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I really like Nobiz Like Showbiz in the Dwyer.
He ran what was arguably his best race ever in the Holy Bull off of a similar long layoff. Although AGS's strong work on Friday seems to indicate that he might be ready on Wednesday, his performances in Tampa this winter/spring seems to indicate that he runs stronger 2nd off. Sightseeing and First Defence are simply a step below these two in my opinion. In the Wood Memorial, Nobiz zipped the third quarter while Sightseeing loped along off the pace. Despite that favorable scenario, he couldn't get by Nobiz in the stretch. His victory in the G2 Peter Pan on this track will probably mean he will be overbet. First Defence has won races against MSW and N1X competition when he had his own way on the front end of sprint races. I don't think he is in the same league as AGS or Nobiz. |
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I don't think U can compare this race and layoff for AGS to the one this march. Pletcher knew it was going to be a long year for this colt and wasn't going to have him primed for his 1st start of the year. I think Todd realizes this is a great spot to pick up the colt 1st graded stake before he runs into Curlin, R2R, and S.S. |
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I know U don't care who I lose my $$ on. I really like posters like U that when others are trying to have a legit convo. about a big race U are just looking for the opp. to make a smart ass post.:mad: |
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I'm giving legit reasons why he has a shot. Yes, I am a smart ass. Boo hoo. Here's another reason why I think Sightseeing has a shot... First Defence looks like he's being trained to steal the race. NoBiz seems like a horse who isn't comfortable if he doesn't have the lead before the far turn. He's not getting it if First Defence doesn't stumble out of the gate. They'll be battling for the lead and that will leave the stalkers Any Given Saturday and Sightseeing with a legitimate chance. Also Sightseeing improved dramatically May 31st work to his June 10th work and he's adding blinkers for the race. I'm thinking (and would like to know) blinkers were added for that June 10th work. Thank you. |
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Supposedly, they're removing the blinkers off of Nobiz.
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First Defence would win if Frankel wasn't going to scratch him. . . Which really annoys me. . .
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and yes, tagg took blinkers off nobiz a few weeks ago. probably made him too rank still. i will be pulling for sightseeing. as for commentator, how to know who will show up? he's so undependable. |
What is the deal with Frankel?
Is he a great trainer because he finds the best (softest?) spots for his horses? Or a weak trainer because he's too cautious. He seems to be doing this a ton lately. And don't get me wrong, I'm pissed he's not going to give First Defence a shot but it seems like it's a trend with this guy and not just a one-time thing. |
saint anddan scratched?? FIRST DEFENse *groan*:rolleyes:
Is there a link to see scratches for a day in advance? Would be very helpful. thanks |
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But, if Commentator is ready to run, the race will be for 2nd. I plan on using St. Anddan under Commentator if Frankel doesnt scratch out. |
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There should be rules against being able to do this.. |
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