7/19: Saratoga (Day 4; Lake Placid)

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: NY-OC/N2X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dowse’s Beach 9-5 7th
Best Value: #8 Bustin Shout 12-1 WON ($14.40)
Next Best: #3 Dr. Shane 2-1 5th
Exotics Use: #5 Royal Asset 10-1 2nd

2nd: CLM, 3+, 6.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 Hardcore Folklore 6-1 7th
Next Best: #2 Lazarus Project 5-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Deep Sea 7-5 WON ($4.70)
Super Add: #3 Vicar’s Legend 8-1 5th

3rd: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-Inner Turf (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 Dovina 6-5 2nd
Best Value: #3 Halo City 8-1 4th
Next Best: #2 Witch Moon 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 In Front 2-1 WON ($7.20)

4th: CLM/N3L, 2yo, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Twelfth Labour 5-2 3rd
Next Best: #5 Releasethethunder 2-1 WON ($4.20)

5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 5.5f-T (Empire 6, DD)

Rooting here for Steve Crist (and partners) to get first win as an owner (Thin White Duke)..

Best Value: #1e Generazio Entry 9-2 WON ($12.20)
Next Best: #4 Thin White Duke 3-1 2nd
Exotics Use: #8 Competitive Hero 7-2 5th
Super Add: #5 Data Deal 12-1 4th

P5 Grid:

1: 1-3-8(A), 5-7 (B), – (C)
2: 2-7 (A), 5(B), – (C)
3: 1 (A), – (B), 2-3-4(C)
4: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-4-8 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x3x1x2x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x1x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

2: 2-5-7 (A), – (B), – (C)
3: 1-3 (A), 2-4(B), – (C)
4: 5-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1-4-8 (A), 2-5 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x2x5 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 3x2x2x3 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (5,6/4/3,5/1) Paid $84.25

6th: CLM, 3+, 8.5f-Inner Turf (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Kroy 7-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Space Mountain Gate SCR
Next Best: #5 Financial System 7-2 WON ($5.90)
Exotics Use: #7 Sentry 3-1 2nd

7th: MSW, 2yo-F, 5.5f (P4, P3, DD)

Very little to grab on to.. Deep tix can consider #1 Iaintfraidanoghost (who should be disregarded on name alone), #6 Peachy Queen & #9 Lucifers Lair..

Best Value: #2 Stone Town 12-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 Caldee 6-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Dressy 10-1 9th
Super Add: #10 Our Flash Drive 10-1 7th

8th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 My Sassy Sarah 8-5 WON ($5.90)
Best Value: #3 Winifred J 10-1 6th
Next Best: #2 Saratoga Love 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Light in the Sky 8-5 2nd

9th: 37th Lake Placid, 3yo-F, 9f-Inner Turf (DD)

Wildly well-matched group and though overused and trite, a race any of the 8 can win. Used this in the Beat Byk NHC Contest(Please join in!) and thought 6-1 Blame Debbie offered value out of excellent try off pandemic break..

Best Value: #2 Blame Debbie 6-1 6th
Next Best: #3 Lashara 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #4 Queens Embrace 6-1 3rd
Super Add: #5 Key Biscayne 15-1 4th

10th: CLM, 3+, 9f

Most Likely: #5 Shadow Rider 5-1 6th
Next Best: #7 Malibu Pro 5-2 2nd
Best Value: #4 Scarf It Down 8-1 7th
Exotics Use: #8 Mills 8-1 3rd

P5 Grid:

6: 9 (A), 1/SCR5(B), – (C)
7: 2-4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-4(A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 2-3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
10: 5-7 (A), – (B), 2-4-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x2x5x2 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 1x3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

P4 Grid:

7: 2-4-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-4(A), – (B), 2-5 (C)
9: 2-3-4 (A), 1-5 (B), 6-7-8 (C)
10: 5-7 (A), 2-4-8 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x2x5x5 = 150x .50 = $75
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

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