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I don't get the insult, but OK..and I don't have an IPAD |
one of the more comfortable bet against propositions, is with any horse doing something he/she has never done, with fast turn around for a young fiery horse, at different track, and do we know what will happen and what kind of horse he is if he doesn't have lead and needs to pass other talented colts at top of stretch? all this for between 4/5-9/5 odds enjoy...
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Good post. Much not to like about Always Dreaming and his dream run in the derby |
Should read.....
Always Dreaming likely to defeat 9 in Preakness |
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4/ w 5-1-3/ w 5-1-2-3-9 trifecta
Winna Winna Chicken Dinna! |
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After reading BTW's comments I went back to watch the replays again, and I'd have to agree with him that in the standard overhead view, the start doesn't look that bad. However, it was the head-on view that I remember showing CE being bumped sideways extremely hard, almost off his feet. I don't totally trust my memory here, but I couldn't find a link that shows anything more than the standard network race replay, without the head-ons. |
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Head on replay of Always Dreaming winning the 2017 Kentucky Derby |
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Those hosses who ran 1-2 got the best trips for sure
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Hence was the only horse losing ground to the field in the 1st 1/16 of a mile which can be seen on the overhead view ( yellow cap with black silks ) . Hence actually got a good start despite the chart caller's " in tight at the break " comment. Once he checked out of his position Geroux yanked him toward the rail right outside of Lookin at Lee. He was further outrun by LAL throughout the remainder of the race so it's difficult for me to make a case for him.Though given the Preakness post positions it wouldn't surprise if he gets first run on LAL for the underneath slots. |
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It still looks like a violent hit on Classic Empire and a stumble to me, but I can see how others might view it differently. Also interesting is the view at about 1:10, where all but the front 4 have a solid coating of mud on their heads and front quarters. That can't have been pleasant. By the end of the race, there was one black horse and 18 mud-caked brownish greys. |
Not sure if I've seen this anywhere or not, but it looked to me that Classic Empire's trouble at the start was some of his own doing, no?
The horses to his outside did him no favors, but it seemed to me that CE broke and his first few steps out of the gate were to his right. That said, shouldn't Leparoux have known that the horses in the auxiliary gate were to be coming inward for position sake?? |
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This race has merry-go-round written all over it. AD + CMM with CE really close as long as Julien doesn't have his head up his @ss, and they just cruise around the track and it's an even more boring race than the Derby.
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