2/29: Aqueduct ($123.7k P5 C/O)
By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized |
AQUEDUCT
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: NY-MSW, 2yo, 1m (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #8 Ringgood 6-1 5th
Next Best: #9 Hellbender 7-5 WON ($4.00)
Best Value: #3 Stash My Money 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #5 Too Early 5-1 2nd
6th: NY-ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 1m (P4, P3, DD)
Our hard-trying Carlisle Belle makes her 12th start of the year here and has been instrumental in making 2019 Dee Tee’s best year in wins and earnings (36/4-4-4; $147,109). Stretches back out to a mile after agonizing half length beat at the start of the month, but needs a bit of a collapse up front to pass all the top players like Am Impazible, Paved With Gold and The Great Johanna..
Most Likely: #8 Am Impazible 4-1 WON ($7.70)
Next Best: #3 The Great Johanna 2-1 3rd
Best Value: #4 Carlisle Belle 10-1 8th
Exotics Use: #11 Paved With Gold 7-2 6th
7th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (P3, DD)
Deep, solid ALW field with what appears to be an honest pace scenario with 1-3-7-8-9-10 the prime players..
Most Likely: #10 The Caretaker 3-1 WON ($6.50)
Best Value: #7 Charlie McCoy 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #9 Potomac 7-2 3rd
Exotics Use: #3 Spectre Bond 8-1 5th
8th: Bay Ridge-NY, F&M-3+, 9f (DD)
Small budget plays will understandably rely on Our Super Nova..
Most Likely: #5 Our Super Nova 4-5 4th
Best Value: #4 Lucky Move 8-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Mrs. Orb 6-1 WON ($11.00)
Exotics Use: #1 Out of Orbit 6-1 3rd
9th: MCLM/$30k, 2yo, 1m
Feels like you’ll need as many as you can afford in this hodge podge assembly..
Most Likely: #6 Yah Huh 8-1 10th
Next Best: #5 Icy Dude 8-1 7th
Best Value: #4 Drink to the Clown 30-1 9th
Exotics Use: #7 Uncle Ned 5-2 6th
P5 Grid:
5: 8-9(A), 3-4-5 (B), 1-2-6 (C)
6: 3-8(A), – (B), 4-11 (C)
7: 7-9-10(A), – (B), 3 (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 4-6(C)
9: 4-5-6 (A), 2-7-8 (B), 3-10 (C)
Simple (A+B): 5x2x3x1x6 = 180 x .50 = $90
All A’s: 2x2x3x1x3 = 36 x .50 = $18
“C” Backups: $99
P4 Grid:
6: 3-8(A), 4-11 (B), 5 (C)
7: 3-7-9-10(A), – (B), – (C)
8: 5 (A), – (B), 4-6(C)
9: 4-5-6-8 (A), 2-3-7-10 (B), – (C)
Simple (A+B): 4x4x1x8 = 128 x .50 = $64
All A’s: 2x4x1x4 = 32 x .50 = $16