 Golden Yank Sterling L J Jr 119 L
6 He's Eze Quinonez L S 117 Blk-On L
7 King's Silver Son Bridgmohan S X 115 L
8 Anak Nakal Bravo J 119 L
9 Z Fortune Gomez G K 122 L


Tampa Bay Derby

1 Cigar Man
2 Gentleman James
3 War Pass
4 Make Me Zach
5 Dynamic Wayne
6 Big truck
7 Atoned

Nice to see 7 in.

I'm looking forward to the Dreaming of Anna/Lears Princess rematch in the Hillsborough.

opusone 03-13-2008 02:53 PM

Its good to see they found some challengers. The forecast looks good.
Phillies first then Ponies after is perfect Saturday.

TitanSooner 03-13-2008 02:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robfla
IMO...Georgie Boy would need a bus ticket to get the distance

he'll get 8 1/2

lemoncrush 03-13-2008 03:20 PM

wow...the fields for these 4 races seem pretty bland to me.

AeWingnut 03-13-2008 05:22 PM

ok, I never really cared how or why races get to be graded or listed but...

shouldn't purse money have something to do with it.

Tampa Bay Derby is a grade 3 ($300k)
while the San Felipe is a Grade 2 ($200k)
so I guess a Grade 1 is $100k ?
and money in Cali is not the same everywhere else

bare it all 03-13-2008 06:31 PM

I do like Z Fortune in the Rebel. He always seems on the cusp of doing something.

I almost hope someone decides to go breakneck after War Pass and test him a bit... isnt Make Me Zach a decently quick sprinter?

Danzig 03-13-2008 07:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by XIIPointStables
Hm. No entry of Signature Move? Is he headed to the DL? Any update?

I liked how he looked on the poly and thought I might get a decent price this weekend after his putrid outing in LA....

he was in there somewhere..i guess he was one of those taken out with the edit. hmmm.

The Indomitable DrugS 03-14-2008 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bare it all
I almost hope someone decides to go breakneck after War Pass and test him a bit... isnt Make Me Zach a decently quick sprinter?

On Steve's show today I made mention of how I think it might be a good spot for Zito to give War Pass an education - and rate him behind Make Me Zach.

The big obstacle that prevents the connections of War Pass from having that plan going into the race is the fact that War Pass is drawn inside of Make Me Zach.

That means that Make Me Zach actually has to cross and clear War Pass early on.

If you look at Make Me Zach's last race - he ran the same day over the same track as War Pass - the races basically about 1 hour apart. Make Me Zach was hard sent in a swiftly run six furlong sprint..where as War Pass rated kindly while free of pressure in a soft paced one-turn mile race.

I think that gives every indication that Make Me Zach will have the lead in the Tampa Derby if he breaks ok and is sent. Even if Zito and Cornilio aren't interested in giving War Pass a little education, I'm sure they want no part of getting into a big pace battle with a sprinter two races prior to the Derby.

Make Me Zach's improbable 25/1 blowout victory last time out was an eye-catching little race! His mother was 1-for-6 as a 2yo, but was 4-for-8 during her 3yo season, with improved figures. Also, Make Me Zach wasn't orginally nominated to the Tampa Derby, and they had to fork over $7,500 to supplament him into this race...a sign that he probably came back strong from his win.

Rose and Rivera teamed up to win with a 3yo at 100/1 odds last year one race after Invasor won the Donn at Gulfstream .. and the trainers father had Hal's Hope...who wired the Holy Bull at 40/1 and was another speed 3yo that came from nowhere.

I think if Make Me Zach is sent, can clear War Pass and relax, I look for him to be the one who finishes 2nd.

However, if War Pass breaks real sharp and/or isn't rated - Big Truck and Atoned will round out a microscopic trifecta.

Just a terrible betting race! - but it's still a race that will be fun to watch.

Bobby Fischer 03-14-2008 09:13 PM

when is the last time your boy Zach led 1st or 2nd call?

The Indomitable DrugS 03-14-2008 10:02 PM

He's far from my boy...or a horse I will be betting.

He opened a big lead and went wire-to-wire going 5.5 furlongs in his maiden win.

His only chance of hitting the board at 8.5 furlongs is if he makes the lead - so while he wants and needs the lead .... War Pass would be best served in the long term if he is rated off the lead once and shows what he can do against a soft group.

For horses like War Pass - that's what prep races like this are for. They aren't for getting into pace duels with sharp and cheap longshot sprinters.

Because War Pass drew a post position inside of Make Me Zach - this might all prove to be a moot point.

hoovesupsideyourhead 03-14-2008 10:06 PM

your dead to me..where is btw to show you all the way..............;)

NTamm1215 03-14-2008 10:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
On Steve's show today I made mention of how I think it might be a good spot for Zito to give War Pass an education - and rate him behind Make Me Zach.

The big obstacle that prevents the connections of War Pass from having that plan going into the race is the fact that War Pass is drawn inside of Make Me Zach.

That means that Make Me Zach actually has to cross and clear War Pass early on.

If you look at Make Me Zach's last race - he ran the same day over the same track as War Pass - the races basically about 1 hour apart. Make Me Zach was hard sent in a swiftly run six furlong sprint..where as War Pass rated kindly while free of pressure in a soft paced one-turn mile race.

I think that gives every indication that Make Me Zach will have the lead in the Tampa Derby if he breaks ok and is sent. Even if Zito and Cornilio aren't interested in giving War Pass a little education, I'm sure they want no part of getting into a big pace battle with a sprinter two races prior to the Derby.

Make Me Zach's improbable 25/1 blowout victory last time out was an eye-catching little race! His mother was 1-for-6 as a 2yo, but was 4-for-8 during her 3yo season, with improved figures. Also, Make Me Zach wasn't orginally nominated to the Tampa Derby, and they had to fork over $7,500 to supplament him into this race...a sign that he probably came back strong from his win.

Rose and Rivera teamed up to win with a 3yo at 100/1 odds last year one race after Invasor won the Donn at Gulfstream .. and the trainers father had Hal's Hope...who wired the Holy Bull at 40/1 and was another speed 3yo that came from nowhere.

I think if Make Me Zach is sent, can clear War Pass and relax, I look for him to be the one who finishes 2nd.

However, if War Pass breaks real sharp and/or isn't rated - Big Truck and Atoned will round out a microscopic trifecta.

Just a terrible betting race! - but it's still a race that will be fun to watch.

One important question in all of this and that is, does Zito think War Pass' chances are better in the Derby if he can rate? I've wondered about this and if he might try to give him a little education in one of his preps like you speak of.

NT

Linny 03-14-2008 10:50 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by hockey2315
I thought Barrier Reef was going to the TB Derby?

Minor injury per DRF earlier this week.

Bobby Fischer 03-14-2008 11:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Indomitable DrugS
He's far from my boy...or a horse I will be betting.

He opened a big lead and went wire-to-wire going 5.5 furlongs in his maiden win.

His only chance of hitting the board at 8.5 furlongs is if he makes the lead - so while he wants and needs the lead .... War Pass would be best served in the long term if he is rated off the lead once and shows what he can do against a soft group.

For horses like War Pass - that's what prep races like this are for. They aren't for getting into pace duels with sharp and cheap longshot sprinters.

Because War Pass drew a post position inside of Make Me Zach - this might all prove to be a moot point.

You could be right.

I meant Zach last had a 1st or 2nd call lead 7 races ago, last July in the slop.

At least it adds something interesting to the race.

2Hot4TV 03-15-2008 09:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robfla
IMO...Georgie Boy would need a bus ticket to get the distance

So you dont think he will finish the race?

He will finish the race and I like the fact that MC Baze will be in the saddle to put him in the right place to pick up a nice check in a weak race.

Southwest and Indian Sun might show alittle more today, but I don't see them winning.

It's Georgie Boy in this one.

justindew 03-15-2008 04:58 PM

I didn't see that coming.

ALostTexan 03-15-2008 04:58 PM

Hear that sound? The all too familiar sound of the bridge jumpers...

ALostTexan 03-15-2008 04:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
I didn't see that coming.

I don't think many people did...

Cajungator26 03-15-2008 05:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by justindew
I didn't see that coming.

I didn't see War Pass off the board, but I saw Big Truck winning. The Tampa surface is very quirky and Big Truck had a nice run over it already. :)

jms62 03-15-2008 06:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by robfla
IMO...Georgie Boy would need a bus ticket to get the distance

Love people who speak in absolutes when it comes to racing... Georgie Boy punched his ticket... To the Derby.


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