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6/23: Churchill (P5); Santa Anita ($160k C/O)
Please take a moment today to pay respects to Shantel Lanerie who was taken by cancer Friday at 42. She was valiant in her fight and leaves anguished family and friends heartbroken. Our collective love and sympathy to Corey and especially 10yo Brittlyn..
CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
7th: MSW, 3+, 6.5f (P5, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #1a (POE) Shoreline 2-1: Asmussen side of potent Farish pair..2nd/5th
Best Value: #4 Apollo’s Leap 12-1: 2nd time for son of MGSW Aspenglow; 3/4 to Shimmering Aspen..4th
Next Best: #6 Travelling Midas 5-2: Nibbler, now gelded, moves to trusty Rusty..WON ($7.80)
Exotics Use: #3 Fox Red 8-1: Debuting for Norm …
6/16: Churchill Downs (Stakes P4/P5)
CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
5th: 21st Matt Winn (G3), 3yo, 8.5f (P5, P3, DD)
Justify parades about 90 minutes before Ax Man parades here. As mentioned on Wknd Prvw ATR, Home Base (10-1) may be emerging and should be more prepared for the stretch out now..
Most Likely: #7 Ax Man 4-5 3rd
Best Value: #2 Home Base 10-1 6th
Next Best: #5 Combatant 4-1 5th
Exotics Use: #3 Funny Duck 5-1 4th
6th: 29th Wise Dan (G2), 3+, 8.5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
As discussed before the Dixie was scuttled on Preakness Day, World Approval’s no show in the Kilroe was particularly alarming, but the extra 3 weeks may a plus for the Live …
6/2: PEN (6th-9th); CD (4th-11th)
PENN NATIONAL
POST-SCRATCHES
6th: 1st Penn Ladies Dash, F&M-3+, 5f-T (P4, P3, DD)
Outstanding card, and specifically the all turf/all stakes P4, threatened by weather..
Given the depth of the rest of the sequence, you would like to slip by this first leg with just Morticia and Just Talkin..
Most Likely: #6 Morticia 5-2
Next Best: #8 Just Talkin 7-2
Best Value: #2 Rocky Policy 10-1
Exotics Use: #4 Assail 8-1
7th: 6th Penn Oaks, 3yo-F, 1m-T (P3, DD)
VERY well-matched group with the favorites not all that more likely than the prices..
Best Value: #4 Raucous 5-1
Next Best: #1e Dubb ownership entry 2-1
Exotics Use: #5 Treasuring 5-2
Super Add: #6 Goodthingstaketime 3-1
8th: 48th PA Governor’s Cup, 3+, 5f-T (P3, DD)
Pure Sensation a huge …
5/10: Churchill Downs ($385k Must Pay P6 C/O)
CHURCHILL DOWNS
POST-SCRATCHES
3rd: CLM, 4+, 7f (.20 P6, P3, DD)
$385k Must Pay P6 C/O starts here..
You know I’m a sucker for the triple whammy and Boyd Crowder adds a few more to the karma moves dropping down, cutting back, going turf to dirt and putting blinkers on. Plus Walsh reaches for his go to guy in Lanerie..
Best Value: #4 Boyd Crowder 9-2
Next Best: #7 Tiznoble 5-1
Exotics Use: #8 Chief of Staff 7-2
Super Add: #5 Catanova 9-2
4th: ALW/N1X, 3+, 5f-T (P5, P3, DD)
Very competitive group with a few trying the lawn for the first time..
Most Likely: #5 Zipp On By 7-2
Best Value: #6 Mutation 20-1
Next Best: #2 El Venue 10-1
Exotics Use: #3 …
5/4: 144th Kentucky Oaks Day
CHURCHILL DOWNS ~ 144TH KENTUCKY OAKS DAY
POST-SCRATCHES
1st: OC/N2X, 3yo-F, 8.5f (P3, DD)
Most Likely: #6 Go Google Yourself 8-5 3rd
Best Value: #1 First Alternate 6-1 2nd
Next Best: #4 She’s Pretty Lucky 3-1 WON ($7.60)
2nd: MSW, F&M-3+, 1m-T (P4, P3, DD)
Most Likely: #7 Dabinett 5-2 4th
Best Value: #9 Pachinko 8-1 5th
Next Best: #4 Killay 10-1 WON ($13.20)
Exotics Use: #2 Wild N Ready 4-1 3rd
3rd: MSW, 3+, 6f (P5, P3, DD)
Best Value: #6 Keros 5-1 7th
Next Best: #1 Industrialist 3-1 5th
Exotics Use: #8 Bugle Notes 5-2 WON ($3.80)
Super Add: #4 Bueno Bueno Bueno 20-1 …