7/13: Saratoga (Day 3) Delaware (X-C P5)

By kasept. Filed in Uncategorized  |  
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SARATOGA

POST-SCRATCHES

1st: CLM/N2L, F&M-3+, 7f (P5, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #10 She’s Not Bluffing 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #9 Warm 3-1 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #8 Nosy Josey 20-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Peggy Sue 6-1 3rd

2nd: NY-MCLM/$40k, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

We’re involved here with Dee Tee’s Minit Maus, who’s been waiting to run for over 6 weeks, and honestly don’t know what to expect from her and the rest of this jumbled bunch. Zip It Jess gets back to turf where she debuted quite OK last August and she may just fly on the front end. Trainer John Tebbutt wouldn’t let Benji Hernandez out of the call to ride Maus for us, (he was on her for the off/turf Friday 10th), which suggests he appreciates the 7# weight break..

Best Value: #4 Zip It Jess Gate SCR/Ran off
Next Best: #2 Prisoner’s Dilemma 4-1 10th
Exotics Use: #8 Vitanza 10-1 8th
Super Add: #6 Minit Maus 30-1 4th

3rd: 104th Sanford (G3), 2yo, 6f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #5 By Your Side 5-2 WON ($4.80)
Next Best: #3 Cucina 8-5 4th
Exotics Use: #4 Tomato Bill 9-2 2nd

4th: MSW, 2yo, 5.5f (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 High Tide 3-1 4th
Next Best: #6 Zyramid 8-5 WON ($4.90)
Best Value: #3 Irked 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #2 Hometown Pride 8-1 5th

5th: ALW/N1X, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #1 (POE) Originator 8-5 WON ($5.80)
Best Value: #8 Catch a Thrill 9-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Turf War 4-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #2 Paper Clip 3-1 7th

P5 Grid:

1: 8-9-10 (A), – (B), 6 (C)
2: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), 1-5(C)
3: 3-5(A), 2-4 (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-3-6(A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1(A), – (B), 7-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x4x4x3x1 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x2x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-5 (9/5/5/6/1,4,6,9) Paid $198.00(A-C-A-A-A)

P4 Grid:

2: 2-4-8 (A), 1-5-6 (B), – (C)
3: 2-3-4-5(A), – (B), 1 (C)
4: 1-3-6(A), – (B), – (C)
5: 1(A), 8 (B), 2-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x4x3x2 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x4x3x1 = 36 x .50 = $18

$0.50 Pick-4 (5/5/6/1,4,6,9) Paid $60.50

6th: MSW, 2yo, 8.5f-IT (P6, P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Cloudbased 10-1: Data Link half washed off lawn for debut..9th
Next Best: #6 Mr Everything 8-1: Mr Speaker off to sneaky good start at stud..8th
Exotics Use: #8 Mr Jaggers 10-1: Mott/Wygod firster working well for bow..3rd
Super Add: #3 Field Pass 3-1: Maker/Wycoff LDK colt flew late in 5.5f-T unveiling..WON ($)

7th: NY-ALW/N1X, 3+, 6f (P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Special Story 10-1 WON ($23.60)
Next Best: #9 Amundson 4-1 DH-4th
Exotics Use: #7 Lutsky 9-2 2nd
Super Add: #8 Red Zinger 3-1 3rd

8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 5.5f-T (P3, P3, DD)

Best Value: #7 First Wave 4-1 2nd
Next Best: #6 Peaceful 2-1 WON ($7.40)
Exotics Use: #2 Tan and Tight 7-2 3rd
Super Add: 4 So Gracious 10-1 4th

DELAWARE 7th (4:49p): Glasgow, 3+, 7.5f-T (P3, DD)

Cross Country P5 starts here..

Best Value: #11 Just Howard SCR
Next Best: #6 Parlor 3-2 WON ($3.60)
Exotics Use: #7 O Dionysus 9-2 5th
Super Add: #3 Ballivor SCR

DELAWARE 8th: Delaware H. (G2), F&M-3+, 10f (DD)

Most Likely: #7 Elate 7-2 WON ($2.60)
Next Best: #6 Blue Prize 7-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #3 Escape Clause 5-1 3rd
Super Add: #1 Another Broad 10-1 7th

9th: 81st Diana (G1), F&M-3+, 9f-IT (P3, DD)

Of the Brown quartet, everyone seems to be reaching for Homerique, but I don’t think Sistercharlie will ‘need one’ or that Rushing Fall is necessarily compromised by Mitchell Road..

Most Likely: #4 Sistercharlie 8-5 WON ($5.80)
Next Best: #2 Rushing Fall 9-5 2nd
Best Value: #5 Secret Message 12-1 4th
Exotics Use: #3 Mitchell Road 8-1 5th

ARLINGTON PARK ~ SPOT PLAY (6:19p ET)

8th: American Derby (G3), 3yo, 8.5f-T (DD)

#2 WAR FILM (12-1): Son of one of my favorite mares (Film Maker) adds hustling Mena off troubled trip..5th

10th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 7f (DD)

Most Likely: #5 Payne 6-5 3rd
Best Value: #3 El Asesino 10-1 2nd
Next Best: #8 Hersh 4-1 7th
Exotics Use: #7 Ruler of the Nile 15-1 WON ($27.20)

11th: CLM, 3+, 1m-IT

Most Likely: #7 Prognostication Late SCR
Next Best: #8 Patriot Drive 6-1 WON ($12.60)
Exotics Use: #2 Shalako 10-1 8th
Super Add: #4 Derby Champagne 12-1 2nd

Cross Country P5 Grid:

DEL 7: 6-7-11 (A), 3-4 (B), – (C)
DEL 8: 6-7(A), – (B), 1-3 (C)
SAR 9: 2-4(A), 3-5-6 (B), – (C)
SAR 10: 5 (A), – (B), 3-7-8 (C)
SAR 11: 7/SCR8(A), – (B), 1-2-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 5x2x5x1x2 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 3x2x2x1x2 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.5 X-C Pick-5 (2/3/6/11-7-4-7-) 5 Correct Paid $1,155.00 (A-A-A-C-A) ~ $66

P5 Grid:

7: 2-9 (A), – (B), 7-8 (C)
8: 2-6-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4(A), 3-5-6 (B), – (C)
10: 5 (A), – (B), 3-7-8 (C)
11: 2-7/SCR8(A), – (B), 1-4 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x5x1x3 = 120 x .50 = $60
All A’s: 2x4x2x1x3 = 48 x .50 = $24

$0.50 Pick-5 (2/6/4/7/8) Paid $8,921.50(A-A-A-C-A) ~ $120

P4 Grid:

8: 2-6-7-8 (A), – (B), – (C)
9: 2-4(A), 3-5-6 (B), – (C)
10: 5 (A), – (B), 3-7-8 (C)
11: 2-7/SCR8(A), 1-4 (B), – (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x5x1x5 = 100 x .50 = $50
All A’s: 4x2x1x3 = 24 x .50 = $12

$0.50 Pick-4 (6/4/7/8) Paid $1,290.25(A-A-C-A) ~ $36

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