7/14: Delaware/Belmont P4

By kasept. Filed in 2018  |  
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DELAWARE/BELMONT X-C PICK 4

POST-SCRATCHES

DEL 8th: Kent (G3), 3yo, 9f-T (DEL/BEL P4, P3, DD)

No need-the-lead types here, so expect Golden Brown and likely Carrick on top with blinkered Way Early stalking outside..

Best Value: #2 Hot Springs 6-1
Next Best: #5 Untamed Domain 5-2
Exotics Use: #9 Way Early 8-1
Super Add: #3 Duc de Calas 8-1

BEL 8th: Opt CLM, F&M-3+, 6f-IT (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #9 Epping Forest 2-1
Next Best: #1 Malibu Stacy 7-2
Best Value: #3 Boos 15-1
Exotics Use: #2 Jc’s Shooting Star 5-2

DEL 9th: Delaware H. (G2), F&M-3+, 10f (DD)

Big ask of Elate to win at 10f off 253 day break. With Farrell out, Loooch’s Proper Discretion sets the pace and imagine his Nikki My Darling uses her as a target. Teresa Z should get a ground-saving trip inside and is bred top and bottom to love the classic distance. Unbridled Mo has been much more successful around 2 turns than one. Gauging Mopotism not an easy task. Good DelCap that will help race get back to G1 status..

Best Value: #1 Teresa Z 10-1
Next Best: #6 Elate 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Unbridled Mo 5-2
Super Add: #3 Mopotism 9-2

BEL 9th: Forbidden Apple, 4+, 1m-T (DD)

Best Value: #1 Mr Havercamp 8-1
Next Best: #2 Disco Partner 9-5
Exotics Use: #6 Pocket Change 6-1
Super Add: #5 Blind Ambition 8-1

P4 Grid:

DEL 8: 2-5-9 (A), 3-4-6 (B), 1-7 (C)
BEL 8: 1-9 (A), – (B), 2-3-5-8 (C)
DEL 9: 1-5-6 (A), – (B), 3 (C)
BEL 9: 1-2 (A), 5-6 (B), 3-4-7 (C)

Simple (A+B): 6x2x3x4 = 144 x .50 = $72
All A’s: 3x2x3x2 = 36 x .50 = $18

Good luck!
Steve

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