3/25: Fair Grounds (4th-12th); Turfway (7th-12th)

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FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: LA-Costa Rising, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Bertie’s Galaxy 6-1 DQ’d to 6th
Next Best: #1 Yankee Seven 9-2 5th
Exotics Use: #9 Bron and Brow 9-5 3rd via DQ
Super Add: #8 Big Chopper 7-2 WON ($9.20)

5th: OC/N1X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Merlazza 9-5 WON ($3.40)
Next Best: #5 Bru Na Boinne 9-2 3rd
Best Vlue: #1 Miss Tappy Tone 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #9 Huntleigh 5-1 5th

6th: MSW, 3yo-F, 6f (P3, DD)

Half sister to Nashville (Master Som) at 8-1? OK. I’ll bite..

Best Value: #2 Master Som 8-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Twin Mischief 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Perfect Wish 10-1 3rd
Super Add: #3 Golden View 8-1 12th

7th: MSW, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #12 Corsini 8-1 4th
Next Best: #8 Dialherup 9-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Super Luxe 8-1 5th
Super Add: #3 Raggity Sand 8-1 2nd

8th: Tom Benson Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 She Can’t Sing 9-2 4th
Next Best: #6 Didia 3-1 WON ($9.40)
Exotics Use: #3 Trail Ridge Road 12-1 8th
Super Add: #9 New Year’s Eve 5-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

4: 1-4 (A), 8-9 (B), – (C)
5: 6 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
6: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
7: 2-8-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 6-8 (A), 3 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x1x4x3x3 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x1x2x3x2 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backup: 2x2x2x3x2 = 48 x .50 = $24

P5 Grid:

5: 6 (A), 5 (B), 1-9 (C)
6: 2-5 (A), 1-3 (B), – (C)
7: 2-8-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x3x3 = 72 x .50 = $36
All A’s: 1x2x3x3 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

9th: New Orleans Classic (G2), 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Mr. Wireless 8-1 3rd
Next Best: #8 Pioneer of Medina 9-2 6th
Exotics Use: #2 Art Collector 8-5 2nd
Super Add: #3 West Will Power 2-1 WON ($7.20)

$0.50 Bayou/Bluegrass P5 Grid:

FG 9: 7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
TP 11: 1-2-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
FG 11: 1-3 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
TP 12: 1-10 (A), – (B), – (C)
FG 12: 2 (A), – (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x4x4x2x1 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x4x2x2x1 = 32 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x4x2x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32 (6-11 in FG 12th)

10th: Muniz Memorial (G2), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

If Two Emmys doesn’t do his thing, it opens it up to the next few contenders..

Most Likely: #6 Two Emmys Late SCR
Best Value: #3 Gentle Soul 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #1 Atone 5-2 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Another Mystery 6-1 4th
Super Add: #5 Spooky Channel 9-2 WON ($9.20)

11th: Fair Grounds Oaks (G2), 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

Hard to believe a 5 horse field could be mysterious, but as James Scully noted Friday on ATR, who do you totally believe in among these?

Most Likely: #3 Pretty Mischievous 8-5 2nd
Best Value: #1 Southlawn 8-1 WON ($17.40)
Next Best: #5 Hoosier Philly 2-1 4th

12th: Louisiana Derby (G2), 3yo, 9.5f (P4, P3, DD)

If it’s not Instant Coffee here, and he comes in as the clear horse to beat and most likely winner, then it could be almost anyone. Think you need to lean on him for the multis..

Most Likely: #2 Instant Coffee 2-1 6th
Best Value: #11 Jace’s Road 12-1 3rd
Next Best: #6 Kingsbarns 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #7 Cagliostro 12-1 8th

P5 Grid:

8: 6-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 7-8 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
10: 1-3-6 (A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
11: 1-3 (A), 4-5 (B), – (C)
12: 2 (A), – (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x4x1 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A’s: 2x2x3x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $16
Backup: 2x2x3x2x2 = 48 x .50 = $24 (6-11 in 12th)

 

TURFWAY PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Animal Kingdom, 3yo, 5f (Single 6, P3, DD))

Best Value: #6 Moonstrike 12-1 4th
Next Best: #7 New York Thunder Late SCR
Exotics Use: #4 Eye Witness 2-1 WON ($3.42)
Super Add: #3 Olazabel 7-2 2nd

8th: Rushaway, 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)

The Jeff Ruby consolation purse and it’s wildly wide open..

Best Value: #5 Quadra Island 10-1 8th
Next Best: #12 Moon Landing 4-1 9th
Exotics Use: #4 Santorini 3-1 3rd
Super Add: #7 Ocean Pointe 30-1 2nd

9th: Latonia, F&M-4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Well matched set of distaffers..

Best Value: #8 Kate’s Kingdom 5-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Idiomatic 3-1 WON ($7.06)
Exotics Use: #4 Il Malocchio 9-2 4th
Super Add: #11 Bellamore 4-1 3rd

10th: KY Cup Classic, 4+, 9f (P4, P3, DD)

Deep, fascinating group with referendums necessary on first time synthetic horses like Santin, Abaan and Ready to Perform. As stressed on ATR Friday, Verstappen is very live for Walsh if drawing in. Like the first 2 legs of this P5, a hyper competitive heat..

Best Value: #13 Verstappen 15-1 2nd
Next Best: #5 Wolfie’s Dynaghost 6-1 WON ($7.08)
Exotics Use: #10 King Cause 7-2 3rd
Super Add: #8 Ocean Atlantique 6-1 10th

11th: Bourbonette Oaks, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD, Hi-5)

Race goes through streaking Botanical, but Renegade Rebel and Flashy Gem could spar on the front end and one or the other may shake loose. Not sure what to make of 1st N.A. Bolivie who has been in competing in the French provinces (as they say), but presence of Irad certainly an endorsement..

Most Likely: #5 Botanical 2-1 WON ($4.06)
Best Value: #1 Renegade Rebel 6-1 8th
Next Best: #8 Flashy Gem 4-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #2 Bolivie 5-1 9th

12th: Jeff Ruby Steaks (G3), 3yo, 9f (DD, Hi-5)

Would love to make a case for a price here, but Bolt d’Oro (Favored #1 Major Dude) is 10/31 with his synthetic runners and Irad should get an ideal inside/out, stalk and go trip. Trust Rivelli’s plan with Two Phils (7-2) as well and Sano brings Battaglia winner Congruent back to Florence Y’all..

Most Likely: #1 Major Dude 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #10 Two Phils 7-2 WON ($7.64)
Exotics Use: #8 Congruent 5-1 6th
Super Add: #4 Funtastic Again 6-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

8: 4-5-12 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 5-8 (A), 4 (B), – (C)
10: 5-10-13 (A), 8-9 (B), – (C)
11: 1-5 (A), – (B), 8 (C)
12: 1-10 (A), – (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x5x2x2 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 3x2x3x2x2 = 72 x .50 = $36
Backup: 3x2x3x1x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

9: 4-5-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
10: 5-10-13 (A), 8-9 (B), – (C)
11: 1-5 (A), 2-8 (B), – (C)
12: 1-10 (A), – (B), 4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x5x4x2 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Backup: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18 (4-8 in 12th)

$0.50 Pick 4 (3,5,7/4,5,6,7,11/3,5/10) Paid $73.50 (A-A-A-A)

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