2/13: Fair Grounds (7th-13th)

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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FAIR GROUNDS

POST-SCRATCHES

7th: Col. Power, 4+, 5.5f-OFF/TURF (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #3 Just Might 9-2 WON ($7.40)
Next Best: #4 Extravagant Kid 5-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Manny Wah 9-2 4th
Super Add: #2 Bango 12-1 5th

8th: OC/N1X, 3yo, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Strong group auditioning for LA Derby slot including Asmussen’s Defeater who considered the Risen Star but runs here in 2nd start. Turfy Risk Manager gets chance on main track and can impact if dirt a fit. With 5 stretchout entrants involved, pace has to be honest at the least..

Most Likely: #8 Gagetown 9-2 3rd
Next Best: #10 Big Lake 7-2 WON ($8.80)
Best Value: #11 Regular Guy 12-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Defeater 6-1 2nd

9th: Big Al Memorial, F&M-4+, 8.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #7 Dalika 7-2 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #9 Secret Message 5-2 5th
Best Value: #3 Pass the Plate 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Room to Finish 8-1 8th

10th: Mineshaft (G3), 4+, 8.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Maxfield 4-5 WON ($3.20)
Best Value: #5 Dinar 15-1 6th
Next Best: #1 Enforceable 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #2 Wells Bayou 6-1 SCR

P4 Grid:

7: 1-3-4 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 8-10 (A), 4-11 (B), – (C)
9: 3-7-9 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
10: 4 (A), – (B), 1-2/SCR-5 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x5x1 = 60 x .50 = $30
All A’s: 3x2x3x1 = 18 x .50 = $9
Backup: 3x2x2x2 = 54 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (3/10/7/2,4) Paid $76.55 (A-A-A-A)

11th: Fair Grounds (G3), 4+, 9f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Factor This 3-1 5th
Best Value: #11 Spectacular Gem 8-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Dontblamerocket 6-1 10th
Exotics Use: #2 Set Piece 10-1 4th

12th: Rachel Alexandra (G2), 3yo-F, 8.5f (DD)

Not a lot of pace here, so expect aggressive Geroux to be forward with fresh Travel Column..

Best Value: #6 Zoom Up 6-1 7th
Next Best: #8 Travel Column 2-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #1 Clairiere 5-2 WON ($6.60)
Super Add: #2 Souper Sensational 8-1 6th

13th: Risen Star (G2), 3yo, 9f

Prices reflect revised ML. I don’t think Senor Buscador is getting beat any time soon..

Best Value: #5 SENOR BUSCADOR 9-2 5th
Next Best: #6 Midnight Bourbon 3-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #11 Mandoulin 5-2 WON ($6.20)
Super Add: #1 Starrininmtydreams 12-1

P5 Grid:

9: 3-7-9 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)
10: 4 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
11: 2-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 6-8 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
13: 5 (A), – (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x1x4x4x1 = 80 x .50 = $40
All A’s: 3x1x4x2x1 = 24 x .50 = $12
Backups: $24 (1-5) + $24 (6-11)

P4 Grid:

10: 4 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
11: 2-7-8-11 (A), – (B), – (C)
12: 6-8 (A), 1-2 (B), – (C)
13: 5 (A), – (B), 6-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x4x4x1 = $16
All A’s: 1x4x2x1 = $8
Backups: $8 (1-5) + $8 (6-11)

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