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Old 06-08-2019, 04:17 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
Default 6/8: Belmont Park (151st Belmont Stakes Day)

BELMONT PARK


POST-SCRATCHES


4th: Just a Game (G1), F&M-4+, 1m-T (P3, DD)

Terrific lineup that's a little devoid of pace..

Most Likely: #4 Rushing Fall 4-5 WON ($3.40)
Best Value: #6 Environs 8-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Daddy Is a Legend 6-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #5 Capla Temptress 20-1 6th


5th: Ogden Phipps (G1), F&M-4+, 8.5f (P3, DD)

Come Dancing will try to wire, but Escape Clause has been adding more speed to her arsenal and is no doorknob. If Escape Clause softens up Come Dancing, it will make it easy for Mike Smith to pick them off late..

Most Likely: #1 Come Dancing 6-5 2nd
Next Best: #2 Midnight Bisou 1-1 WON ($5.40)
Exotics Use: #4 Escape Clause 9-2 4th


6th: Jaipur (G1), 4+, 6f-T (P6, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 World of Trouble 1-1: Hard to deny streaking dash colt.. WON ($2.80)
Next Best: #6 Disco Partner 3-1: Entered last year off Shakertown loss too.. 3rd
Exotics Use: #7 Belvoir Bay 5-1: Hard hitting mare will pick up pieces.. 4th
Super Add: #5 Diamond Oops 30-1: Improved with move to lawn; In light.. 5th


7th: Acorn (G1), 3yo-F, 1m (NYRA Bets P5, G/S, P3, DD)

One of the day's most interesting races and it's getting entirely lost in the sheer crush of stakes events. Though it was said going in to KY Oaks, it's hard to conceive Serengeti getting away easily up front, this time with Cookie Dough, Fancy Dress, Guarana and Ce Ce all pressing the pace..

Best Value: #9 Ce Ce 9-2 4th
Next Best: #7 Guarana 2-1 WON ($5.80)
Exotics Use: #8 Queen of Beas 12-1 5th
Super Add: #1 Serengeti Empress 5-2 2nd


8th: Woody Stephens (G1), 3yo, 7f (P4, P3, DD)

Best Value: #1 Honest Mischief 6-1 6th
Next Best: #9 Mind Control 5-2 8th
Exotics Use: #2 Much Better 5-1 7th
Super Add: #4 Complexity 4-1 11th


9th: Metropolitan H. (G1), 3+, 1m (P3, DD)

Most Likely: #2 McKinzie 5-2 2nd
Next Best: #7 Firenze Fire 4-1 5th
Best Value: #1 Coal Front 6-1 7th
Exotics Use: #3 Mitole 3-1 WON ($9.00)


10th: Manhattan (G1), 4+, 10f-IT (P4, P3, DD)

Most Likely: #8 Bricks and Mortar 7-5 WON ($3.30)
Next Best: #10 Channel Maker 9-2 4th
Best Value: #1 Raging Bull 10-1 3rd
Exotics Use: #4 Qurbaan 8-1 8th


11th: Belmont S. (G1), 3yo, 12f (P3, DD)

Best Value: #8 Intrepid Heart 10-1 8th
Next Best: #10 Tacitus 9-5 2nd
Exotics Use: #9 War of Will 2-1 9th
Super Add: #7 Sir Winston 12-1 WON ($22.40)


Belmont Festival .20 P6 Play:

FRI 8 (True North): 3-8
FRI 10 (Gold Cup): 3-4-6
SAT 8 (Stephens): 1-2-4-9
SAT 9 (Met Mile): 2
SAT 10 (Manhattan): 8-9/SCR-10
SAT 11 (Belmont): 6-7-8-9-10

2x3x4x1x3x5 = 360 x .20 = $72


NYRA Bets P5 Grid:

7: 7-9 (A), - (B), 1-3-8 (C)
8: 1-2-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 8-10 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 8-10 (A), 6-7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x4x2x2x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 2x4x2x2x2 = 64 x .50 = $32


P4 Grid:

8: 1-2-4-9 (A), - (B), - (C)
9: 2-7 (A), - (B), 1-3 (C)
10: 8-10 (A), 1-4 (B), 3-5 (C)
11: 8-10 (A), 6-7-9 (B), - (C)

Simple (A+B): 4x2x4x5 = 160 x .50 = $80
All A's: 4x2x2x2 = 32 x .50 = $16


12th: OC/N2X, 3+, 9f-IT (DD)

Best Value: #10 Bird's Eye View 6-1 3rd
Next Best: #3 Abiding Star 9-2 2nd
Exotics Use: #5 Near Gold 8-1 7th
Super Add: #1 Prioritize 7-2 5th


13th: Brooklyn (G2), 4+, 12f

Most Likely: #7 You're to Blame 3-1 5th
Next Best: #1 Marconi 9-2 WON ($10.40)
Best Value: #3 Sonneteer 10-1 6th
Exotics Use: #6 Rocketry 7-2 2nd


P4 Grid:

10: 8-10 (A), - (B), 1-3-4-5 (C)
11: 8-10 (A), 6-7-9 (B), - (C)
12: 3-5-10 (A), - (B), 1 (C)
13: 1-3-7 (A), 4-6 (B), 2-8 (C)

Simple (A+B): 2x5x3x5 = 150 x .50 = $75
All A's: 2x2x3x3 = 36 x .50 = $18


Good luck!
Steve
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A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
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Last edited by Kasept : 06-08-2019 at 10:35 PM.
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Old 06-08-2019, 09:27 AM
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Kasept Kasept is offline
Steve Byk
 
Join Date: May 2006
Location: Greenwich, NY
Posts: 42,548
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All ambitions are lawful except those which climb upward on the miseries or credulities of mankind. ~ Joseph Conrad
A long habit of not thinking a thing wrong, gives it a superficial appearance of being right. ~ Thomas Paine
Don't let anyone tell you that your dreams can't come true. They are only afraid that theirs won't and yours will. ~ Robert Evans
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