5/11: Belmont Park ($87k C/O; X-C P5)

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BELMONT PARK

POST-SCRATCHES

4th: Peter Pan (G3), 3yo, 9f (P3, DD)

Very nice set of 5 with three serious top choices in Intrepid Heart, Global Campaign and Final Jeopardy and two Derby Trail nibblers in Federal Case and Sir Winston..

Best Value: #5 Final Jeopardy 3-1: Poised for Derby points when Wood pile up quashed hopes..
Next Best: #1 Intrepid Heart 7-5: Carefully managed Pletcher Tapit has Belmont target..
Exotics Use: #3 Global Campaign 8-5: Hough hopeful could be loose up front..

5th: MCLM/$40k, 3+, 8.5f-T (P6, P3, DD)

$87k DBL P6 C/O starts here..

Tough start to P6 sequence..

Best Value: #5 Lundqvist 12-1
Next Best: #10 Crypto Gold 5-1
Exotics Use: #6 Rhode Island 6-5
Super Add: #8 Shiloh Lane 30-1

6th: CLM, 3+, 7f (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #4 Felix in Fabula 7-5
Best Value: #5 Seethisquick 6-1
Next Best: #1 Have Another 9-2
Exotics Use: #7 Lazarus Project 5-1

7th: Beaugay (G3), F&M-4+, 8.5f-IT (P3, DD)

Best Value: #2 Andina Del Sur 5-1
Next Best: #3 Competitionofideas 7-5
Exotics Use: #5 Homerique 9-5

WOODBINE 8th: Ballade-R, 3+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #9 Red Cabernet 8-1
Next Best: #6 Summer Sonnet 6-1
Exotics Use: #1 Silent Sonnet 2-1
Super Add: #8 Scotty’s Model 3-1

8th: MSW, F&M-3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)

Challenging spot with 3 firsters and a number of 3yo season debuters. Shug cited Inspector Havers on ATR several months ago and as half to Inspector Lynley, has chance to excel on lawn. Motion returns Varenka to action and sibling of multiple Strawbridge black type runners came close v. division’s best at 2..

Best Value: #8 Inspector Havers 12-1
Next Best: #3 Varenka 2-1
Exotics Use: #4 Structural Defecit 5-1
Super Add: #9 Tip At Tapit 12-1

MONMOUTH 10th: Serena’s Song, F&M-3+, 1m-70y (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #6 Forever Liesl 6-5
Next Best: #3 Imply 3-1
Exotics Use: #5 Breaking Bread 5-2

9th: Runhappy, 4+, 6f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #4 Killybegs Captain 9-2
Next Best: #5 Recruiting Ready 8-5
Exotics Use: #2 Skyler’s Scramjet 2-1
Super Add: #3 Firenze Fire 7-2

10th: Man o’War (G1), 4+, 11f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #4 Arklow 8-1
Next Best: #2 Zulu Alpha 4-1
Exotics Use: #6 Focus Group 5-2
Super Add: #8 Channel Maker 6-1

X-C P5 Grid:

WO 8: 6-9 (A), 1-8 (B), – (C)
BEL 8: 3-4-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
MTH 10: 6 (A), – (B), 3-5 (C)
BEL 9: 4-5 (A), 2-3 (B), 1-6 (C)
BEL 10: 2-4-6-8 (A), – (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x3x1x4x4 = 192 x .50 = $96
All A’s: 2x3x1x2x4 = 48 x .50 = $24

BEL DBL P6 C/O Grid:

5: 5-10 (A), 6 (B), – (C)
6: 4 (A), – (B), 1-5 (C)
7: 2-3 (A), – (B), 5 (C)
8: 3-8 (A), 4 (B), 7-9 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 2 (B), 3 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), – (B), 6-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x1x2x3x3x2 = 108 x $2 = $216
All A’s: 2x1x2x2x2x2 = 32 x $2 = $64

NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

6: 4 (A), – (B), 1-5-7 (C)
7: 2-3-5 (A), – (B), – (C)
8: 3-4-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
9: 4-5 (A), 2-3 (B), – (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), 5-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 1x3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 1x3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

11th: NY-MSW, 3+, 6f-T

Ooph. Deep, contentious finale..

Best Value: #10 Dove Shoot 8-1
Next Best: #4 Elektronic 3-1
Exotics Use: #8 Wicked Grin 7-2
Super Add: #5 Noble Cause 10-1

P4 Grid:

8: 3-4-8 (A), – (B), 7-9 (C)
9: 2-4-5 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
10: 2-4 (A), 6-8 (B), 5-7 (C)
11: 4-10 (A), 5-8 (B), 1-2-11 (C)

Simple (A+B): 3x3x4x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x3x2x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve

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