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I liked the jab at polytrack. BTW, Eohippus inhabited the swamplands and forests in ancient times...58 million years ago to be exact. Nope, no polytrack. Geek mode...off. |
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It's really no different than the old Keeneland surface -- in that once you figure out what on earth is going on, the horses winning start to make a lot more sense. They may not be the "best" horses in every race, but there is an obvious edge to be had in handicapping Keeneland right now once you factor the surface into the handicapping, and it's been paying off really well over here at least. |
Oh, KRM, I don't disagree that they are capable of running at great speed and that the most recent descendents of the equine ancestors can run farther and faster (look at the feet!), just not that it's their primary function. If it were, I think they'd have a digestive system more similar to that of a cow or goat, who regurgitate their food later- they can literally eat and run, then bring it back up and actually chew it when they are in a safer location. Horses in the wild spend a huge amount of their time browsing (5 to 10 hours a day, I believe), which is hard to do when running at top speed ("What? Was that food? I don't know; musta missed it."). Running is an adaptation to predation; it's not the natural state when not in danger. The fact that they can tie up after great exertion to me indicates they're not meant to spend long periods of time at top speed. A predator is not going to pursue a prey animal for long-- heck, cheetahs are as fast as they come and they can't maintain the speed for long because they overheat.
I'm not saying they haven't evolved to be fast runners, just that their primary gait is walking and their primary behavior grazing. (And always happy to argue this with a fellow evolutionist. :) ) |
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Point taken. One of the best advances has been cameras tracking the horses and riders ALL the way around. Prior to that, plenty of nasty stuff went on between riders during the race. Another great advance is the tote...those black boards really were slow. |
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jackofhearts
Caveat being I haven't read the other posts in this thread.
So excuse me if I am repititous, and I will catch up. Valuable article from Andy B yesterday, discussing the handicapping adjustments necessary to play the Keeneland races on the new polytrack surface. The old speed bias is seriously dead, now replaced by a closer trend. Riders who hustled their mounts through quick early pace have been finishing far up the track. The early fractions are now much slower(with final 1/4s somewhat quicker) as the pinheads adjust to how the new surface is playing. Turf runners who have never had main track success before are winning or doing well on the new surface(check the Spinster result and yesterday's feature). Many people have been quick to assume that this will also drastically change the breeding industry away from producing pedigrees emphasizing precocious runners and early pace types. This could be true, however I am not as anxious to jump on that bandwagon. Class and talent will still be just that. I expect the biggest change to be in how trainers bring along and prepare their runners. They might not be so anxious to develop that quick speed that wins early on with 2yos, favoring an easier, slower development back towards stamina. Also the way races are run and ridden will change quickly(already) and drastically more towards a Euro rider approach. Stretch runs may be much more competitive and exciting, with the smarter jocks having a greater advantage. Hope y'all get a chance to read the article and a few of the other message board discussions about the changes from all perspectives. I see the game changing big-time brothers, and all of you out west had better get prepared now, since this will probably affect you the most. Other thoughts or opinions? |
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I think that Hollywood is a short meet and the effects of Poly out west won't truly be felt until the Hoolywood summer meet opens which leads into Del Mar which will have poly by then. I also see owners out there with well bred or expensive horses who don't run a lick on it not having a hell of a lot of patience. This will lead to owners shipping horses of said horses back East for dirt racing. I think the biggest impact it will have out there will be that several big name trainers may open stables or increase their presence in the East so that if and when this happens, that they won't lose horses completely to other trainers in the East. They will simply tell the owner that they are gonna ship the horse to their East Coast division. I make this a very short price to happen Jackofhearts. |
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The specialists so far look to be cheaper horses, not stakes horses. Its usually too expensive to change venues with a cheapskate, costs more to ship that far then its worth. |
Where's the hand over my eyes, elbows on the table and shaking my head icon?
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Someone has to run for that big graded west coast $$$ oracle. I'm not so sure these L.A. people will ship out quickly. Might as well adapt to what is easily available. |
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"Several jockeys said Wednesday they are in the midst of learning the best way to ride on this surface, and trainers are adjusting, too." |
Finally many prayers have been answered for a safe surface. And there is no doubt further improvements will be made.
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Fantastic ! The track looks in great shape allready. These new surfaces are keeping my spirits up.
Polytrack fans, we can rejoice on this dawn of a new day. We can huddle with each other and the horses and remember all the fallen ones that came before. Praise God and we must go forward. |
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