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-   -   '17 CROWN TRAIL THREAD: Always Dreaming; Cloud Computing; Tapwrit (http://www.derbytrail.com/forums/showthread.php?t=61911)

richard burch 05-03-2017 04:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Indian Charlie (Post 1090229)
You do realize that with twenty entries almost every year the one post should have one or two wins in thirty one years?

I do realize that!. So go ahead and bet / lose your money on those horses. I will look elsewhere.

Looking at these horses, when the favorite is listed at 4-1 there really is no fav in this race. Really wide open and should pay well in exotics. I'm thinking of just boxing some low cost supers and see what happens and just enjoy the race.

I am fortunate enough to have at least one more Derby to watch with my parents who are still married and both 91 years old...and it's Moms birthday too and she always says how beautiful they are in the post parade.

Hoblin 05-03-2017 06:22 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kitan (Post 1090253)
DRF entries has an interesting lineup for the race...


That's the morning line for the Derby Sire future wager offered Thanksgiving weekend. The best values there are #2 Bodemeister, which will pay $63.60 on Always Dreaming, #4 Curlin ($31.20 on Irish War Cry), and #24 All Others ($9.80 on eleven horses in the field)

afraidofthedark 05-03-2017 07:11 PM

Not one syllable about one I love at a juicy price...Practical Joke. 3rd off layoff all solid races. Hate he didn't pass Irap but that's my main blemish. He drew 19 which lets me red board I'll Have Another. Had several on him. Best of luck to all! Steve Byk, you are the best. LOVE this site.

Hoblin 05-03-2017 09:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by afraidofthedark (Post 1090280)
Not one syllable about one I love at a juicy price...Practical Joke. 3rd off layoff all solid races. Hate he didn't pass Irap but that's my main blemish. He drew 19 which lets me red board I'll Have Another. Had several on him. Best of luck to all! Steve Byk, you are the best. LOVE this site.

Nice! Loving a horse that the betting public ignores is the best. Good luck! I showed the entry list to three friends who know nothing about racing, and they picked Thunder Snow, Practical Joke, and Fast And Accurate based upon name alone. So there is a chance that PJ will take some action from the $2 infield bettors, but I'm pretty sure you'll still get more than 20-1.

tanner12oz 05-03-2017 09:58 PM

I'm throwing a couple clams on practical joke..seems like could be a bit wise guy

Kasept 05-07-2017 11:03 AM

5/20: Preakness Possibles/Probables

Always Dreaming (Pletcher)
Classic Empire (Casse)*
Lookin At Lee (Asmussen)*
Gunnevara (Sano)*
Royal Mo (Shirreffs)
Three Rules (Pinchin)
Senior Investment (McPeek)
Cloud Computing (Brown)
Conquest Mo Money (Hernandez)
Malagacy (Pletcher)

RHT2004 05-07-2017 06:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1090720)
5/20: Preakness Possibles/Probables

Always Dreaming (Pletcher)
Classic Empire (Casse)*
Lookin At Lee (Asmussen)*
Gunnevara (Sano)*
Royal Mo (Shirreffs)
Three Rules (Pinchin)
Senior Investment (McPeek)
Cloud Computing (Brown)
Conquest Mo Money (Hernandez)
Malagacy (Pletcher)


Strong pace

10 pnt move up 05-07-2017 06:16 PM

Just feels like a couple years ago, you have a pretty nice horse in the Derby winner and not much else, in fact the crop seems even weaker than AP triple crown year. Its hard to find much to nag about with the Derby winner and he just doesnt have to beat much the next two races.

Quick turnaround is the issue given the barn never does that much.

richard burch 05-07-2017 09:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kasept (Post 1090720)
5/20: Preakness Possibles/Probables

Always Dreaming (Pletcher)
Classic Empire (Casse)*
Lookin At Lee (Asmussen)*
Gunnevara (Sano)*
Royal Mo (Shirreffs)
Three Rules (Pinchin)
Senior Investment (McPeek)
Cloud Computing (Brown)
Conquest Mo Money (Hernandez)
Malagacy (Pletcher)

Pletcher running Malagacy against the derby winner is dangerous. Todd has a big pair of...

richard burch 05-07-2017 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 1090759)
Just feels like a couple years ago, you have a pretty nice horse in the Derby winner and not much else, in fact the crop seems even weaker than AP triple crown year. Its hard to find much to nag about with the Derby winner and he just doesnt have to beat much the next two races.

Quick turnaround is the issue given the barn never does that much.

Already we are dismissing the horses? I think these are better than what AP faced.

Malagacy?Gunnevara? Classic Empire? Are those are weak horses? No way.

10 pnt move up 05-07-2017 11:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richard burch (Post 1090779)
Already we are dismissing the horses? I think these are better than what AP faced.

Malagacy?Gunnevara? Classic Empire? Are those are weak horses? No way.

I think those horses suck in context, really, I do. Classic Empire is the only one with talent but obviously cant put it all together.

Dunbar 05-08-2017 06:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 1090785)
I think those horses suck in context, really, I do. Classic Empire is the only one with talent but obviously cant put it all together.

I tend to agree. There was so much inconsistency in the preps. That said, the combination of the major trouble that many horses encountered in the race and the difficulty of running with mud spraying toward your eyes leaves room for some of this group to come back and look much better in subsequent tries.

pweizer 05-08-2017 09:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dunbar (Post 1090789)
I tend to agree. There was so much inconsistency in the preps. That said, the combination of the major trouble that many horses encountered in the race and the difficulty of running with mud spraying toward your eyes leaves room for some of this group to come back and look much better in subsequent tries.

Other than Classic Empire at the start, what major trouble did horses have in this race? I really didn't see too many bad trips and would love some insight on things I may have missed.

Paul

Kasept 05-08-2017 09:58 AM

@Steve_Byk No @PreaknessStakes for Malagacy per Todd Pletcher; Master Plan returns to Belmont this morning for Peter Pan/@BelmontStakes @TheNYRA..

Kasept 05-08-2017 11:48 AM

5/20/17 - Preakness Stakes

Always Dreaming (Pletcher/Velazquez)
Classic Empire (Casse/Leparoux)*
Hence (Asmussen/Geroux)
Lookin At Lee (Asmussen/Lanerie)
Gunnevara (Sano/M. Smith)
Royal Mo (Shirreffs/Stevens)
Senior Investment (McPeek/Hill)
Cloud Computing (Brown/Castellano)
Conquest Mo Money (Hernandez/Carreno)
Multiplier (Walsh/Graham)

pmayjr 05-08-2017 05:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by 10 pnt move up (Post 1090759)
Just feels like a couple years ago, you have a pretty nice horse in the Derby winner and not much else, in fact the crop seems even weaker than AP triple crown year. Its hard to find much to nag about with the Derby winner and he just doesnt have to beat much the next two races.

Quick turnaround is the issue given the barn never does that much.

I think it's too early to tell for 1 reason- the mud.

Probably 3/4 of the trainers will say "my horse hated the mud" and will try again in the Belmont. I think a lot legitimately believe that.

If/when Always Dreaming smokes them on a dry track, then I'll agree

RHT2004 05-08-2017 06:36 PM

Cloud Computing feels like a very likely winner of the Preakness.

knickslions2 05-08-2017 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1090814)
Cloud Computing feels like a very likely winner of the Preakness.

Besides that Andy likes him why? There are others that look better.

RHT2004 05-08-2017 07:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by knickslions2 (Post 1090815)
Besides that Andy likes him why? There are others that look better.

He's been high on the horse, but who knows who he likes in this race. Why does it matter?
I want a new face, who else is there unless you want to take 4-5 on the Derby winner? I dont and I've never been a Classic Empire fan and he's obviously not a new shooter.
Who are the others that look better? I see no one. Its Always Dreaming or Cloud Computing. No one else wins this race

knickslions2 05-08-2017 07:34 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by RHT2004 (Post 1090816)
He's been high on the horse, but who knows who he likes in this race. Why does it matter?
I want a new face, who else is there unless you want to take 4-5 on the Derby winner? I dont and I've never been a Classic Empire fan and he's obviously not a new shooter.
Who are the others that look better? I see no one. Its Always Dreaming or Cloud Computing. No one else wins this rsce.

There's quite a few that can win this is always dreaming isn't ready including empire. This group doesn't have much separation my friend


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