6/6: Belmont Park (Empire 6 Force; X-C P5)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
BELMONT PARK
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)
Seanow retains Carmouche and WILL get the lead. There are others interested in the front end, but someone needs to engage them. Fun race with several prices in with real chance including St. Lewis’ War Tocsin who took step forward at 4 before the enforced break..
Most Likely: #6 Binkster 4-1
Best Value: #4 War Tocsin 15-1
Next Best: #1 Syndergaard 5-2
Exotics Use: #10 Kosciuszko 15-1
6th: Ft. Marcy (G2), 4+, 9f-Inner (Empire P6, P3, DD)
Empire 6 force out starts here with a somewhat paceless affair. First time NA Flop Shot has shown ability to attend paces and may be a decent number..
Best Value: #4 Flop Shot 6-1
Next Best: #6 Synchrony 4-1
Exotics Use: #5 Instilled Regard 7-2
Super Add: #2 Gucci Factor 6-1
7th: Westchester (G3), 4+, 8.5f (X-C P5, P5, G/S, P3, DD)
Payne’s race before the break was terrific and a repeat of that makes him a factor here. Code of Honor kicks off his 4yo campaign and will get a pace to chase. Endorsed Oaklawn win was excellent and you can project a classic Rosario inside/outside rally for him..
Best Value: #4 Payne 8-1
Next Best: #9 Code of Honor 6-5
Exotics Use: #1 Endorsed 6-1
Super Add: #2 Monongahela 4-1
8th: Intercontinental (G3), F&M-4+, 7f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Feels like a good spot for Newspaperofrecord to relaunch her career. She wouldn’t be the first filly to recapture form after being outstanding at 2 and struggling at 3. See Storm Flag Flying as an example. Paul Pompa’s Regal Glory (5-1) may fly under the radar here..
Most Likely: #5 Newspaperofrecord 3-1
Next Best: #7 Regal Glory 5-1
Best Value: #3 Eyeinthesky 20-1
Exotics Use: #12 Significant Form 5-2
CHURCHILL 9th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #5 High Crime 7-2
Best Value: #4 Ace Destroyer 10-1
Next Best: #3 Ikeisgreat 5-1
Exotics Use: #2 My Man Flintstone 8-1
9th: Carter H. (G1), 3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Vekoma, Performer SCR’d& Firenze Fire share old school ‘best last race Beyers’ (102’s) that earmark them as the top players. Vekoma’s 4yo debut (7f Sir Shakelton) was stunning at GP and anything in that realm will impact this in a big way. The Marty McGee ‘open air outside box where the air is fresh and clear’ works to his advantage as well and he returns to the site of his MDN win too. Mind Control is 4 for 6 at seven-eighths and rarely misfires. Firenze 4/3-1-0 at less than a mile at BEL. Another step forward from Network Effect makes him a contender..
Most Likely: #10 Mind Control 4-1
Next Best: #11 Vekoma 7-2
Exotics Use: #1 Firenze Fire 7-2
Super Add: #5 Network Effect 8-1
CHURCHILL 10th: Dogwood (G3), 3yo-F, 7f (DD)
Most Likely: #8 Edgeway 3-1
Best Value: #4 Ain’t No Elmers 5-1
Next Best: #2 Four Graces 5-2
Exotics Use: #5 Magic Dance 7-2
CROSS COUNTRY P5 Grid:
BEL 7: 1-4-9 (A), – (B), – (C)
BEL 8: 5 (A), 7 (B), 3-12 (C)
CD 9: 3-4-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
BEL 9: 10-11 (A), 1-5 (B), – (C)
CD 10: 4-8 (A), – (B), 2 (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x2x3x4x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x1x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
10th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6.5f (DD)
Best Value: #12 Financialstability 5-1
Next Best: #4 Tale of the Union 8-5
Exotics Use: #6 Quickflash 6-1
Super Add: #9 The Last Ace 8-1
11th: MSW, 3+, 1m-T
Best Value: #3 Mr Jaggers 5-1
Next Best: #6 Lonesome Fugitive 5-2
Exotics Use: #10 Red Storm Risen 15-1
Super Add: #7 Voodoo Zip 3-1
EMPIRE P6 FORCE OUT:
6: 4-5-6
7: 1-4-9
8: 3-5-7-12
9: 1-10-11
10: 4-12
11: 3-6
.20 PLAY: 3x3x4x3x2x2 = 432 x .20 = $86.40
P5 Grid:
7: 4-9 (A), 1 (B), – (C)
8: 5-7 (A), 3-12 (B), – (C)
9: 10-11 (A), 1 (B), 5 (C)
10: 4-12 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), – (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 3x4x3x2x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x2x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16
P4 Grid:
8: 5-7 (A), 3-12 (B), – (C)
9: 1-10-11 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
10: 4-6-12 (A), – (B), 9 (C)
11: 3-6 (A), 7-10 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x3x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 2x3x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18
Good luck!
Steve